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Paisas vs Real Esteli Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:40
Final 87-92
12-20 23-23 23-27 29-22
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeChampions League Americas· Ivan de Bedout
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paisas v Real Esteli
06 Feb 2025
PAIS87
REAL92
02 Feb 2025
PAIS101
REAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paisas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Esteli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaisasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
85-55
85
55
+30
92avg 68
A20/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
109-96
109
96
+13
110avg 68
A21/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
74avg 68
H25/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 68
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 68
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 68
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
68-102
68
102
-34
48avg 68
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 68
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
81avg 68
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
101-100
101
100
+1
103avg 68
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
32-14
13-14
21-10
23-24
29-28
30-19
27-25
24-23
32-16
17-26
14-21
33-17
13-27
24-17
24-26
18-22
17-21
13-22
29-23
30-20
26-20
27-21
17-27
18-28
17-23
16-28
17-23
17-20
12-22
20-19
21-18
29-24
15-18
27-21
28-24
30-29
31-28
24-28
16-15
175.8Avg total
89.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.592.0176.5-7.550%
Season at home (1)101.0100.0201.0+1.0100%
Season away (3)79.089.3168.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)89.086.8175.8+2.270%
Last 5 (5)87.691.2178.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.282.4158.6-6.233%
vs Similar (12)76.382.6158.9-6.242%
vs Weaker (4)97.271.0168.2+26.2100%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
no box
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 72
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
70avg 72
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
60avg 72
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 72
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
no box
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
87-68
87
68
+19
57avg 72
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 72
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
100-101
100
101
-1
85avg 72
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 72
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
21-25
16-14
20-32
25-14
19-27
22-19
23-24
20-26
25-23
21-25
9-26
20-20
19-22
20-34
9-22
25-24
26-26
22-20
22-24
21-28
25-23
11-21
12-27
29-9
26-27
18-16
14-16
20-17
22-12
19-20
18-21
29-30
28-31
28-24
15-16
13-32
20-17
17-13
22-20
171.3Avg total
81.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.580.2164.8+4.250%
Season at home (2)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)86.091.5177.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)81.390.0171.3-8.740%
Last 5 (5)81.484.0165.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.990.7171.6-9.831%
vs Similar (6)87.282.8170.0+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.285.5176.8+5.862%
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -6.4-6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -6.4-6.4
PaisasReal Esteli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A20/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A21/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H25/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H02/02
Champions League Americas
90.6Avg total
46.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.040.380.3-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.239.981.2+1.354%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.779.5-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)46.544.190.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.046.491.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.540.977.4-4.425%-
vs Similar (12)41.040.781.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker (4)47.237.584.8+9.875%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A02/02
Champions League Americas
92.1Avg total
45.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.345.687.9-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.143.987.0-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.647.288.8-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)45.546.692.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.291.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.246.887.1-6.631%-
vs Similar (6)45.543.589.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.144.688.8-0.538%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.0
51.2%
49.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.9
36.3%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
71.9%15.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.0
53.3%
49.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
33.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.413.8
75.0%
71.9%13.8
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paisas
WWLLWLWWWW
Real Esteli
LLWWLWLLWL
#7
League position
#5
+7.6
Net rating
-11.6
113.0
Offensive rating
101.7
105.4
Defensive rating
113.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.1%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
32.0%
61.6%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 101.7Defence105.4 · 113.3Shooting52.4% · 51.2%3-point %36.3% · 32.0%Ball care18.2% · 17.1%Off. rebounds37.7% · 21.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Paisas   ■ Real Esteli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paisas wins
1
Real Esteli wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Paisas v Real Esteli101-100
19/01/25Real Esteli v Paisas79-70
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HReal Esteli101-100
01/02/25AToros del Valle99-87
19/01/25AReal Esteli70-79
18/01/25AToros del Valle68-102
29/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands100-88
28/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands77-88
25/11/24HPiratas de Bogota94-87
25/11/24HPiratas de Bogota87-86
21/11/24ASabios de Manizales109-96
20/11/24ASabios de Manizales85-55
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25AToros del Valle72-82
02/02/25APaisas100-101
19/01/25HPaisas79-70
17/01/25HToros del Valle87-68
12/03/24AQuimsa69-99
10/03/24AQuimsa95-94
07/03/24HQuimsa68-98
10/02/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-100
09/02/24AGladiadores89-84
22/01/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paisas
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game84.5101.079.0
Allowed / game92.0100.089.3
Point differential-7.5+1.0-10.3
Avg total176.5201.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.583.086.0
Allowed / game80.269.091.5
Point differential+4.2+14.0-5.5
Avg total164.8152.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo440100%90.263.0+27.2
2 Franca550100%86.073.8+12.2
3 Minas440100%80.569.8+10.8
4 Real Esteli42250%84.580.2+4.2
5 Toros del Valle42250%84.881.5+3.2
6 Boca Juniors42250%76.275.0+1.2
7 Instituto de Cordoba42250%79.279.2+0.0
8 Paisas42250%84.592.0-7.5
9 Quimsa41325%72.875.5-2.8
10 Bigua41325%68.876.8-8.0
11 Leones Quilpue5050%71.083.2-12.2
12 Toros del Chiriqui4040%64.092.5-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paisas1223232987
Real Esteli2023272292
← all games of the day
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