Ferro vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 102-67

25-13 29-7 25-24 23-23

Position#3

Record8-5

FormWWWLL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game78.5

Ferro 🏆

Quilmes

Position#20

Record2-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game86.5

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Ferro v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#16

82-77

H15/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

86-67

+19

H19/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

85-80

H07/01

Liga A

Atenas

#19

89-79

+10

H11/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

78-81

-3

H16/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

83-75

A19/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

90-84

A21/01

Liga A

Libertad

#14

84-68

+16

H25/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

65-76

-11

A29/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

72-81

-9

A01/02

Liga A

22-24

19-9

15-22

26-22

21-20

18-20

19-16

28-11

18-21

20-28

16-13

31-18

17-24

29-14

26-20

17-21

18-13

19-27

20-20

21-21

16-17

21-17

21-19

25-22

32-28

23-13

18-22

17-21

27-11

10-13

22-19

25-25

22-20

17-15

18-23

8-18

19-25

20-19

17-18

16-19

158.2Avg total

81.4Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.9	78.5	159.4	+2.5	62%
Season at home (6)	84.0	75.3	159.3	+8.7	83%
Season away (7)	78.3	81.1	159.4	-2.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	76.8	158.2	+4.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	76.8	155.6	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.2	88.5	166.8	-10.2	0%
vs Similar (9)	76.3	74.3	150.7	+2.0	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	83.9	77.2	161.1	+6.8	71%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

68-101

101

-33

A14/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

81-82

-1

A16/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

87-105

105

-18

A17/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

68-63

H22/12

Liga A

Libertad

#14

64-66

-2

H10/01

Liga A

Penarol

#16

101-105 OT

101

105

-4

H18/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

90-78

+12

H24/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

78-95

-17

H27/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

76-88

-12

H30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

77-83

-6

A01/02

Liga A

16-33

20-20

14-19

18-29

17-21

16-15

30-22

18-24

17-27

21-21

27-29

22-28

17-21

16-14

22-16

13-12

20-10

11-22

23-12

10-22

25-25

27-27

15-16

16-15

17-13

26-17

22-25

25-23

13-24

23-19

20-25

22-27

17-20

10-13

27-22

22-33

25-16

12-22

21-22

19-23

165.6Avg total

79.0Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.5	86.5	166.0	-7.1	18%
Season at home (7)	80.1	83.0	163.1	-2.9	29%
Season away (4)	78.2	92.8	171.0	-14.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	86.6	165.6	-7.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	89.8	174.2	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	80.8	89.0	169.8	-8.2	13%
vs Similar (13)	80.2	83.3	163.5	-3.2	38%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	89.5	176.0	-3.0	50%

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	16.7	37.8	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.1	41.9	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.2	23.2	45.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.6	18.6	38.1	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.5	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	22.1	39.0	-5.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	53%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.1	20.6	37.7	-3.5	15%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.5	37.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.4	33.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	19.5	36.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.7	18.8	35.4	-2.1	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.6	16.4	35.9	+3.2	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.6	37.9	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.7	38.4	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	50%	-

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#16

41-33

H15/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

39-40

-1

H19/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

38-49

-11

H07/01

Liga A

Atenas

#19

46-38

H11/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

37-40

-3

H16/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

37-34

A19/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

55-41

+14

A21/01

Liga A

Libertad

#14

37-24

+13

H25/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

39-35

A29/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

39-44

-5

A01/02

Liga A

78.6Avg total

40.8Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	36.9	75.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	34.5	73.9	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	39.3	77.6	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	37.8	78.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	35.6	77.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.5	42.8	82.2	-3.2	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.2	37.3	73.6	-1.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	40.1	35.3	75.4	+4.8	71%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

