PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Flamengo vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 91-81
19-12 27-22 25-22 20-25
Position#3
Record18-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game73.0
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Pato
Brazil
Position#14
Record9-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game84.7
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Flamengo v Pato
09 Nov 2025
FLAM101
PATO63
28 Feb 2025
FLAM91
PATO81
15 Oct 2023
FLAM84
PATO71
08 Jan 2023
FLAM89
PATO75
03 Nov 2021
FLAM94
PATO62
22 Nov 2020
FLAM105
PATO70
12 Nov 2019
FLAM76
PATO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
W
96-61
96
61
+35
92avg 80
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
81avg 80
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
86-65
86
65
+21
81avg 80
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 80
H26/01
Super 8
Franca
#4
W
103-72
103
72
+31
106avg 80
H29/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
56avg 80
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
71-96
71
96
-25
55avg 80
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
110-65
110
65
+45
114avg 80
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 80
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-71
85
71
+14
87avg 80
H15/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
30-14
20-12
19-14
28-32
23-24
22-15
14-24
24-25
26-14
26-19
10-7
29-24
14-17
20-20
29-12
21-16
19-28
30-16
33-12
10-13
15-17
18-17
21-14
17-24
15-32
12-28
27-12
29-19
26-17
32-13
23-16
20-21
21-19
24-17
19-22
17-22
30-19
24-17
14-13
161.6Avg total
87.8Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.273.0157.1+11.278%
Season at home (13)83.173.2156.2+9.977%
Season away (10)85.672.7158.3+12.980%
Last 10 (10)87.873.8161.6+14.080%
Last 5 (5)82.874.4157.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.073.0152.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.372.8160.1+14.581%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
90-106
90
106
-16
85avg 74
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 74
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 74
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 74
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 74
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 74
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 74
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
87avg 74
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
86-98
86
98
-12
70avg 74
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
76-91
76
91
-15
73avg 74
A16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
20-26
20-21
22-29
22-16
19-18
21-25
28-27
19-22
22-18
25-23
10-22
15-16
19-13
13-22
20-29
31-17
19-29
16-23
10-11
16-20
21-15
16-17
25-13
24-19
17-22
19-15
21-18
15-18
26-23
19-27
31-26
19-18
24-29
21-29
22-22
29-26
27-24
13-19
7-22
167.0Avg total
81.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.784.7166.5-3.035%
Season at home (14)84.982.4167.3+2.657%
Season away (12)78.087.5165.5-9.58%
Last 10 (10)81.185.9167.0-4.830%
Last 5 (5)82.484.4166.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)84.394.6178.9-10.314%
vs Similar (16)78.180.2158.3-2.238%
vs Weaker (7)83.480.6164.0+2.957%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
FlamengoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/01
Super 8
Franca
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/02
NBB
85.9Avg total
44.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.582.5+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.137.381.4+6.868%-
Last 30 away (11)44.040.584.5+3.564%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.885.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.438.382.6+6.167%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A16/02
NBB
85.1Avg total
43.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.482.3+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.580.9+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.483.7+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.985.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.886.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.945.388.1-2.443%-
vs Similar (16)39.838.678.4+1.156%-
vs Weaker (7)45.639.785.3+5.986%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.4
56.7%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
33.0%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.912.8
71.5%
72.7%12.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.9
50.3%
50.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.8
34.5%
33.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
74.7%
72.7%12.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWLWWWWLW
Pato
LLLWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#14
+19.8
Net rating
-5.8
119.8
Offensive rating
109.5
100.0
Defensive rating
115.3
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.3%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.8%
3-point %
34.5%
59.3%
Assist %
60.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 109.5Defence100.0 · 115.3Shooting56.0% · 51.0%3-point %36.8% · 34.5%Ball care16.3% · 18.3%Off. rebounds37.5% · 36.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Flamengo   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Flamengo wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
03/12/24Pato v Flamengo103-110 OT
13/01/24Pato v Flamengo97-91 OT
15/10/23Flamengo v Pato84-71
08/01/23Flamengo v Pato89-75
22/10/22Pato v Flamengo64-91
03/02/22Pato v Flamengo87-93
03/11/21Flamengo v Pato94-62
12/02/21Pato v Flamengo61-85
22/11/20Flamengo v Pato105-70
05/02/20Pato v Flamengo71-86
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HUnifacisa85-71
13/02/25HCearense84-79
11/02/25HToros del Chiriqui110-65
09/02/25ABoca Juniors71-96
01/02/25AMinas64-61
29/01/25HFranca103-72
26/01/25HVasco92-73
18/01/25APinheiros86-65
17/01/25ACorinthians Paulista87-95
14/01/25HBoca Juniors96-61
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25ABotafogo76-91
14/02/25AVasco86-98
05/02/25HBauru91-94
22/01/25HUniao Corinthians81-74
20/01/25HCaxias do Sul78-65
13/01/25ACearense76-80
10/01/25AUnifacisa67-80
29/12/24HCorinthians Paulista76-85
27/12/24HPinheiros90-86
21/12/24HMogi90-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayLWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %78%77%80%
Points / game84.283.185.6
Allowed / game73.073.272.7
Point differential+11.2+9.9+12.9
Avg total157.1156.2158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%54%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %35%57%8%
Points / game81.784.978.0
Allowed / game84.782.487.5
Point differential-3.0+2.6-9.5
Avg total166.5167.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2420483%82.371.4+10.9
2 Flamengo2318578%84.273.0+11.2
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2415962%83.078.2+4.9
5 Uniao Corinthians24141058%78.578.9-0.4
6 Bauru25141156%78.479.0-0.6
7 Paulistano25131252%78.074.9+3.1
8 Pinheiros25131252%74.874.3+0.6
9 Vasco25131252%75.575.7-0.2
10 Unifacisa26131350%75.375.2+0.2
11 Sao Jose26131350%78.578.8-0.3
12 Corinthians Paulista27131448%80.479.4+1.0
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2691735%81.784.7-3.0
15 Mogi2691735%73.779.7-6.1
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Botafogo2571828%73.581.0-7.5
18 Cearense2561924%71.278.2-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo1927252091
Pato1222222581
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.