Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Feb 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 68-69

15-17 17-20 19-13 17-19

Position#4

Record11-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game81.6

Boca Juniors

Ferro 🏆

Position#15

Record10-14

FormLLLWW

Points / game78.1

Allowed / game81.9

Liga ARound 34

Other2022-23

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obera TC

87-88 OT

-1

A08/12

Liga A

La Union

84-75

A10/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#17

102-107

102

107

-5

H13/12

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

91-87

A18/12

Liga A

San Martin

#12

81-64

+17

H21/12

Liga A

Platense

67-78

-11

A11/01

Liga A

Quimsa

86-79

H14/01

Liga A

Olimpico

84-76

H17/01

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

89-83

H20/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

82-72

+10

H25/01

Liga A

12-20

17-14

19-17

25-22

22-11

18-12

26-29

18-23

20-18

28-29

22-28

32-32

17-31

14-17

31-17

29-22

23-16

15-16

24-17

19-15

8-16

23-23

21-20

15-19

17-25

18-20

23-19

28-15

19-19

16-12

23-21

26-24

22-21

30-25

20-15

17-22

18-16

15-20

28-18

21-18

166.2Avg total

85.3Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	84.9	81.6	166.6	+3.3	58%
Season at home (9)	84.1	80.7	164.8	+3.4	67%
Season away (10)	85.7	82.5	168.2	+3.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	80.9	166.2	+4.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	77.6	159.2	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	86.0	79.0	165.0	+7.0	100%
vs Similar (18)	77.0	78.4	155.4	-1.4	39%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	87.4	78.5	165.9	+8.8	82%

This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#12

84-85 OT

-1

H18/12

Liga A

Obera TC

97-77

+20

H20/12

Liga A

La Union

69-102

102

-33

A10/01

Liga A

San Martin

#12

74-92

-18

A12/01

Liga A

Regatas

#10

61-71

-10

A14/01

Liga A

Penarol

#13

88-102

102

-14

H19/01

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

75-79

-4

H22/01

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

81-86

-5

A26/01

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

96-85

+11

A28/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

87-86

A30/01

Liga A

20-25

21-18

20-10

19-27

18-21

21-20

31-21

27-15

15-22

17-29

15-29

22-22

19-19

16-16

12-27

27-30

16-21

13-14

9-12

23-24

17-25

23-22

26-30

22-25

28-18

18-18

12-26

17-17

14-23

20-23

27-20

20-20

14-25

31-23

24-22

27-15

15-28

21-27

28-15

23-16

167.7Avg total

81.2Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	78.1	81.9	160.0	-3.8	42%
Season at home (11)	81.3	76.6	157.9	+4.6	64%
Season away (13)	75.4	86.3	161.7	-10.9	23%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	86.5	167.7	-5.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	87.6	173.0	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	76.7	87.1	163.8	-10.4	33%
vs Similar (14)	78.6	84.4	163.0	-5.7	29%
vs Weaker (4)	78.0	60.5	138.5	+17.5	100%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.3	37.1	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.4	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.9	38.3	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	21.9	38.5	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	22.7	40.3	-5.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.8	41.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.8	21.9	39.7	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.3	20.9	38.1	-3.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	14.2	35.5	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.1	37.2	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.2	18.5	35.7	-1.3	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	38.1	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.3	20.9	38.2	-3.6	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.1	20.2	40.4	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.5	14.0	29.5	+1.5	75%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obera TC

29-34

-5

A08/12

Liga A

La Union

40-23

+17

A10/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#17

48-47

H13/12

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

31-48

-17

A18/12

Liga A

San Martin

#12

38-32

H21/12

Liga A

Platense

31-39

-8

A11/01

Liga A

Quimsa

35-45

-10

H14/01

Liga A

Olimpico

35-31

H17/01

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

52-46

H20/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-36

-3

H25/01

Liga A

75.3Avg total

37.2Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	37.6	74.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	37.8	75.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	37.4	73.3	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.1	75.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.4	76.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	34.8	36.1	70.9	-1.3	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	40.6	39.4	80.0	+1.3	64%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#12

