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Flamengo vs Paisas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:10
Final 102-65
29-12 37-21 23-17 13-15
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#7
Record3-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game90.9
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paisas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Franca
#4
W
103-72
103
72
+31
106avg 81
H29/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
56avg 81
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
71-96
71
96
-25
55avg 81
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
110-65
110
65
+45
114avg 81
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 81
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-71
85
71
+14
87avg 81
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
92avg 81
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 81
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 81
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
68avg 81
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
19-28
30-16
33-12
10-13
15-17
18-17
21-14
17-24
15-32
12-28
27-12
29-19
26-17
32-13
23-16
20-21
21-19
24-17
19-22
17-22
30-19
24-17
14-13
19-12
27-22
25-22
20-25
21-20
18-19
25-17
18-21
20-15
20-22
19-21
23-27
23-19
25-24
20-17
21-12
162.0Avg total
86.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.169.3159.4+20.986%
Season at home (4)93.866.8160.5+27.0100%
Season away (3)85.372.7158.0+12.767%
Last 10 (10)86.175.9162.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)85.877.2163.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.073.0152.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.974.6162.5+13.381%
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 68
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 68
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 68
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
68-102
68
102
-34
48avg 68
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 68
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
81avg 68
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
101-100
101
100
+1
103avg 68
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 68
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
93avg 68
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
40avg 68
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-17
13-27
24-17
24-26
18-22
17-21
13-22
29-23
30-20
26-20
27-21
17-27
18-28
17-23
16-28
17-23
17-20
12-22
20-19
21-18
29-24
15-18
27-21
28-24
30-29
31-28
24-28
16-15
12-20
23-23
23-27
29-22
21-23
31-21
24-24
25-19
19-23
24-25
17-20
12-21
176.8Avg total
86.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.490.9176.3-5.443%
Season at home (4)90.292.0182.2-1.850%
Season away (3)79.089.3168.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)86.989.9176.8-3.050%
Last 5 (5)92.091.0183.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.584.6163.1-6.129%
vs Similar (12)76.382.6158.9-6.242%
vs Weaker (4)97.271.0168.2+26.2100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
FlamengoPaisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/03
Champions League Americas
81.3Avg total
41.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.038.682.5+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.936.781.7+8.278%-
Last 30 away (12)42.541.383.8+1.258%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.081.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.882.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.338.482.6+5.970%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H09/03
Champions League Americas
89.0Avg total
43.6Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.981.3-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.640.982.5+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)39.140.980.0-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)43.645.489.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.046.893.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.142.080.1-3.929%-
vs Similar (12)41.040.781.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker (4)47.237.584.8+9.875%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.8
56.4%
49.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.9
35.6%
33.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
73.1%
71.9%12.8
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.0
50.1%
49.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.2%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.6%
71.9%17.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLWWWWWLWW
Paisas
LWLWWLLWLW
#1
League position
#7
+13.6
Net rating
+1.8
113.9
Offensive rating
111.5
100.2
Defensive rating
109.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.6%
3-point %
35.2%
57.0%
Assist %
54.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 111.5Defence100.2 · 109.7Shooting55.0% · 51.2%3-point %35.6% · 35.2%Ball care19.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds36.9% · 36.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Flamengo   ■ Paisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Flamengo wins
0
Paisas wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Paisas v Flamengo72-89
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25APaisas89-72
05/03/25ACaxias do Sul82-85
03/03/25AUniao Corinthians82-77
28/02/25HPato91-81
15/02/25HUnifacisa85-71
13/02/25HCearense84-79
11/02/25HToros del Chiriqui110-65
09/02/25ABoca Juniors71-96
01/02/25AMinas64-61
29/01/25HFranca103-72
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HFlamengo72-89
08/02/25HToros del Valle101-87
06/02/25HReal Esteli87-92
02/02/25HReal Esteli101-100
01/02/25AToros del Valle99-87
19/01/25AReal Esteli70-79
18/01/25AToros del Valle68-102
29/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands100-88
28/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands77-88
25/11/24HPiratas de Bogota94-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game90.193.885.3
Allowed / game69.366.872.7
Point differential+20.9+27.0+12.7
Avg total159.4160.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paisas
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game85.490.279.0
Allowed / game90.992.089.3
Point differential-5.4-1.8-10.3
Avg total176.3182.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca98189%82.974.1+8.8
2 Flamengo76186%90.169.3+20.9
3 Minas97278%78.070.7+7.3
4 Boca Juniors75271%86.974.3+12.6
5 Real Esteli74357%84.983.1+1.7
6 Instituto de Cordoba95456%76.176.1+0.0
7 Paisas73443%85.490.9-5.4
8 Toros del Valle62433%84.585.3-0.8
9 Quimsa93633%73.376.9-3.6
10 Bigua61517%70.577.2-6.7
11 Leones Quilpue6060%71.283.3-12.2
12 Toros del Chiriqui6060%65.299.0-33.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo29372313102
Paisas1221171565
← all games of the day
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