Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jun 2017

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 83-97

22-27 20-22 22-15 19-33

Position#14

Record30-33

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game80.7

Quilmes

Ferro 🏆

Position#5

Record35-23

FormLLLLW

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game77.6

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · Quilmes v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#11

59-83

-24

A07/05

Liga A

Libertad

75-72

H10/05

Liga A

Penarol

#15

74-77

-3

A14/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

50-91

-41

A23/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

93-98

-5

A24/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

92-87

H27/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

97-86

+11

H30/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

90-77

+13

A02/06

Liga A

Ferro

81-78 OT

A04/06

Liga A

Ferro

76-78

-2

A07/06

Liga A

12-21

26-15

13-24

8-23

15-17

22-19

15-13

23-23

18-18

20-22

18-21

18-16

10-21

13-26

17-19

10-25

22-27

25-24

12-22

34-25

24-21

16-25

25-23

27-18

13-23

23-19

36-24

25-20

20-20

22-23

22-14

26-20

14-24

15-22

17-16

24-8

18-11

20-20

14-25

24-22

161.4Avg total

78.7Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (63)	79.5	80.7	160.3	-1.2	48%
Season at home (30)	84.2	79.7	163.9	+4.4	70%
Season away (33)	75.3	81.6	157.0	-6.3	27%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	82.7	161.4	-4.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	81.2	168.4	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.0	84.2	159.2	-9.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	81.7	81.5	163.2	+0.2	58%
vs Weaker (1)	106.0	77.0	183.0	+29.0	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#15

63-80

-17

H20/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

66-78

-12

A24/04

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

76-72

A26/04

Liga A

Libertad

68-80

-12

A28/04

Liga A

Olimpico

74-65

H30/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

80-98

-18

A06/05

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

104-108 OT

104

108

-4

H10/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

90-95

-5

A14/05

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

78-81 OT

-3

H04/06

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

78-76

H07/06

Liga A

14-21

15-26

20-16

14-17

14-16

21-18

20-21

11-23

22-14

16-20

20-17

18-21

15-19

10-20

25-23

18-18

21-16

14-18

17-19

22-12

18-19

11-29

28-31

23-19

28-27

25-23

24-28

18-17

19-15

15-26

30-28

26-26

24-14

22-15

16-17

8-24

11-18

20-20

25-14

22-24

161.0Avg total

77.7Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (58)	78.3	77.6	155.8	+0.7	60%
Season at home (30)	78.8	73.8	152.5	+5.0	70%
Season away (28)	77.8	81.6	159.4	-3.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	83.3	161.0	-5.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	91.6	177.6	-5.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.3	75.3	148.7	-2.0	67%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	76.8	79.2	156.0	-2.3	48%
vs Weaker (4)	72.5	74.0	146.5	-1.5	75%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.1	38.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.3	36.9	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.0	17.8	33.8	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.3	39.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	39%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.5	22.2	39.8	-4.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	6.0	32.0	+20.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	15.7	35.4	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.9	20.3	35.2	-5.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.5	38.4	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.0	20.7	34.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	13.8	34.2	+6.8	75%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#11

38-36

A07/05

Liga A

Libertad

37-36

H10/05

Liga A

Penarol

#15

38-40

-2

A14/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

23-47

-24

A23/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

47-51

-4

A24/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

40-46

-6

H27/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

36-42

-6

H30/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

42-43

-1

A02/06

Liga A

Ferro

29-46

-17

A04/06

Liga A

Ferro

38-31

A07/06

Liga A

78.6Avg total

36.8Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	39.2	78.3	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.2	36.4	76.5	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.2	41.4	79.6	-3.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	41.8	78.6	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	41.6	78.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.2	38.6	75.8	-1.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	38.9	39.9	78.8	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	51.0	27.0	78.0	+24.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#15