41-43

-2

H18/12

Liga A

Obera TC

39-41

-2

H20/12

Liga A

La Union

32-51

-19

A10/01

Liga A

San Martin

#12

35-35

A12/01

Liga A

Regatas

#10

29-35

-6

A14/01

Liga A

Penarol

#13

40-47

-7

H19/01

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

46-36

+10

H22/01

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

34-46

-12

A26/01

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

45-48

-3

A28/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

36-55

-19

A30/01

Liga A

81.4Avg total

37.7Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	40.1	76.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	37.3	76.3	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.7	42.9	76.6	-9.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	43.7	81.4	-6.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	46.4	86.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.1	42.8	77.9	-7.8	8%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.4	41.1	78.5	-3.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.8	28.2	65.0	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	20.1	43.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.6	19.1	43.7	+5.5	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.1	42.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.7	41.7	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.6	46.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	22.7	42.3	-3.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	15.0	43.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+2.0	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.1	43.8	+1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.1	23.4	42.5	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	14.5	33.8	+4.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	40.4	84.1	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.3	38.4	81.8	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	42.6	86.8	+1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	41.3	88.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	38.2	82.6	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	51.0	34.0	85.0	+17.0	100%	-
vs Similar (18)	41.4	41.5	82.9	-0.1	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	46.7	39.2	85.9	+7.5	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	42.0	83.3	-0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	39.6	81.0	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	44.5	85.5	-3.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	42.3	85.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	41.2	86.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.2	43.8	85.1	-2.6	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.2	43.3	84.5	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	32.2	73.5	+9.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
30/10/22	Ferro v Boca Juniors	99-96
17/04/22	Ferro v Boca Juniors	58-78
19/03/22	Boca Juniors v Ferro	95-59
28/09/21	Boca Juniors v Ferro	97-69
10/03/21	Boca Juniors v Ferro	64-67
11/11/20	Ferro v Boca Juniors	60-76
22/01/20	Ferro v Boca Juniors	88-79
17/12/19	Boca Juniors v Ferro	68-69
29/01/19	Boca Juniors v Ferro	76-65
16/01/19	Ferro v Boca Juniors	78-81

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/23	H	Gimnasia	82-72
20/01/23	H	Independiente de Oliva	89-83
17/01/23	H	Olimpico	84-76
14/01/23	H	Quimsa	86-79
11/01/23	A	Platense	67-78
21/12/22	H	San Martin	81-64
18/12/22	A	Riachuelo	91-87
13/12/22	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	102-107
10/12/22	A	La Union	84-75
08/12/22	A	Obera TC	87-88 OT

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/01/23	A	Obras Sanitarias	87-86
28/01/23	A	Union De Santa Fe	96-85
26/01/23	A	Independiente de Oliva	81-86
22/01/23	H	Independiente de Oliva	75-79
19/01/23	H	Penarol	88-102
14/01/23	A	Regatas	61-71
12/01/23	A	San Martin	74-92
10/01/23	A	La Union	69-102
20/12/22	H	Obera TC	97-77
18/12/22	H	San Martin	84-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	58%
Home	WWWWW	67%
Away	LLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	58%	67%	50%
Points / game	84.9	84.1	85.7
Allowed / game	81.6	80.7	82.5
Point differential	+3.3	+3.4	+3.2
Avg total	166.6	164.8	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	22%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Ferro

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	42%
Home	WLWLL	64%
Away	LLLWW	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	42%	64%	23%
Points / game	78.1	81.3	75.4
Allowed / game	81.9	76.6	86.3
Point differential	-3.8	+4.6	-10.9
Avg total	160.0	157.9	161.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	36%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Instituto de Cordoba	22	18	4	82%	82.3	76.6	+5.7
2	Obera TC	23	17	6	74%	75.2	71.8	+3.4
3	Obras Sanitarias	22	16	6	73%	83.9	77.7	+6.2
4	Gimnasia	21	15	6	71%	84.5	78.3	+6.2
5	Olimpico	19	13	6	68%	83.8	76.7	+7.1
6	Quimsa	22	15	7	68%	86.7	77.1	+9.6
7	San Martin	17	11	6	65%	79.1	73.2	+5.9
8	Platense	21	13	8	62%	82.8	79.1	+3.6
9	Penarol	21	13	8	62%	80.3	77.4	+2.9
10	Boca Juniors	19	11	8	58%	84.9	81.6	+3.3
11	Regatas	21	11	10	52%	77.0	77.6	-0.6
12	Independiente de Oliva	19	9	10	47%	78.6	78.5	+0.1
13	La Union	25	11	14	44%	80.2	77.5	+2.7
14	Ferro	24	10	14	42%	78.1	81.9	-3.8
15	Riachuelo	18	6	12	33%	80.5	86.5	-6.0
16	Argentino	23	7	16	30%	71.6	78.7	-7.1
17	Comunicaciones Mercedes	20	5	15	25%	77.4	85.0	-7.6
18	San Lorenzo	21	5	16	24%	75.9	85.0	-9.1
19	Union De Santa Fe	24	5	19	21%	76.7	82.2	-5.6
20	Atenas	22	1	21	5%	73.9	89.1	-15.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	15	17	19	17	68
Ferro	17	20	13	19	69

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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