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Minas vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 61-64
13-10 17-15 17-18 14-21
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game62.0
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game72.5
BrazilSuper 8Super 8 - Final· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025
Meetings · Minas v Flamengo
27 Dec 2026
MINA v FLAM
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MINA85
FLAM87
19 Mar 2025
MINA94
FLAM70
01 Feb 2025
MINA61
FLAM64
11 Jan 2024
MINA86
FLAM78
14 Apr 2023
MINA75
FLAM80
15 Oct 2022
MINA73
FLAM85
17 May 2022
MINA80
FLAM91
15 May 2022
MINA63
FLAM77
20 Feb 2022
MINA88
FLAM79
09 Mar 2021
MINA93
FLAM96
09 Feb 2021
MINA94
FLAM96
12 Oct 2019
MINA85
FLAM93
15 Dec 2018
MINA80
FLAM91
21 Nov 2018
MINA76
FLAM91
15 Apr 2018
MINA70
FLAM84
15 Dec 2017
MINA76
FLAM83
12 Jan 2017
MINA60
FLAM89
15 Dec 2015
MINA74
FLAM81
18 Nov 2014
MINA78
FLAM76
05 Dec 2013
MINA84
FLAM66
21 Jan 2013
MINA90
FLAM105
24 Nov 2011
MINA70
FLAM83
09 Feb 2011
MINA78
FLAM69
03 Feb 2009
MINA85
FLAM102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
82avg 79
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
60avg 79
H23/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 79
H27/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
92-73
92
73
+19
91avg 79
H29/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 79
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
80-69
80
69
+11
70avg 79
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 79
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 79
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
74avg 79
H25/01
Super 8
Brasilia
#3
W
61-58
61
58
+3
55avg 79
H28/01
Super 8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
18-20
21-20
23-15
14-21
13-19
24-13
26-10
28-27
22-16
18-10
15-20
23-16
28-16
22-15
19-26
25-11
23-21
17-16
20-29
21-21
19-16
28-20
12-12
20-29
21-19
19-31
28-19
23-13
19-21
17-20
20-14
16-24
20-14
25-18
21-10
17-10
18-18
7-15
19-15
154.0Avg total
81.3Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.562.0133.5+9.5100%
Season at home (2)71.562.0133.5+9.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.372.7154.0+8.690%
Last 5 (5)78.071.8149.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)78.776.9155.6+1.957%
vs Weaker (22)82.970.5153.3+12.491%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 81
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
89-75
89
75
+14
92avg 81
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 81
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 81
H29/12
NBB
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
96-50
96
50
+46
99avg 81
A13/01
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
W
96-61
96
61
+35
92avg 81
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
81avg 81
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
86-65
86
65
+21
81avg 81
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 81
H26/01
Super 8
Franca
#4
W
103-72
103
72
+31
106avg 81
H29/01
Super 8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
39-15
21-27
18-17
30-18
18-27
27-10
14-20
21-20
14-24
25-8
22-37
19-11
21-17
23-17
18-15
18-12
30-14
26-18
22-6
27-21
30-14
20-12
19-14
28-32
23-24
22-15
14-24
24-25
26-14
26-19
10-7
29-24
14-17
20-20
29-12
21-16
19-28
30-16
33-12
162.5Avg total
90.6Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)97.572.5170.0+25.0100%
Season at home (2)97.572.5170.0+25.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.671.9162.5+18.780%
Last 5 (5)92.873.2166.0+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)73.272.8146.0+0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.471.1157.5+15.383%
This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
MinasFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H23/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H27/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H29/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/01
Super 8
Brasilia
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/01
Super 8
79.1Avg total
41.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.575.5+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.836.377.1+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)39.234.974.1+4.475%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.979.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)38.435.473.9+3.071%-
vs Weaker (22)40.635.576.1+5.273%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/12
NBB
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A13/01
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/01
Super 8
Franca
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/01
Super 8
86.0Avg total
46.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.036.879.9+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.236.478.5+5.859%-
Last 30 away (13)44.237.581.6+6.777%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.386.0+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.243.091.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.836.874.6+1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.136.780.8+7.571%-
This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.4 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.1
52.6%
49.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.7
35.4%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.610.6
60.2%
69.9%10.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.4 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.9
56.7%
49.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.8
40.7%
31.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.914.6
69.9%
69.9%14.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWLWWWWWW
Flamengo
WWWLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#1
+12.8
Net rating
+26.3
108.1
Offensive rating
123.9
95.2
Defensive rating
97.5
52.8%
Effective FG%
58.7%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.4%
3-point %
40.7%
58.8%
Assist %
63.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 123.9Defence95.2 · 97.5Shooting52.8% · 58.7%3-point %35.4% · 40.7%Ball care17.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds34.0% · 35.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Minas   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minas wins
6
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Flamengo v Minas70-81
11/01/24Minas v Flamengo86-78
13/10/23Flamengo v Minas70-87
14/04/23Minas v Flamengo75-80
01/03/23Flamengo v Minas79-78
15/10/22Minas v Flamengo73-85
17/05/22Minas v Flamengo80-91
15/05/22Minas v Flamengo63-77
12/05/22Flamengo v Minas76-67
06/04/22Flamengo v Minas83-85
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25HBrasilia61-58
25/01/25HSao Paulo82-66
22/01/25AMogi79-68
20/01/25ASao Jose88-98
13/01/25HQuimsa80-69
12/01/25ABigua85-77
29/12/24HFranca92-73
27/12/24HBauru83-73
23/12/24HSao Paulo77-63
20/12/24HPaulistano86-82
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25HFranca103-72
26/01/25HVasco92-73
18/01/25APinheiros86-65
17/01/25ACorinthians Paulista87-95
14/01/25HBoca Juniors96-61
13/01/25AToros del Chiriqui96-50
29/12/24HMogi81-60
27/12/24HSao Jose82-89
23/12/24APaulistano89-75
20/12/24HBauru94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
Super 8 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game71.571.5-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+9.5+9.5-
Avg total133.5133.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Flamengo
Super 8 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.597.5-
Allowed / game72.572.5-
Point differential+25.0+25.0-
Avg total170.0170.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo220100%97.572.5+25.0
2 Minas220100%71.562.0+9.5
3 Brasilia21150%71.568.0+3.5
4 Franca21150%81.581.0+0.5
5 Uniao Corinthians1010%75.085.0-10.0
6 Sao Paulo1010%66.082.0-16.0
7 Vasco1010%73.092.0-19.0
8 Pinheiros1010%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1317171461
Flamengo1015182164
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