Ferro vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 78-72

20-16 21-7 20-26 17-23

Position#6

Record9-5

FormWWLWW

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game74.7

Ferro 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#19

Record5-14

FormLLWLL

Points / game69.4

Allowed / game76.3

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Ferro v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Comunicaciones Mercedes

83-76

H01/12

Liga A

Platense

#18

64-71

-7

A06/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

77-83

-6

H08/12

Liga A

Argentino

#14

89-69

+20

H11/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

69-68

A17/12

Liga A

Regatas

78-69

H19/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

73-69

A22/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

70-74

-4

A10/01

Liga A

Platense

#18

82-71

+11

H17/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

88-79

H22/01

Liga A

29-17

18-17

14-18

22-24

22-18

14-14

12-23

16-16

17-25

22-19

16-24

22-15

14-14

27-20

26-16

22-19

14-16

13-7

21-22

21-23

27-19

17-16

22-12

12-22

17-14

17-12

17-19

22-24

21-11

15-18

21-27

13-18

31-14

20-25

17-17

14-15

28-23

23-11

19-20

18-25

150.2Avg total

77.3Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	76.0	74.7	150.7	+1.3	64%
Season at home (7)	80.6	77.4	158.0	+3.1	71%
Season away (7)	71.4	72.0	143.4	-0.6	57%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	72.9	150.2	+4.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	72.4	150.6	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	68.3	78.7	147.0	-10.3	33%
vs Similar (15)	75.1	75.7	150.7	-0.6	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	81.5	69.6	151.1	+11.9	75%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

67-92

-25

A13/12

Liga A

Libertad

#20

86-88 OT

-2

A15/12

Liga A

San Martin

55-65

-10

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

63-68

-5

H23/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

54-70

-16

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

66-67

-1

A14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

74-86

-12

A16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

88-84

H19/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

64-72

-8

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

72-92

-20

A25/01

Liga A

19-25

17-31

17-24

14-12

21-13

23-25

7-18

15-10

11-18

13-11

14-23

17-13

14-15

13-22

22-16

13-7

15-19

9-20

17-24

10-16

15-17

24-12

17-22

24-20

16-24

11-22

23-20

28-20

21-19

18-18

21-27

13-20

11-26

17-15

23-11

18-27

18-18

24-19

12-28

147.3Avg total

68.9Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	69.4	76.3	145.7	-6.8	26%
Season at home (9)	70.8	72.1	142.9	-1.3	56%
Season away (10)	68.2	80.0	148.2	-11.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.9	78.4	147.3	-9.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	80.2	153.0	-7.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	70.4	79.0	149.5	-8.6	20%
vs Similar (4)	67.5	76.0	143.5	-8.5	50%
vs Weaker (1)	86.0	88.0	174.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	17.5	36.8	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	16.7	36.1	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.1	39.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	16.2	41.0	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.5	16.1	35.6	+3.4	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.8	19.1	35.8	-2.3	32%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	15.5	33.0	+2.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	16.0	34.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	16.9	37.6	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	14.9	31.8	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	15.9	34.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	100%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.2	16.1	34.3	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.3	15.4	34.8	+3.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	19.8	36.3	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.8	18.9	35.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	20.8	36.9	-4.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.5	36.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.2	19.1	35.4	-2.9	32%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	-

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Comunicaciones Mercedes

47-34

+13

H01/12

Liga A

Platense

#18

36-32

A06/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

39-44

-5

H08/12

Liga A

Argentino

#14

41-34

H11/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

27-23

A17/12

Liga A

Regatas

44-35

H19/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

34-26

A22/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-29

A10/01

Liga A

Platense

#18

51-39

+12

H17/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

51-34

+17

H22/01

Liga A

73.6Avg total

40.6Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	33.1	71.3	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	34.4	74.4	+5.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	31.6	67.9	+4.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	33.0	73.6	+7.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	32.6	75.8	+10.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.3	39.0	80.3	+2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.1	33.3	70.3	+3.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	38.8	31.5	70.3	+7.3	75%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

