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Ferro vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 81-73
10-19 26-17 26-20 19-17
Position#6
Record28-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game81.5
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#1
Record29-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game75.9
ArgentinaLiga ALiga A - Semi-finals· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ferro v Gimnasia
06 Mar 2027
FERR v GIMN
upcoming
30 May 2026
FERR81
GIMN73
28 May 2026
FERR74
GIMN70
22 Nov 2025
FERR84
GIMN72
03 Jun 2025
FERR91
GIMN69
26 May 2025
FERR75
GIMN92
24 May 2025
FERR77
GIMN67
10 Jan 2025
FERR88
GIMN84
23 Oct 2023
FERR96
GIMN87
22 Nov 2022
FERR65
GIMN92
27 Jan 2022
FERR84
GIMN85
14 Oct 2021
FERR72
GIMN73
19 Jan 2021
FERR76
GIMN74
24 Mar 2020
FERR v GIMN
upcoming
05 Nov 2019
FERR75
GIMN78
09 Mar 2019
FERR89
GIMN95
04 Nov 2018
FERR75
GIMN65
10 Dec 2017
FERR90
GIMN70
08 Nov 2017
FERR83
GIMN85
13 Feb 2017
FERR99
GIMN81
29 Sep 2016
FERR93
GIMN83
27 Feb 2016
FERR70
GIMN85
22 Oct 2015
FERR68
GIMN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gimnasia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 74
A01/05
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
84-68
84
68
+16
80avg 74
A03/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
95-89
95
89
+6
86avg 74
A08/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
60-81
60
81
-21
44avg 74
A11/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
58avg 74
H13/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
68avg 74
H15/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
76avg 74
A19/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
62avg 74
A23/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
62avg 74
A25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
61avg 74
H28/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
23-18
21-25
11-22
22-19
26-23
22-10
14-16
18-20
19-24
28-24
30-21
21-23
16-20
10-14
13-24
24-16
16-17
30-25
20-17
21-20
21-21
15-20
14-18
24-31
17-23
19-13
27-18
14-23
21-18
20-18
22-22
18-20
19-24
20-14
17-21
22-21
23-14
11-25
18-10
158.1Avg total
78.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)82.981.5164.4+1.358%
Season at home (23)86.179.2165.3+6.974%
Season away (25)79.983.7163.6-3.844%
Last 10 (10)78.779.4158.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.678.8155.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.0115.0188.0-42.00%
vs Similar ◀ (26)80.080.4160.4-0.450%
vs Weaker (3)94.376.7171.0+17.7100%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGimnasia
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
68avg 73
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 73
H18/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
78-66
78
66
+12
67avg 73
H09/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 73
H10/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 73
A14/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
66-74
66
74
-8
62avg 73
A16/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
81-71
81
71
+10
68avg 73
H19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
73avg 73
H23/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
76avg 73
H25/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
66avg 73
A28/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
24-21
21-20
21-22
28-16
24-23
25-9
12-26
23-16
25-21
16-23
14-6
15-20
16-17
30-11
16-24
21-25
16-22
21-16
18-15
19-19
22-19
15-13
10-23
23-18
21-22
18-18
19-13
23-14
18-21
18-20
22-22
20-18
24-19
14-20
21-17
21-22
14-23
25-11
10-18
151.8Avg total
77.4Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)80.775.9156.6+4.866%
Season at home (23)82.275.1157.3+7.078%
Season away (21)79.176.8155.9+2.352%
Last 10 (10)77.474.4151.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)75.474.0149.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.176.8156.9+3.374%
vs Weaker (11)85.178.5163.5+6.673%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
FerroGimnasia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A01/05
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A19/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A23/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/05
Liga A
82.2Avg total
40.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.785.1+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.838.884.7+7.077%-
Last 30 away (17)41.543.985.4-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.782.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.066.0106.0-26.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (26)42.241.483.6+0.854%-
vs Weaker (3)54.736.791.3+18.0100%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H18/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H10/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A16/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H23/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/05
Liga A
80.5Avg total
40.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.379.1+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.338.880.1+2.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.537.778.2+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.780.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.080.0+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.638.677.2+0.153%-
vs Weaker (11)44.737.782.5+7.073%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.6
54.1%
53.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
71.5%14.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.8
54.3%
53.7%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.6
30.6%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.616.0
70.8%
71.5%16.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro
WLLWLWLWWL
Gimnasia
LWWWLLWWWL
#6
League position
#1
-5.1
Net rating
+4.6
108.3
Offensive rating
108.0
113.5
Defensive rating
103.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.3%
3-point %
30.6%
49.2%
Assist %
52.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 108.0Defence113.5 · 103.4Shooting50.3% · 50.4%3-point %30.3% · 30.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Ferro   ■ Gimnasia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ferro wins
5
Gimnasia wins
DateGameScore
28/05/26Ferro v Gimnasia74-70
25/05/26Gimnasia v Ferro79-74
23/05/26Gimnasia v Ferro81-77
18/01/26Gimnasia v Ferro88-75
22/11/25Ferro v Gimnasia84-72
03/06/25Ferro v Gimnasia91-69
31/05/25Gimnasia v Ferro64-77
30/05/25Gimnasia v Ferro76-57
27/05/25Ferro v Gimnasia75-92
25/05/25Ferro v Gimnasia77-67
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/26HGimnasia74-70
25/05/26AGimnasia74-79
23/05/26AGimnasia77-81
19/05/26ARegatas87-85
15/05/26HRegatas71-79
13/05/26HRegatas90-75
11/05/26ARegatas60-81
08/05/26ARegatas95-89
03/05/26APenarol84-68
01/05/26APenarol75-87
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/26AFerro70-74
25/05/26HFerro79-74
23/05/26HFerro81-77
19/05/26HIndependiente de Oliva81-71
16/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva66-74
14/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva76-78
10/05/26HIndependiente de Oliva77-72
09/05/26HIndependiente de Oliva78-66
18/04/26HArgentino89-74
12/04/26HInstituto de Cordoba77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWWWLW74%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %58%74%44%
Points / game82.986.179.9
Allowed / game81.579.283.7
Point differential+1.3+6.9-3.8
Avg total164.4165.3163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)50% (10)57% (7)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Gimnasia
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL66%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWLLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %66%78%52%
Points / game80.782.279.1
Allowed / game75.975.176.8
Point differential+4.8+7.0+2.3
Avg total156.6157.3155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)86% (7)38% (8)
Overtime %7%4%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa44291566%83.276.5+6.8
2 Gimnasia44291566%80.775.9+4.8
3 Boca Juniors45291664%82.879.3+3.5
4 Regatas41251661%79.976.7+3.2
5 Obera TC39231659%80.777.7+2.9
6 Ferro48282058%82.981.5+1.3
7 Obras Sanitarias41231856%80.779.0+1.7
8 Independiente de Oliva45252056%85.883.9+1.9
9 Instituto de Cordoba46252154%76.976.2+0.8
10 La Union40211952%81.880.8+1.0
11 Penarol40202050%81.481.7-0.2
12 San Martin39172244%76.577.8-1.3
13 Olimpico36152142%79.280.0-0.9
14 Racing de Chivilcoy36142239%79.481.8-2.4
15 Union De Santa Fe36132336%81.583.8-2.3
16 Platense36132336%82.385.2-2.9
17 San Lorenzo36132336%78.782.3-3.7
18 Atenas40142635%76.881.5-4.7
19 Argentino40103025%74.787.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro1026261981
Gimnasia1917201773
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