Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 68-69

16-14 7-13 22-21 23-21

Position#10

Record5-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game76.4

Boca Juniors

Ferro 🏆

Position#6

Record4-4

FormWWLLW

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game77.0

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

79-70

A24/10

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

0-20

-20

H26/10

Torneo Super 20

Obras Sanitarias

#13

79-70

A11/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-99 OT

-12

A17/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

76-86

-10

H22/11

Liga A

Atenas

#17

94-67

+27

H26/11

Liga A

Penarol

#15

77-74

H28/11

Liga A

Libertad

#20

91-67

+24

A04/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

81-62

+19

H08/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

74-86

-12

A14/12

Liga A

28-21

16-7

17-24

18-18

–

20-13

13-13

26-24

20-20

25-13

16-20

15-29

29-23

24-25

16-6

15-28

21-27

25-18

23-14

26-19

20-16

24-20

18-17

12-17

23-20

27-22

20-8

22-18

22-19

19-18

17-11

25-19

20-14

23-21

20-18

8-24

23-23

143.9Avg total

73.8Scored

70.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	82.4	76.4	158.8	+6.0	62%
Season at home (4)	82.0	72.2	154.2	+9.8	75%
Season away (4)	82.8	80.5	163.2	+2.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	70.1	143.9	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	71.2	154.6	+12.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	71.7	78.0	149.7	-6.3	29%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	81.1	75.4	156.5	+5.6	69%
vs Weaker (7)	78.4	69.4	147.9	+9.0	71%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

69-56

+13

H13/11

South American League

Corinthians Paulista

57-77

-20

A15/11

South American League

Obras Sanitarias

#13

67-95

-28

H18/11

Liga A

Regatas

83-82 OT

A22/11

Liga A

San Martin

67-75

-8

A24/11

Liga A

La Union

#16

74-65

A26/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

83-76

H01/12

Liga A

Platense

#18

64-71

-7

A06/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

77-83

-6

H08/12

Liga A

Argentino

#14

89-69

+20

H11/12

Liga A

18-13

16-12

15-18

20-13

20-28

18-14

7-15

12-20

19-26

23-22

9-24

16-23

18-14

18-12

13-21

22-24

22-21

15-20

18-15

12-19

20-13

18-10

20-21

16-21

29-17

18-17

14-18

22-24

22-18

14-14

12-23

16-16

17-25

22-19

16-24

22-15

14-14

27-20

26-16

22-19

147.9Avg total

73.0Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	75.5	77.0	152.5	-1.5	50%
Season at home (4)	79.0	80.8	159.8	-1.8	50%
Season away (4)	72.0	73.2	145.2	-1.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	73.0	74.9	147.9	-1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	72.8	150.2	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	70.5	85.2	155.8	-14.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	74.8	77.6	152.4	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker (16)	84.0	72.2	156.2	+11.8	75%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	17.9	38.1	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.9	19.0	42.9	+4.9	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.3	17.7	41.0	+5.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.1	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.6	17.5	35.1	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.3	17.4	36.8	+1.9	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	16.0	36.4	+4.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	17.1	34.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.7	12.7	30.3	+5.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	13.6	33.2	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.1	16.8	36.9	+3.3	69%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	16.7	36.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+4.1	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.1	16.3	33.4	+0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.0	34.9	+2.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.9	15.3	35.2	+4.6	62%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

44-28

+16

A24/10

Torneo Super 20

Obras Sanitarias

#13

33-26

A11/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

41-33

A17/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

40-31

H22/11

Liga A

Atenas

#17

48-32

+16

H26/11

Liga A

Penarol

#15

42-37

H28/11

Liga A

Libertad

#20

47-30

+17

A04/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

36-29

H08/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

43-39

A14/12

Liga A

73.2Avg total

41.6Scored

31.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.1	34.5	73.6	+4.6	76%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	33.1	74.1	+7.8	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	35.8	73.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.6	31.7	73.2	+9.9	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	33.4	76.6	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.3	35.5	75.8	+4.8	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.6	34.9	74.6	+4.7	75%	-
vs Weaker (7)	36.9	32.7	69.6	+4.1	71%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