36-56

-20

A13/12

Liga A

Libertad

#20

44-38

A15/12

Liga A

San Martin

24-29

-5

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

28-30

-2

H23/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-26

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

25-33

-8

A14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

40-44

-4

A16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

49-39

+10

H19/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

24-46

-22

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

36-45

-9

A25/01

Liga A

72.0Avg total

33.4Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.4	38.2	71.7	-4.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.8	36.3	70.1	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.1	40.2	73.3	-7.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	38.6	72.0	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	41.4	76.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	33.0	38.2	71.2	-5.2	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	33.5	38.5	72.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.7	18.3	31.0	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	20.8	37.1	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	19.3	34.7	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	20.5	36.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	7.0	18.0	25.0	-11.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.4	40.0	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	21.1	40.1	-2.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.8	36.6	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	21.3	35.7	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.7	21.3	40.1	-2.6	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.8	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.2	36.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	19.4	20.6	39.9	-1.2	48%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	10.0	25.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	38.6	78.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	41.6	78.3	-5.0	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	39.9	76.6	-3.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.8	74.8	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	27.0	39.7	66.7	-12.7	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.2	41.7	78.9	-4.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.7	38.1	80.8	+4.6	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	40.0	76.4	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	39.9	78.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	37.6	71.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	38.8	76.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	37.4	40.8	78.3	-3.4	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.0	37.5	71.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.7%	53.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.5	37.4%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	71.7%	15.4

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.1	57.8%	53.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	11.8	41.7%	32.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.0	73.3%	71.7%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.5%	53.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.3	36.0%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.4%	71.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.9	56.2%	53.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.3%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.8	74.8%	71.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/18	Ferro v Estudiantes	86-67
10/12/18	Estudiantes v Ferro	65-74
26/04/18	Ferro v Estudiantes	84-80
10/04/18	Estudiantes v Ferro	87-82
24/04/17	Estudiantes v Ferro	78-66
08/02/17	Ferro v Estudiantes	67-76
10/04/16	Ferro v Estudiantes	68-75
17/02/16	Estudiantes v Ferro	78-84

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/20	H	Boca Juniors	88-79
17/01/20	H	Platense	82-71
10/01/20	A	San Lorenzo	70-74
22/12/19	A	Hispano Americano	73-69
19/12/19	H	Regatas	78-69
17/12/19	A	Boca Juniors	69-68
11/12/19	H	Argentino	89-69
08/12/19	H	San Lorenzo	77-83
06/12/19	A	Platense	64-71
01/12/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	83-76

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/20	A	Penarol	72-92
22/01/20	H	Argentino	64-72
19/01/20	H	Hispano Americano	88-84
16/01/20	A	Boca Juniors	74-86
14/01/20	A	Hispano Americano	66-67
12/01/20	A	Gimnasia	54-70
23/12/19	H	Olimpico	63-68
19/12/19	H	San Martin	55-65
15/12/19	A	Libertad	86-88 OT
13/12/19	A	Olimpico	67-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	64%
Home	LWWWW	71%
Away	WLWWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	64%	71%	57%
Points / game	76.0	80.6	71.4
Allowed / game	74.7	77.4	72.0
Point differential	+1.3	+3.1	-0.6
Avg total	150.7	158.0	143.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	-	75% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	26%
Home	WLLWL	56%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	26%	56%	0%
Points / game	69.4	70.8	68.2
Allowed / game	76.3	72.1	80.0
Point differential	-6.8	-1.3	-11.8
Avg total	145.7	142.9	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	75% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	11	9	2	82%	85.5	81.3	+4.2
2	San Lorenzo	13	10	3	77%	85.7	79.7	+6.0
3	Gimnasia	14	10	4	71%	87.4	82.5	+4.9
4	Instituto de Cordoba	12	8	4	67%	83.8	78.3	+5.4
5	Comunicaciones Mercedes	17	11	6	65%	88.4	80.5	+7.9
6	San Martin	14	9	5	64%	80.4	75.6	+4.8
7	Ferro	14	9	5	64%	76.0	74.7	+1.3
8	Weber Bahia	14	8	6	57%	88.9	90.2	-1.4
9	Boca Juniors	15	8	7	53%	79.0	75.4	+3.6
10	Penarol	16	8	8	50%	81.4	79.9	+1.5
11	Regatas	15	7	8	47%	82.1	81.7	+0.5
12	Argentino	16	7	9	44%	77.2	82.8	-5.6
13	La Union	17	7	10	41%	83.1	83.8	-0.8
14	Obras Sanitarias	15	6	9	40%	83.5	83.9	-0.4
15	Platense	15	6	9	40%	77.4	82.9	-5.5
16	Olimpico	13	5	8	38%	79.7	80.4	-0.7
17	Hispano Americano	19	7	12	37%	80.7	80.7	-0.1
18	Atenas	14	5	9	36%	82.1	83.1	-1.0
19	Libertad	15	4	11	27%	71.9	85.1	-13.3
20	Estudiantes	19	5	14	26%	69.4	76.3	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferro	20	21	20	17	78
Estudiantes	16	7	26	23	72

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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