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Tofas vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 80-78
18-18 25-21 15-22 22-17
Position#9
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 1· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tofas v Fenerbahce
05 Mar 2027
TOF v FEN
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
TOF80
FEN78
13 Apr 2025
TOF88
FEN89
05 Nov 2023
TOF86
FEN95
31 May 2023
TOF87
FEN98
26 Mar 2023
TOF94
FEN89
16 Apr 2022
TOF78
FEN82
15 Feb 2022
TOF88
FEN93
31 Oct 2020
TOF103
FEN104
17 Nov 2019
TOF76
FEN82
25 Nov 2018
TOF69
FEN74
11 Jun 2018
TOF77
FEN95
09 Jun 2018
TOF91
FEN88
17 Dec 2017
TOF71
FEN88
26 May 2017
TOF73
FEN79
04 Dec 2016
TOF81
FEN72
03 Oct 2014
TOF76
FEN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
67avg 86
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 86
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 86
A21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
87-65
87
65
+22
71avg 86
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
69avg 86
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
94-92
94
92
+2
96avg 86
A11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 86
H17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
94-80
94
80
+14
95avg 86
H29/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
65-75
65
75
-10
59avg 86
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
84avg 86
H02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
22-20
17-33
19-16
29-23
24-15
16-19
19-32
17-8
13-28
16-30
26-20
28-9
16-21
19-14
24-21
16-24
23-20
24-18
12-24
29-21
27-22
20-28
18-21
20-23
26-22
11-11
33-20
30-22
23-17
15-29
26-12
20-11
18-25
12-17
15-22
24-14
18-24
19-22
24-25
167.1Avg total
82.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.984.2167.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)87.083.8170.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.891.6172.4-10.820%
vs Similar (15)83.786.3170.0-2.740%
vs Weaker (9)91.383.8175.1+7.678%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
93avg 81
H02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 81
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
H07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
95avg 81
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
95avg 81
H17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 81
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
66avg 81
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
81avg 81
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 81
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 81
H24/09
Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
28-31
21-21
29-22
20-14
22-22
28-18
23-22
25-22
21-24
22-21
23-22
25-14
22-22
22-23
24-25
22-16
28-18
23-18
21-24
28-18
20-16
20-21
16-21
9-22
22-28
25-22
21-26
26-22
23-23
19-20
23-22
21-18
27-22
21-14
15-14
25-13
18-21
24-16
18-33
172.4Avg total
89.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.383.1172.4+6.290%
Last 5 (5)84.282.4166.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)84.580.4164.9+4.179%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.680.8169.4+7.887%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
TofasFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H29/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.4Avg total
43.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.987.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.542.090.5+6.587%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.884.5-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.783.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.287.2+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.045.687.6-3.640%-
vs Similar (15)44.742.587.3+2.260%-
vs Weaker (9)45.941.887.7+4.167%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/09
Super Cup
86.1Avg total
45.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.584.0+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (19)47.238.986.2+8.374%-
Last 30 away (11)40.040.480.4-0.464%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.686.1+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.684.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)44.439.683.9+4.879%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.939.784.6+5.160%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.325.4
61.5%
54.0%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.2
31.3%
35.6%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
76.0%17.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.7
52.4%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.1
39.6%
35.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.915.2
84.9%
76.0%15.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWWWLWLLL
Fenerbahce
WWWLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+4.9
Net rating
+9.2
114.3
Offensive rating
120.3
109.4
Defensive rating
111.0
56.8%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.3%
3-point %
39.6%
67.4%
Assist %
55.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 120.3Defence109.4 · 111.0Shooting56.8% · 55.5%3-point %31.3% · 39.6%Ball care18.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.2% · 35.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Tofas   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
9
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
13/04/25Tofas v Fenerbahce88-89
14/12/24Fenerbahce v Tofas90-88
03/03/24Fenerbahce v Tofas109-77
05/11/23Tofas v Fenerbahce86-95
31/05/23Tofas v Fenerbahce87-98
27/05/23Fenerbahce v Tofas93-78
26/03/23Tofas v Fenerbahce94-89
20/11/22Fenerbahce v Tofas82-68
16/04/22Tofas v Fenerbahce78-82
15/02/22Tofas v Fenerbahce88-93 OT
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/25HBahcesehir Kol.92-96 OT
31/05/25ABahcesehir Kol.65-75
29/05/25HBahcesehir Kol.94-80
17/05/25HKarsiyaka90-76
11/05/25AMerkezefendi94-92
03/05/25HBahcesehir Kol.75-86
27/04/25HMersin SK87-65
21/04/25ATurk Telekom72-86
13/04/25HFenerbahce88-89
07/04/25AAnadolu Efes72-97
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/25HBesiktas85-83
25/06/25HBesiktas84-68
23/06/25ABesiktas91-87
21/06/25ABesiktas77-98
19/06/25HBesiktas84-76
17/06/25HBesiktas94-76
09/06/25ABahcesehir Kol.93-84
07/06/25HBahcesehir Kol.91-89
05/06/25HBahcesehir Kol.93-76
02/06/25HTurk Telekom101-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes110100%90.076.0+14.0
2 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%93.086.0+7.0
3 Besiktas110100%77.072.0+5.0
4 Turk Telekom1010%72.077.0-5.0
5 Galatasaray1010%86.093.0-7.0
6 Esenler Erokspor1010%76.090.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1825152280
Fenerbahce1821221778
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