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Ferro vs Independiente de Oliva Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 22 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game89.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ferro v Independiente de Oliva
22 Apr 2027
FERR v INDE
upcoming
10 Feb 2026
FERR88
INDE82
08 Feb 2025
FERR93
INDE77
15 May 2024
FERR91
INDE79
22 Jan 2023
FERR75
INDE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 68
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
46avg 68
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 68
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 68
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
83avg 68
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 68
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 68
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
49avg 68
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
26-17
26-20
19-17
19-21
14-30
13-20
8-17
17-21
20-23
22-14
9-21
33-28
14-23
27-23
23-18
17-12
22-20
12-22
22-19
20-16
28-24
18-24
20-27
30-20
20-17
19-14
17-30
14-23
19-22
15-11
13-17
20-18
26-12
19-21
19-36
20-22
19-13
18-15
19-35
163.3Avg total
78.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.585.6167.1-4.125%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (5)81.286.4167.6-5.220%
Last 10 (10)78.784.6163.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.683.4162.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.887.6170.4-4.820%
vs Similar (24)78.280.0158.3-1.846%
vs Weaker (1)100.074.0174.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 72
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 72
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
57avg 72
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
66avg 72
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
64avg 72
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 72
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 72
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 72
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
no box
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
122-89
122
89
+33
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
21-19
22-15
6-14
13-14
21-27
32-11
30-24
39-27
168.2Avg total
85.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season at home (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.682.6168.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)93.887.4181.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (19)83.186.1169.1-3.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.487.4182.8+8.060%
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
FerroIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/11
Liga A
80.9Avg total
40.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.382.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.337.082.3+8.382%-
Last 30 away (19)40.542.382.7-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.180.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
vs Similar (24)41.840.582.2+1.354%-
vs Weaker (1)59.036.095.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/11
Liga A
85.7Avg total
45.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.087.7+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.642.288.8+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.986.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.585.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.690.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (19)43.644.487.9-0.837%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.741.187.8+5.660%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.5
25.5%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.2
75.8%
72.7%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro
LLLWLLWLLW
Independiente de Oliva
WLWLLWWLLW
#16
League position
#7
-4.4
Net rating
-3.2
107.2
Offensive rating
107.5
111.6
Defensive rating
110.8
47.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
25.5%
3-point %
29.3%
51.9%
Assist %
43.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 107.5Defence111.6 · 110.8Shooting47.6% · 49.1%3-point %25.5% · 29.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Ferro   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ferro wins
4
Independiente de Oliva wins
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPenarol76-85
11/11/26HSan Martin84-87
29/10/26AGimnasia61-73
21/10/26HPlatense86-81
13/10/26AAtenas86-91
10/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba94-97 OT
09/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva97-92
01/10/26AArgentino68-79
03/06/26AGimnasia54-88
30/05/26HGimnasia81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSan Lorenzo122-89
06/11/26HGimnasia76-77 OT
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game81.582.081.2
Allowed / game85.684.386.4
Point differential-4.1-2.3-5.2
Avg total167.1166.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game99.599.5-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+10.5+10.5-
Avg total188.5188.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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