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Fenerbahce vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 96-77
25-19 18-21 27-19 26-18
Position#4
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Fenerbahce 🏆
vs
Paris
Position#16
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Paris
18 Mar 2027
FEN v PRS
upcoming
01 Oct 2025
FEN96
PRS77
24 Apr 2025
FEN89
PRS72
22 Apr 2025
FEN83
PRS78
25 Mar 2025
FEN101
PRS100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 81
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
H07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
95avg 81
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
95avg 81
H17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 81
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
66avg 81
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
81avg 81
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 81
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 81
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 81
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
22-22
28-18
23-22
25-22
21-24
22-21
23-22
25-14
22-22
22-23
24-25
22-16
28-18
23-18
21-24
28-18
20-16
20-21
16-21
9-22
22-28
25-22
21-26
26-22
23-23
19-20
23-22
21-18
27-22
21-14
15-14
25-13
18-21
24-16
18-33
18-18
21-25
22-15
17-22
168.7Avg total
87.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.081.7168.7+5.380%
Last 5 (5)83.083.2166.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.780.3165.0+4.477%
vs Weaker (16)87.980.8168.7+7.281%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#6
W
117-103
117
103
+14
127avg 91
H06/06
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
W
103-93
103
93
+10
119avg 91
A08/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
94-82
94
82
+12
107avg 91
H15/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
92-67
92
67
+25
106avg 91
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
78-81
78
81
-3
86avg 91
A20/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
89avg 91
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
99-93
99
93
+6
108avg 91
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
102avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
67avg 91
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
109-66
109
66
+43
120avg 91
A27/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
30-27
31-23
31-23
26-28
26-28
23-19
28-18
22-23
27-15
25-23
20-21
20-13
21-15
29-17
22-22
23-12
22-21
15-30
18-18
16-20
27-20
13-15
18-25
29-21
25-29
19-31
26-12
23-28
17-24
25-22
22-16
28-24
26-16
16-30
10-26
29-19
28-14
26-17
26-16
178.4Avg total
93.3Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.385.1178.4+8.260%
Last 5 (5)89.885.0174.8+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.096.0176.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.386.6173.9+0.842%
vs Weaker (17)99.183.8182.9+15.488%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
FenerbahceParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.1Avg total
44.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.584.0+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (19)47.238.986.2+8.374%-
Last 30 away (11)40.040.480.4-0.464%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.884.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.484.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.839.384.1+5.585%-
vs Weaker (16)44.539.984.4+4.656%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#6
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H06/06
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A08/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H15/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A20/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A27/09
LNB
91.7Avg total
49.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.443.292.6+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.542.193.7+9.473%-
Last 30 away (15)47.244.391.5+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)49.042.791.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.643.092.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.644.590.1+1.158%-
vs Weaker (17)51.842.594.3+9.271%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.8
51.4%
60.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.2
37.5%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.515.2
82.2%
78.2%15.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.2
53.4%
60.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.4
35.6%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.920.5
82.3%
78.2%20.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWLWWWWW
Paris
WLLWLLWWWW
#4
League position
#16
+8.4
Net rating
+11.0
118.3
Offensive rating
129.8
109.9
Defensive rating
118.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
8.3%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.5%
3-point %
35.6%
56.6%
Assist %
57.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 129.8Defence109.9 · 118.9Shooting53.4% · 53.4%3-point %37.5% · 35.6%Ball care15.9% · 8.3%Off. rebounds36.7% · 37.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
0
Paris wins
DateGameScore
29/04/25Paris v Fenerbahce88-98 OT
24/04/25Fenerbahce v Paris89-72
22/04/25Fenerbahce v Paris83-78
25/03/25Fenerbahce v Paris101-100
03/03/25Paris v Fenerbahce83-87
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25ATofas78-80
24/09/25HBesiktas85-83
25/06/25HBesiktas84-68
23/06/25ABesiktas91-87
21/06/25ABesiktas77-98
19/06/25HBesiktas84-76
17/06/25HBesiktas94-76
09/06/25ABahcesehir Kol.93-84
07/06/25HBahcesehir Kol.91-89
05/06/25HBahcesehir Kol.93-76
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25AGravelines-Dunkerque109-66
21/09/25ABoulazac80-96
20/09/25ALe Mans87-90
24/06/25HMonaco99-93
22/06/25AMonaco74-80
20/06/25AMonaco78-81
17/06/25HMonaco92-67
15/06/25HMonaco94-82
08/06/25AJL Bourg103-93
06/06/25HJL Bourg117-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%103.087.0+16.0
2 Dubai110100%89.076.0+13.0
3 Olimpia Milano110100%92.082.0+10.0
4 Panathinaikos110100%87.079.0+8.0
5 Anadolu Efes110100%85.078.0+7.0
6 Olympiacos110100%102.096.0+6.0
7 Virtus Bologna110100%74.068.0+6.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%89.084.0+5.0
9 Monaco1010%84.089.0-5.0
10 Baskonia1010%96.0102.0-6.0
11 Real Madrid1010%68.074.0-6.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%78.085.0-7.0
13 Bayern1010%79.087.0-8.0
14 Crvena zvezda1010%82.092.0-10.0
15 Partizan1010%76.089.0-13.0
16 Barcelona1010%87.0103.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2518272696
Paris1921191877
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