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Finland vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 61-91
19-21 17-29 13-19 12-22
Position#10
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Germany 🏆
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Nokia Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Finland v Germany
03 Sep 2025
FINL61
GERM91
27 Feb 2023
FINL81
GERM87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Serbia
#1
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 87
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
64-81
64
81
-17
62avg 87
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 87
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
83-77
83
77
+6
75avg 87
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
93-90
93
90
+3
92avg 87
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 87
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 87
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 87
H01/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
14-19
17-22
10-19
23-27
19-31
30-14
17-13
25-20
23-23
15-19
20-28
21-17
19-21
13-17
11-26
26-24
31-27
14-28
24-26
24-25
17-22
18-23
24-7
26-21
23-27
23-24
21-18
30-21
28-21
23-14
28-23
23-23
24-14
20-15
18-13
21-20
15-25
12-12
30-24
167.0Avg total
84.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.278.8170.0+12.575%
Season at home (2)93.580.0173.5+13.550%
Season away (2)89.077.5166.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)89.678.4168.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.189.5168.6-10.523%
vs Similar (9)89.181.4170.6+7.767%
vs Weaker (8)90.175.9166.0+14.2100%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
L
72-73
72
73
-1
57avg 88
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 88
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 88
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
88avg 88
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
60avg 88
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
68avg 88
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
106-76
106
76
+30
101avg 88
A27/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 88
H29/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
107-88
107
88
+19
101avg 88
A30/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
120-57
120
57
+63
128avg 88
H01/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
19-11
19-18
16-18
23-19
18-12
19-17
20-13
26-17
24-21
25-13
20-25
28-21
34-14
13-22
19-28
17-25
11-10
21-16
24-20
15-18
17-20
23-32
26-21
24-20
22-23
33-12
27-21
27-17
32-25
25-24
21-17
32-20
23-27
28-25
24-16
32-19
26-12
30-9
32-17
169.4Avg total
93.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)109.576.0185.5+33.5100%
Season at home (2)112.570.0182.5+42.5100%
Season away (2)106.582.0188.5+24.5100%
Last 10 (10)93.376.1169.4+17.280%
Last 5 (5)103.879.0182.8+24.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.585.0167.5-2.550%
vs Similar (3)90.384.0174.3+6.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.674.2166.8+18.383%
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
FinlandGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/09
EuroBasket
89.7Avg total
45.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.486.6+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.588.5+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.284.7+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.244.589.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.890.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.246.688.8-4.431%-
vs Similar (9)43.939.082.9+4.967%-
vs Weaker (8)47.839.287.0+8.588%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H29/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A30/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H01/09
EuroBasket
84.5Avg total
46.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.437.282.7+8.277%-
Last 30 at home (20)45.835.681.4+10.280%-
Last 30 away (10)44.740.585.2+4.270%-
Last 10 (10)46.837.784.5+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)50.040.290.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (3)46.747.394.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.235.381.5+10.987%-
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.5
52.9%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.9
34.3%
33.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.313.3
76.9%
73.1%13.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.4
58.5%
52.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.1
36.3%
33.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.616.0
77.7%
73.1%16.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Finland
LWWWWLLLWL
Germany
WWWWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#1
+1.1
Net rating
+24.8
112.3
Offensive rating
128.2
111.2
Defensive rating
103.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
56.5%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
45.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
36.3%
78.9%
Assist %
57.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 128.2Defence111.2 · 103.4Shooting52.2% · 56.5%3-point %34.3% · 36.3%Ball care16.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds32.6% · 45.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Finland   ■ Germany
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Finland wins
4
Germany wins
DateGameScore
29/08/23Germany v Finland101-75
27/02/23Finland v Germany81-87
11/11/22Germany v Finland94-80
19/08/16Germany v Finland75-66
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/25HLithuania78-81
30/08/25AMontenegro85-65
29/08/25HGreat Britain109-79
27/08/25ASweden93-90
24/02/25ADenmark83-77
21/02/25HSerbia95-105
24/11/24AGeorgia64-81
21/11/24HGeorgia83-90
26/02/24HDenmark89-85
23/02/24ASerbia61-77
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/25HGreat Britain120-57
30/08/25ALithuania107-88
29/08/25HSweden105-83
27/08/25AMontenegro106-76
16/08/25HSerbia81-91
15/08/25HTurkey73-71
23/02/25HBulgaria94-85
20/02/25AMontenegro95-76
25/11/24HSweden80-61
22/11/24ASweden72-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game91.293.589.0
Allowed / game78.880.077.5
Point differential+12.5+13.5+11.5
Avg total170.0173.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game109.5112.5106.5
Allowed / game76.070.082.0
Point differential+33.5+42.5+24.5
Avg total185.5182.5188.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany440100%109.576.0+33.5
2 Turkey440100%91.067.2+23.8
3 Serbia440100%86.068.2+17.8
4 Lithuania54180%86.278.6+7.6
5 Greece43175%85.567.0+18.5
6 Finland43175%91.278.8+12.5
7 France43175%86.879.2+7.5
8 Italy43175%76.869.8+7.0
9 Israel43175%80.273.8+6.5
10 Poland43175%82.879.2+3.5
11 Latvia53260%82.476.8+5.6
12 Spain42250%77.866.0+11.8
13 Slovenia42250%90.889.0+1.8
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.281.2-2.0
15 Georgia42250%72.875.5-2.8
16 Portugal52340%63.073.6-10.6
17 Belgium41325%73.283.5-10.2
18 Sweden51420%80.683.6-3.0
19 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
20 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
21 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
22 Iceland4040%72.281.2-9.0
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus4040%60.292.8-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland1917131261
Germany2129192291
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