36-53

-17

A14/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

33-36

-3

A16/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

38-48

-10

A17/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

33-35

-2

H22/12

Liga A

Libertad

#14

31-32

-1

H10/01

Liga A

Penarol

#16

52-52

H18/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

43-30

+13

H24/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-43

-7

H27/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

27-33

-6

H30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

37-38

-1

A01/02

Liga A

76.6Avg total

36.6Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	39.3	75.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.3	37.1	74.4	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	41.8	77.4	-6.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.2	78.2	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.6	39.6	76.2	-3.0	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.4	39.5	75.9	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	35.0	71.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.3	38.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.9	45.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	26.2	45.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	17.1	36.2	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.1	22.1	44.2	+0.1	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.5	22.9	44.4	-1.5	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.1	41.7	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+1.9	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.3	44.0	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	23.6	45.2	-1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	23.6	42.1	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.7	24.1	44.7	-3.4	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.8	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	32.5	57.5	-7.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.9	83.0	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	37.8	79.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.6	44.1	86.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	39.0	79.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	41.2	78.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.8	45.8	84.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.1	37.0	77.1	+3.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	43.9	41.9	85.8	+2.0	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	44.4	86.3	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	44.1	87.8	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.7	44.9	84.6	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	44.4	85.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	46.2	88.0	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	42.1	47.0	89.1	-4.9	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.3	39.9	80.2	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.0	54.5	104.5	-4.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Quilmes wins

Date	Game	Score
29/04/18	Ferro v Quilmes	94-71
25/03/18	Quilmes v Ferro	82-86
15/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	107-113 OT
11/06/17	Quilmes v Ferro	100-91
10/06/17	Quilmes v Ferro	83-97
07/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	78-76
04/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	78-81 OT
18/03/17	Ferro v Quilmes	76-69
31/01/17	Quilmes v Ferro	88-99
28/10/16	Ferro v Quilmes	84-54

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/19	A	Gimnasia	72-81
29/01/19	A	Boca Juniors	65-76
25/01/19	H	Libertad	84-68
21/01/19	A	Quimsa	90-84
19/01/19	A	Olimpico	83-75
16/01/19	H	Boca Juniors	78-81
11/01/19	H	Atenas	89-79
07/01/19	H	Instituto de Cordoba	85-80
19/12/18	H	Estudiantes	86-67
15/12/18	H	Penarol	82-77

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/19	A	Obras Sanitarias	77-83
30/01/19	H	Hispano Americano	76-88
27/01/19	H	San Lorenzo	78-95
24/01/19	H	Gimnasia	90-78
18/01/19	H	Penarol	101-105 OT
10/01/19	H	Libertad	64-66
22/12/18	H	Weber Bahia	68-63
17/12/18	A	San Lorenzo	87-105
16/12/18	A	Boca Juniors	81-82
14/12/18	A	Gimnasia	68-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	62%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	62%	83%	43%
Points / game	80.9	84.0	78.3
Allowed / game	78.5	75.3	81.1
Point differential	+2.5	+8.7	-2.9
Avg total	159.4	159.3	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	67% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Quilmes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	18%
Home	LLWLL	29%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	7	4
Win %	18%	29%	0%
Points / game	79.5	80.1	78.2
Allowed / game	86.5	83.0	92.8
Point differential	-7.1	-2.9	-14.5
Avg total	166.0	163.1	171.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	25% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	9%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	11	11	0	100%	93.6	72.7	+20.9
2	Regatas	15	12	3	80%	85.3	77.5	+7.9
3	Gimnasia	12	8	4	67%	81.4	76.2	+5.2
4	Ferro	13	8	5	62%	80.9	78.5	+2.5
5	Obras Sanitarias	13	8	5	62%	83.1	81.8	+1.2
6	San Martin	13	8	5	62%	79.5	80.2	-0.6
7	Instituto de Cordoba	10	6	4	60%	84.9	78.6	+6.3
8	Boca Juniors	14	8	6	57%	74.0	73.5	+0.5
9	Libertad	14	8	6	57%	77.3	77.2	+0.1
10	Quimsa	11	6	5	55%	88.1	83.6	+4.5
11	Hispano Americano	12	6	6	50%	80.2	82.7	-2.4
12	Penarol	14	6	8	43%	80.4	85.4	-4.9
13	Olimpico	12	5	7	42%	76.0	75.0	+1.0
14	La Union	12	5	7	42%	83.5	86.2	-2.7
15	Comunicaciones Mercedes	11	4	7	36%	82.0	78.9	+3.1
16	Estudiantes	15	5	10	33%	72.5	79.1	-6.6
17	Argentino	11	3	8	27%	80.1	90.1	-10.0
18	Weber Bahia	12	3	9	25%	67.4	77.8	-10.3
19	Quilmes	11	2	9	18%	79.5	86.5	-7.1
20	Atenas	10	1	9	10%	75.2	82.8	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferro	25	29	25	23	102
Quilmes	13	7	24	23	67

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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A Pro feature