Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2010

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 76-67

19-28 15-15 20-16 22-8

Position#8

Record11-8

FormWWWLL

Points / game80.3

Allowed / game75.3

Avellino 🏆

Varese

Position#10

Record9-10

FormWLWWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game80.4

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Avellino v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

61-85

-24

A03/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

80-69

+11

H10/01

Lega A

Biella

#14

79-83

-4

A17/01

Lega A

Cremona

#12

71-63

H24/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

86-94

-8

A31/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

172-70

172

+102

H07/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

74-56

+18

H14/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

59-55

A18/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

61-73

-12

H20/02

Italian Cup

Treviso

64-73

-9

A27/02

Lega A

10-25

14-21

24-14

13-25

17-16

24-16

16-24

23-13

22-25

25-18

9-24

23-16

16-17

17-10

19-13

19-23

23-20

22-26

23-31

18-17

43-15

35-16

48-22

46-17

17-18

13-13

28-9

16-16

17-13

11-13

16-16

15-13

8-13

21-29

20-16

12-15

19-22

20-21

15-11

10-19

152.8Avg total

80.7Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	80.3	75.3	155.5	+5.0	58%
Season at home (10)	85.1	71.8	156.9	+13.3	80%
Season away (9)	74.9	79.1	154.0	-4.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	72.1	152.8	+8.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	65.4	151.4	+20.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	68.6	80.8	149.4	-12.2	20%
vs Similar (17)	74.9	78.6	153.5	-3.8	41%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	94.7	67.3	162.0	+27.4	100%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#16

84-81

A13/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

67-84

-17

H20/12

Lega A

Caserta

53-76

-23

A03/01

Lega A

Cantu

81-66

+15

H09/01

Lega A

Cremona

#12

71-78

-7

A16/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

89-86

H24/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

70-74

-4

A31/01

Lega A

Teramo

#13

83-80

H06/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

96-88

A14/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

74-88

-14

H28/02

Lega A

29-18

17-22

16-29

22-12

19-20

21-24

15-13

12-27

19-21

11-18

13-22

10-15

21-17

14-19

22-16

24-14

19-14

13-19

23-25

16-20

19-25

22-14

24-30

24-17

9-17

21-22

18-12

22-23

22-22

26-12

15-21

20-25

17-28

22-20

27-16

30-24

18-18

22-25

20-22

14-23

156.9Avg total

76.8Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	76.5	80.4	156.8	-3.9	47%
Season at home (10)	76.8	80.0	156.8	-3.2	50%
Season away (9)	76.1	80.8	156.9	-4.7	44%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	80.1	156.9	-3.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	83.2	165.6	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	71.6	80.2	151.9	-8.6	25%
vs Similar (10)	79.6	80.4	160.0	-0.8	60%
vs Weaker (1)	84.0	81.0	165.0	+3.0	100%

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.3	36.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.2	17.8	31.0	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.6	19.0	42.6	+4.6	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.9	19.6	39.4	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.6	20.7	40.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.2	18.4	38.7	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	19.4	38.9	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	18.0	47.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.2	37.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	23.4	41.0	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.9	17.2	36.2	+1.7	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.4	17.4	39.9	+5.0	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.6	19.6	38.1	-1.0	39%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.6	41.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.8	20.4	37.1	-3.6	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

24-46

-22

A03/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

41-32

H10/01

Lega A

Biella

#14

47-43

A17/01

Lega A

Cremona

#12

33-27

H24/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

45-46

-1

A31/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

78-31

+47

H07/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

30-31

-1

H14/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

28-26

A18/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

29-42

-13

H20/02

Italian Cup

Treviso

39-43

-4

A27/02

Lega A

76.1Avg total

39.4Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.6	75.4	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	35.9	74.4	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	39.2	76.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	36.7	76.1	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	34.6	75.4	+6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	30.8	41.2	72.0	-10.4	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.1	37.6	74.7	-0.6	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	46.0	36.4	82.4	+9.6	57%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#16

