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Fenerbahce vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 66-64
15-17 15-14 20-16 16-17
Position#4
Record7-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#17
Record6-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Virtus Bologna
25 Sep 2026
FEN78
VIR68
25 Nov 2025
FEN66
VIR64
31 Jan 2025
FEN95
VIR81
25 Jan 2024
FEN88
VIR75
03 Mar 2023
FEN104
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 81
A28/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
58-84
58
84
-26
41avg 81
A30/10
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#13
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 81
A02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 81
H06/11
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-87
91
87
+4
79avg 81
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
83avg 81
H11/11
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 81
H13/11
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
96avg 81
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
W
99-87
99
87
+12
97avg 81
A21/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 81
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
22-24
21-25
23-18
16-25
6-24
13-15
23-20
17-22
28-20
20-15
22-21
18-10
27-24
14-14
22-19
21-26
14-28
28-12
28-21
20-15
20-15
25-26
19-19
13-13
14-15
27-16
20-24
21-18
26-21
26-19
21-22
24-11
32-28
19-29
24-19
23-21
18-24
26-19
25-20
164.3Avg total
83.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.879.8160.5+1.058%
Season at home (7)81.977.0158.9+4.971%
Season away (5)79.283.6162.8-4.440%
Last 10 (10)83.980.4164.3+3.580%
Last 5 (5)88.678.8167.4+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)81.782.1163.9-0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.579.1168.6+10.593%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
L
70-86
70
86
-16
63avg 79
A30/10
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
102-83
102
83
+19
102avg 79
A01/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 79
A04/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#18
L
76-87
76
87
-11
70avg 79
A06/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
78avg 79
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
99-89
99
89
+10
104avg 79
H11/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
81-88
81
88
-7
80avg 79
A14/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
101-79
101
79
+22
102avg 79
A17/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
102avg 79
H21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 79
A23/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
23-23
17-20
15-25
26-24
31-19
21-19
24-21
16-23
23-12
14-19
30-23
14-23
20-23
23-19
19-22
17-17
18-15
21-19
24-27
28-24
20-21
28-28
23-16
19-20
24-25
24-16
14-27
26-25
25-20
18-9
32-25
26-24
30-21
24-21
19-23
24-15
23-20
23-21
19-21
171.3Avg total
88.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.084.8167.8-1.850%
Season at home (5)88.278.8167.0+9.4100%
Season away (7)79.389.0168.3-9.714%
Last 10 (10)88.083.3171.3+4.770%
Last 5 (5)93.884.4178.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.582.2162.7-1.750%
vs Similar (13)82.380.6162.9+1.769%
vs Weaker (10)88.780.3169.0+8.490%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
FenerbahceVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A28/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A30/10
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H06/11
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H11/11
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H13/11
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A21/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.4Avg total
39.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.782.8+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.738.881.5+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)41.343.584.8-2.258%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.180.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.278.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)39.441.180.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.740.785.4+4.173%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A30/10
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A01/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A04/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#18
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A06/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A14/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A17/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/11
Lega A
86.0Avg total
44.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.381.3+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.537.979.5+3.673%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.783.1+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.286.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)49.043.092.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.840.080.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (13)41.040.781.7+0.338%-
vs Weaker (10)43.736.880.5+6.990%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.4
47.5%
60.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.5
38.3%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.515.6
80.0%
78.2%15.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.8
58.6%
60.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.7
39.1%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
78.2%14.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWLL
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWWLWWL
#4
League position
#17
+4.9
Net rating
+5.4
115.8
Offensive rating
119.8
110.9
Defensive rating
114.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
58.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.3%
3-point %
39.1%
63.8%
Assist %
73.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 119.8Defence110.9 · 114.4Shooting52.2% · 58.6%3-point %38.3% · 39.1%Ball care16.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds36.1% · 31.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HBursaspor92-84
21/11/25APartizan99-87
16/11/25AEsenler Erokspor94-80
13/11/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv74-68
11/11/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-75
08/11/25HBuyukcekmece91-87
06/11/25HLyon-Villeurbanne81-67
02/11/25AMersin SK87-78
30/10/25AReal Madrid58-84
28/10/25AValencia79-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25ACantu89-77
21/11/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-89
17/11/25ATreviso101-79
14/11/25ABarcelona81-88
11/11/25HAnadolu Efes99-89
09/11/25HReggiana80-78
06/11/25ABaskonia76-87
04/11/25AVarese83-77
01/11/25ATrento102-83
30/10/25ABayern70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game80.881.979.2
Allowed / game79.877.083.6
Point differential+1.0+4.9-4.4
Avg total160.5158.9162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%43%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%100%14%
Points / game83.088.279.3
Allowed / game84.878.889.0
Point differential-1.8+9.4-9.7
Avg total167.8167.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv129375%92.184.8+7.2
2 Olympiacos128467%86.981.0+5.9
3 Crvena zvezda128467%86.581.5+5.0
4 Panathinaikos128467%89.386.8+2.6
5 Zalgiris Kaunas127558%87.581.3+6.2
6 Monaco127558%87.082.8+4.2
7 Valencia127558%88.987.6+1.3
8 Fenerbahce127558%80.879.8+1.0
9 Barcelona127558%85.185.1+0.0
10 Real Madrid126650%85.283.8+1.4
11 Olimpia Milano126650%83.183.1+0.0
12 Virtus Bologna126650%83.084.8-1.8
13 Dubai136746%86.288.1-1.8
14 Anadolu Efes125742%81.784.8-3.1
15 Bayern125742%77.982.5-4.6
16 Paris135838%89.389.6-0.3
17 Baskonia124833%87.190.7-3.6
18 Partizan124833%82.787.1-4.4
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv123925%89.194.2-5.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne123925%75.685.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1515201666
Virtus Bologna1714161764
← all games of the day
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