Independiente de Oliva vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 01:10

Final 87-75

18-14 28-18 20-14 21-29

Position#8

Record5-3

FormWWLLW

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game81.5

Independiente de Oliva 🏆

Ferro

Position#6

Record6-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game79.0

Liga A· Polideportivo Independiente DSC

Other2025-26

Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Independiente de Oliva Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOliva

Date

Competition

Penarol

#12

74-99

-25

66avg 78

A08/05

Liga A

Obera TC

84-93

-9

68avg 78

H16/05

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

93-86

90avg 78

H03/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

82-87

-5

65avg 78

H14/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

105-71

105

+34

105avg 78

H17/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

81-78

93avg 78

H22/10

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

79-73

70avg 78

A28/10

Liga A

Quimsa

83-86

-3

67avg 78

A30/10

Liga A

Obera TC

83-84

-1

69avg 78

H01/11

Liga A

La Union

#10

91-87

84avg 78

H05/11

Liga A

20-26

15-28

16-23

23-22

23-20

28-26

18-23

15-24

23-28

28-15

21-20

21-23

24-18

17-23

20-17

21-29

30-13

24-17

25-22

26-19

23-26

19-21

21-17

18-14

23-17

16-14

19-23

21-19

27-20

23-25

16-21

17-20

19-28

25-21

16-20

23-15

19-8

17-26

31-28

24-25

169.9Avg total

85.5Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	87.1	81.5	168.6	+5.6	62%
Season at home (6)	89.2	82.2	171.3	+7.0	67%
Season away (2)	81.0	79.5	160.5	+1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	84.4	169.9	+1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	81.6	165.0	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	85.2	88.3	173.5	-3.1	31%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	85.9	86.3	172.1	-0.4	57%
vs Weaker (3)	88.3	76.0	164.3	+12.3	67%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFerro

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

71-69

63avg 73

A08/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

76-73

70avg 73

H12/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

72-74

-2

61avg 73

H13/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

70-86

-16

58avg 73

A17/06

Liga A

Platense

#16

87-82

78avg 73

A25/09

Liga A

Penarol

#11

97-84

+13

91avg 73

H28/09

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

89-79

+10

84avg 73

A05/10

Liga A

San Martin

#12

69-66

59avg 73

H14/10

Liga A

Argentino

#19

97-80

+17

84avg 73

A18/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

96-83

+13

92avg 73

H31/10

Liga A

18-21

13-20

18-12

22-16

20-20

12-19

13-12

31-22

23-14

8-19

20-20

21-21

20-15

14-30

20-27

16-14

22-25

20-22

27-24

18-11

15-24

24-20

30-20

28-20

26-14

18-21

15-26

30-18

26-18

10-13

13-22

20-13

36-26

22-22

17-15

22-17

22-24

21-30

29-15

24-14

160.0Avg total

82.4Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	89.2	79.0	168.2	+10.2	100%
Season at home (3)	87.3	77.7	165.0	+9.7	100%
Season away (3)	91.0	80.3	171.3	+10.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	77.6	160.0	+4.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	78.4	168.0	+11.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	75.9	77.9	153.8	-1.9	50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	83.6	80.6	164.1	+3.0	71%
vs Weaker (2)	93.5	73.5	167.0	+20.0	100%

This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Independiente de OlivaFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.9	44.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	22.3	44.5	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.6	20.5	42.2	+1.1	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.6	23.8	46.4	-1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.7	19.3	48.0	+9.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	21.2	46.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.7	17.8	39.5	+3.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	30.5	21.0	51.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	22.5	24.0	46.5	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	21.1	39.1	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	21.9	39.2	-4.6	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.4	20.8	37.1	-4.4	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.2	14%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	17.5	43.5	+8.5	50%	-

Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#12

35-54

-19

A08/05

Liga A

Obera TC

51-46

H16/05

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

51-43

H03/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

41-41

H14/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

54-30

+24

H17/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

42-47

-5

H22/10

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

39-31

A28/10

Liga A

Quimsa

50-45

A30/10

Liga A

Obera TC

44-49

-5

H01/11

Liga A

La Union

#10

36-34

H05/11

Liga A

86.3Avg total

44.3Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	43.9	87.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.1	42.9	89.1	+3.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	45.2	86.5	-4.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	42.0	86.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	44.2	44.5	88.7	-0.4	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.1	44.8	87.9	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.3	37.3	84.7	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

