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Fenerbahce vs Paris Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:45
Scheduled
Position#7
Record7-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#14
Record5-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game94.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Paris
18 Mar 2027
FEN v PRS
upcoming
01 Oct 2025
FEN96
PRS77
24 Apr 2025
FEN89
PRS72
22 Apr 2025
FEN83
PRS78
25 Mar 2025
FEN101
PRS100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 78
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 78
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#9
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 78
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 78
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 78
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 78
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
14-23
29-27
29-22
20-20
159.8Avg total
82.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.978.6161.5+4.364%
Season at home (6)85.270.0155.2+15.2100%
Season away (5)80.289.0169.2-8.820%
Last 10 (10)82.577.3159.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.081.4168.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.587.0155.5-18.50%
vs Similar (16)81.578.9160.4+2.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.577.0167.5+13.583%
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 85
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 85
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 85
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 85
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
24-17
23-22
34-25
16-18
193.3Avg total
100.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.094.1185.1-3.145%
Season at home (6)92.596.2188.7-3.733%
Season away (5)89.291.6180.8-2.460%
Last 10 (10)100.393.0193.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)86.394.0180.3-7.733%
vs Similar (11)95.696.1191.7-0.555%
vs Weaker (13)94.082.5176.5+11.585%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +5.5+5.5
FenerbahceParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
38.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.981.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.8+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.884.1+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.176.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (16)38.841.380.1-2.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.138.185.2+9.083%-
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/11
LNB
92.5Avg total
47.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.290.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.248.493.5-3.227%-
vs Weaker (13)46.942.689.5+4.354%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
55.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
77.1%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
77.1%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWLLWWLW
Paris
WWWWLWWWWL
#7
League position
#14
+3.1
Net rating
+4.0
97.9
Offensive rating
103.4
94.8
Defensive rating
99.4
54.2%
Effective FG%
57.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.1%
3-point %
36.7%
62.7%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 103.4Defence94.8 · 99.4Shooting54.2% · 57.9%3-point %33.1% · 36.7%Ball care15.6% · 14.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fenerbahce wins
1
Paris wins
DateGameScore
11/11/26Paris v Fenerbahce111-109 OT
05/02/26Paris v Fenerbahce90-92
01/10/25Fenerbahce v Paris96-77
29/04/25Paris v Fenerbahce88-98 OT
24/04/25Fenerbahce v Paris89-72
22/04/25Fenerbahce v Paris83-78
25/03/25Fenerbahce v Paris101-100
03/03/25Paris v Fenerbahce83-87
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AParis109-111 OT
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALimoges97-82
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%100%20%
Points / game82.985.280.2
Allowed / game78.670.089.0
Point differential+4.3+15.2-8.8
Avg total161.5155.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Paris
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%33%60%
Points / game91.092.589.2
Allowed / game94.196.291.6
Point differential-3.1-3.7-2.4
Avg total185.1188.7180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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