46-40

A13/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

40-44

-4

H20/12

Lega A

Caserta

30-39

-9

A03/01

Lega A

Cantu

35-36

-1

H09/01

Lega A

Cremona

#12

32-33

-1

A16/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

41-39

H24/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

30-39

-9

A31/01

Lega A

Teramo

#13

48-34

+14

H06/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

39-48

-9

A14/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

40-43

-3

H28/02

Lega A

77.6Avg total

38.1Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	38.4	39.1	77.6	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	38.4	39.7	78.1	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	38.4	38.6	77.0	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	39.5	77.6	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.6	80.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.0	40.2	76.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.8	38.0	77.8	+1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.4	38.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.5	40.5	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	14.8	40.2	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	60%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	25.6	14.6	40.1	+11.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	29.0	45.0	-13.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.7	38.3	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	18.5	36.1	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.4	36.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	60%	-
vs Similar (17)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.1	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.1	16.3	39.4	+6.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.2	20.4	39.7	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.8	20.4	38.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	12.0	34.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	36.4	75.4	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	36.2	78.8	+6.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.4	36.7	72.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	35.4	76.7	+5.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	30.8	76.0	+14.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.0	36.6	73.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (17)	36.1	39.1	75.2	-3.1	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	48.7	30.9	79.6	+17.9	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	37.8	41.6	79.4	-3.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	37.9	41.0	78.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.7	42.2	79.9	-4.6	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	40.6	79.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	42.6	85.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.6	40.0	75.6	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.7	43.1	82.8	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/09	Varese v Avellino	74-91

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/02/10	A	Treviso	64-73
20/02/10	H	Virtus Bologna	61-73
18/02/10	A	Olimpia Milano	59-55
14/02/10	H	Virtus Roma	74-56
07/02/10	H	NSB Napoli	172-70
31/01/10	A	Pesaro	86-94
24/01/10	H	Cremona	71-63
17/01/10	A	Biella	79-83
10/01/10	H	Sutor Montegranaro	80-69
03/01/10	A	Cantu	61-85

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/10	H	Sutor Montegranaro	74-88
14/02/10	A	Biella	96-88
06/02/10	H	Teramo	83-80
31/01/10	A	Olimpia Milano	70-74
24/01/10	H	Pesaro	89-86
16/01/10	A	Cremona	71-78
09/01/10	H	Cantu	81-66
03/01/10	A	Caserta	53-76
20/12/09	H	Virtus Roma	67-84
13/12/09	A	NSB Napoli	84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	58%
Home	WWWWW	80%
Away	LLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	58%	80%	33%
Points / game	80.3	85.1	74.9
Allowed / game	75.3	71.8	79.1
Point differential	+5.0	+13.3	-4.2
Avg total	155.5	156.9	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	50%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	20%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	47%
Home	LWWWL	50%
Away	WLLLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	47%	50%	44%
Points / game	76.5	76.8	76.1
Allowed / game	80.4	80.0	80.8
Point differential	-3.9	-3.2	-4.7
Avg total	156.8	156.8	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	10%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	20	20	0	100%	91.2	66.2	+25.1
2	Caserta	19	13	6	68%	87.8	75.0	+12.8
3	Olimpia Milano	20	13	7	65%	77.8	75.5	+2.2
4	Sutor Montegranaro	20	13	7	65%	77.8	77.5	+0.2
5	Avellino	19	11	8	58%	80.3	75.3	+5.0
6	Virtus Bologna	21	12	9	57%	77.5	72.5	+5.0
7	Virtus Roma	19	10	9	53%	81.2	75.2	+5.9
8	Cantu	19	10	9	53%	79.5	75.4	+4.2
9	Treviso	20	10	10	50%	82.2	82.5	-0.3
10	Varese	19	9	10	47%	76.5	80.4	-3.9
11	Teramo	19	8	11	42%	78.0	76.1	+1.9
12	Biella	19	8	11	42%	80.7	79.8	+0.9
13	Pesaro	19	7	12	37%	82.0	82.7	-0.7
14	Cremona	20	7	13	35%	83.1	80.8	+2.4
15	Ferrara	19	5	14	26%	74.9	82.2	-7.3
16	NSB Napoli	20	0	20	0%	56.8	109.5	-52.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	19	15	20	22	76
Varese	28	15	16	8	67

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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