34-25

H13/11

South American League

Corinthians Paulista

38-42

-4

A15/11

South American League

Obras Sanitarias

#13

42-48

-6

H18/11

Liga A

Regatas

36-26

+10

A22/11

Liga A

San Martin

37-41

-4

A24/11

Liga A

La Union

#16

38-23

+15

A26/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

47-34

+13

H01/12

Liga A

Platense

#18

36-32

A06/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

39-44

-5

H08/12

Liga A

Argentino

#14

41-34

H11/12

Liga A

73.7Avg total

38.8Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	34.8	73.2	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.2	34.9	74.1	+4.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.2	34.7	71.8	+2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	34.9	73.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	33.4	73.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	42.0	82.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	36.4	35.2	71.6	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.2	32.8	71.9	+6.4	81%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.4	22.4	40.9	-4.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	24.5	41.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.5	19.8	39.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.7	19.3	41.1	+2.4	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.8	20.8	34.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.2	19.2	39.5	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.1	19.7	42.9	+3.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.2	20.3	41.4	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	22.5	39.2	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	39.9	79.6	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	40.1	80.4	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.2	42.4	82.7	-2.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	37.8	78.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.8	46.5	85.3	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.8	39.0	78.8	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.6	36.7	78.3	+4.9	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	40.6	80.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.9	39.6	82.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.6	42.0	78.6	-5.4	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	38.9	71.9	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.4	76.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.5	43.2	73.8	-12.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.2	41.3	78.5	-4.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	44.8	39.4	84.2	+5.4	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
29/01/19	Boca Juniors v Ferro	76-65
16/01/19	Ferro v Boca Juniors	78-81
20/10/18	Ferro v Boca Juniors	68-63
01/10/18	Boca Juniors v Ferro	64-81
24/04/18	Ferro v Boca Juniors	102-105 OT
19/02/18	Boca Juniors v Ferro	77-71
15/10/17	Ferro v Boca Juniors	80-81
22/09/17	Boca Juniors v Ferro	76-83
08/03/17	Ferro v Boca Juniors	71-70
19/12/16	Boca Juniors v Ferro	67-75

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/19	A	La Union	74-86
08/12/19	H	Hispano Americano	81-62
04/12/19	A	Libertad	91-67
28/11/19	H	Penarol	77-74
26/11/19	H	Atenas	94-67
22/11/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	76-86
17/11/19	A	Gimnasia	87-99 OT
11/11/19	A	Obras Sanitarias	79-70
26/10/19	H	San Lorenzo	0-20
24/10/19	A	San Lorenzo	79-70

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/19	H	Argentino	89-69
08/12/19	H	San Lorenzo	77-83
06/12/19	A	Platense	64-71
01/12/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	83-76
26/11/19	A	La Union	74-65
24/11/19	A	San Martin	67-75
22/11/19	A	Regatas	83-82 OT
18/11/19	H	Obras Sanitarias	67-95
15/11/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	57-77
13/11/19	H	Pinheiros	69-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	62%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	82.4	82.0	82.8
Allowed / game	76.4	72.2	80.5
Point differential	+6.0	+9.8	+2.2
Avg total	158.8	154.2	163.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

Ferro

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	50%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	75.5	79.0	72.0
Allowed / game	77.0	80.8	73.2
Point differential	-1.5	-1.8	-1.2
Avg total	152.5	159.8	145.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Gimnasia	10	8	2	80%	89.4	82.4	+7.0
2	Quimsa	9	7	2	78%	83.3	79.3	+4.0
3	San Lorenzo	11	8	3	73%	88.4	81.8	+6.5
4	Instituto de Cordoba	10	7	3	70%	84.1	78.0	+6.1
5	Boca Juniors	8	5	3	62%	82.4	76.4	+6.0
6	Olimpico	7	4	3	57%	82.9	77.0	+5.9
7	San Martin	7	4	3	57%	82.6	79.3	+3.3
8	Comunicaciones Mercedes	11	6	5	55%	86.2	82.6	+3.5
9	Obras Sanitarias	10	5	5	50%	86.1	80.3	+5.8
10	Ferro	8	4	4	50%	75.5	77.0	-1.5
11	Argentino	11	5	6	45%	79.2	84.3	-5.1
12	Regatas	9	4	5	44%	80.4	80.0	+0.4
13	Hispano Americano	12	5	7	42%	82.9	81.9	+1.0
14	Penarol	10	4	6	40%	76.2	79.4	-3.2
15	Weber Bahia	8	3	5	38%	91.9	92.8	-0.9
16	La Union	11	4	7	36%	80.6	84.5	-3.9
17	Estudiantes	11	4	7	36%	71.2	76.8	-5.6
18	Platense	9	3	6	33%	77.4	85.3	-7.9
19	Atenas	7	2	5	29%	82.6	87.4	-4.9
20	Libertad	9	2	7	22%	69.9	86.2	-16.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	16	7	22	23	68
Ferro	14	13	21	21	69

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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