31-41

-10

A08/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

32-39

-7

H12/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

31-33

-2

H13/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

34-45

-11

A17/06

Liga A

Platense

#16

42-47

-5

A25/09

Liga A

Penarol

#11

39-44

-5

H28/09

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

44-35

A05/10

Liga A

San Martin

#12

36-31

H14/10

Liga A

Argentino

#19

58-48

+10

A18/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

43-54

-11

H31/10

Liga A

80.7Avg total

39.0Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.8	79.2	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	39.1	79.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	40.4	79.2	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.7	80.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.1	40.1	76.2	-3.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.4	39.6	80.0	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	56.5	38.5	95.0	+18.0	100%	-

This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	20.6	41.6	+0.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.4	41.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.2	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.7	39.9	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.2	39.2	-1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.4	18.9	38.2	+0.5	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.9	21.1	41.9	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	16.6	39.8	+6.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	16.4	41.2	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.4	18.9	39.4	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.4	19.9	42.2	+2.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	18.5	35.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	42.2	84.0	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.0	42.1	84.1	-0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.6	42.4	84.0	-0.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	42.4	83.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.4	81.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	41.1	43.8	84.8	-2.7	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.7	41.5	84.2	+1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	38.7	79.7	+2.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	39.1	80.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	38.6	81.4	+4.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	39.5	79.3	+0.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	35.9	79.3	+7.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	36.0	81.6	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.8	37.8	77.6	+2.0	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.2	40.9	84.1	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	35.0	72.0	+2.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Independiente de Oliva wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
08/02/25	Ferro v Independiente de Oliva	93-77
16/11/24	Independiente de Oliva v Ferro	87-92
15/05/24	Ferro v Independiente de Oliva	91-79
14/12/23	Independiente de Oliva v Ferro	91-84
26/01/23	Independiente de Oliva v Ferro	86-81
22/01/23	Ferro v Independiente de Oliva	75-79

Independiente de Olivalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/25	H	La Union	91-87
01/11/25	H	Obera TC	83-84
30/10/25	A	Quimsa	83-86
28/10/25	A	Olimpico	79-73
22/10/25	H	Gimnasia	81-78
17/10/25	H	San Lorenzo	105-71
14/10/25	H	Boca Juniors	82-87
03/10/25	H	Instituto de Cordoba	93-86
16/05/25	H	Obera TC	84-93
08/05/25	A	Penarol	74-99

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/25	H	Obras Sanitarias	96-83
18/10/25	A	Argentino	97-80
14/10/25	H	San Martin	69-66
05/10/25	A	Racing de Chivilcoy	89-79
28/09/25	H	Penarol	97-84
25/09/25	A	Platense	87-82
17/06/25	A	Boca Juniors	70-86
13/06/25	H	Boca Juniors	72-74
12/06/25	H	Boca Juniors	76-73
08/06/25	A	Boca Juniors	71-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	62%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	6	2
Win %	62%	67%	50%
Points / game	87.1	89.2	81.0
Allowed / game	81.5	82.2	79.5
Point differential	+5.6	+7.0	+1.5
Avg total	168.6	171.3	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ferro

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	89.2	87.3	91.0
Allowed / game	79.0	77.7	80.3
Point differential	+10.2	+9.7	+10.7
Avg total	168.2	165.0	171.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	67%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ferro	6	6	0	100%	89.2	79.0	+10.2
2	Instituto de Cordoba	10	7	3	70%	80.3	78.7	+1.6
3	La Union	11	7	4	64%	83.5	78.1	+5.5
4	Obras Sanitarias	8	5	3	62%	79.9	73.9	+6.0
5	Independiente de Oliva	8	5	3	62%	87.1	81.5	+5.6
6	Penarol	8	5	3	62%	81.4	81.9	-0.5
7	Boca Juniors	12	7	5	58%	83.6	79.8	+3.8
8	Obera TC	7	4	3	57%	81.0	76.6	+4.4
9	Regatas	9	5	4	56%	78.0	77.0	+1.0
10	Quimsa	10	5	5	50%	81.1	76.6	+4.5
11	San Martin	10	5	5	50%	73.9	72.3	+1.6
12	Gimnasia	9	4	5	44%	75.1	71.9	+3.2
13	Union De Santa Fe	9	4	5	44%	77.4	82.0	-4.6
14	Platense	7	3	4	43%	83.6	84.6	-1.0
15	Olimpico	8	3	5	38%	79.9	78.0	+1.9
16	Atenas	11	4	7	36%	73.4	80.5	-7.2
17	Racing de Chivilcoy	9	3	6	33%	79.1	80.8	-1.7
18	San Lorenzo	10	3	7	30%	77.5	87.6	-10.1
19	Argentino	10	1	9	10%	73.2	90.6	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Independiente de Oliva	18	28	20	21	87
Ferro	14	18	14	29	75

← all games of the day

Independiente de Oliva vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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