29-47

-18

H20/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

35-34

A24/04

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

38-34

A26/04

Liga A

Libertad

25-39

-14

A28/04

Liga A

Olimpico

35-34

H30/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

29-48

-19

A06/05

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

53-50

H10/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

34-41

-7

A14/05

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

46-29

+17

H04/06

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

31-38

-7

H07/06

Liga A

74.9Avg total

35.5Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	38.3	74.9	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	36.5	75.4	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	40.2	74.3	-6.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	39.4	74.9	-3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.7	39.3	72.0	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	36.8	38.6	75.4	-1.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.0	36.0	74.0	+2.0	75%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.5	40.0	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.1	20.0	39.2	-0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	25.0	52.0	+2.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.6	40.0	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.1	41.9	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.4	43.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	23.6	48.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.4	35%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	17.6	42.8	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	23.6	42.0	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	22.2	20.2	42.5	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	25.0	53.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	16.8	34.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	14.2	18.0	32.2	-3.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	41.5	82.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.4	43.9	88.3	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.8	39.6	78.5	-0.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.1	80.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	38.0	86.0	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.8	45.6	83.4	-7.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	41.4	40.3	81.7	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	55.0	50.0	105.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	38.7	77.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	35.8	72.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	41.6	81.9	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	41.5	82.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	45.6	89.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.7	36.0	76.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.5	38.0	72.5	-3.5	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
07/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	78-76
04/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	78-81 OT
18/03/17	Ferro v Quilmes	76-69
31/01/17	Quilmes v Ferro	88-99
28/10/16	Ferro v Quilmes	84-54
21/10/16	Quilmes v Ferro	96-83
25/03/16	Ferro v Quilmes	80-78 OT
20/03/16	Quilmes v Ferro	84-96
28/11/15	Quilmes v Ferro	89-83
29/10/15	Ferro v Quilmes	79-67

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/06/17	A	Ferro	76-78
04/06/17	A	Ferro	81-78 OT
02/06/17	A	Weber Bahia	90-77
30/05/17	H	Weber Bahia	97-86
27/05/17	H	Weber Bahia	92-87
24/05/17	A	Weber Bahia	93-98
23/05/17	A	Weber Bahia	50-91
14/05/17	A	Penarol	74-77
10/05/17	H	Libertad	75-72
07/05/17	A	Gimnasia	59-83

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/06/17	H	Quilmes	78-76
04/06/17	H	Quilmes	78-81 OT
14/05/17	A	Weber Bahia	90-95
10/05/17	H	Quimsa	104-108 OT
06/05/17	A	Hispano Americano	80-98
30/04/17	H	Olimpico	74-65
28/04/17	A	Libertad	68-80
26/04/17	A	Atletico Echague Parana	76-72
24/04/17	A	Estudiantes	66-78
20/04/17	H	Penarol	63-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	48%
Home	LWWWW	70%
Away	LLWWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	63	30	33
Win %	48%	70%	27%
Points / game	79.5	84.2	75.3
Allowed / game	80.7	79.7	81.6
Point differential	-1.2	+4.4	-6.3
Avg total	160.3	163.9	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	30%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (19)	89% (9)	20% (10)
Overtime %	10%	10%	9%

Ferro

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	60%
Home	LWLLW	70%
Away	LWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	58	30	28
Win %	60%	70%	50%
Points / game	78.3	78.8	77.8
Allowed / game	77.6	73.8	81.6
Point differential	+0.7	+5.0	-3.8
Avg total	155.8	152.5	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	27%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (20)	50% (12)	62% (8)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	59	43	16	73%	84.1	73.3	+10.7
2	San Martin	59	42	17	71%	81.9	75.0	+6.9
3	Estudiantes	59	39	20	66%	80.9	76.5	+4.4
4	Regatas	63	39	24	62%	86.3	83.4	+2.9
5	Ferro	58	35	23	60%	78.3	77.6	+0.7
6	Olimpico	63	36	27	57%	80.5	77.5	+3.0
7	Weber Bahia	61	33	28	54%	78.9	78.1	+0.8
8	Instituto de Cordoba	60	32	28	53%	82.2	82.6	-0.4
9	Libertad	60	30	30	50%	80.2	78.6	+1.6
10	Argentino	60	30	30	50%	74.6	76.1	-1.5
11	Gimnasia	63	31	32	49%	80.9	81.0	-0.1
12	Quilmes	63	30	33	48%	79.5	80.7	-1.2
13	Quimsa	56	26	30	46%	82.1	81.2	+0.9
14	Obras Sanitarias	56	26	30	46%	82.5	81.7	+0.8
15	Penarol	56	24	32	43%	74.6	77.6	-3.0
16	Atenas	56	23	33	41%	82.4	84.2	-1.7
17	Hispano Americano	56	22	34	39%	79.3	82.6	-3.2
18	La Union	56	22	34	39%	76.2	80.5	-4.2
19	Boca Juniors	61	20	41	33%	78.5	83.1	-4.6
20	Atletico Echague Parana	61	10	51	16%	76.6	89.6	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	22	20	22	19	83
Ferro	27	22	15	33	97

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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