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Flamengo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-79
20-21 21-19 24-17 19-22
Position#3
Record16-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#17
Record6-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game77.3
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Flamengo v Cearense
23 Oct 2025
FLAM102
CEAR73
13 Feb 2025
FLAM84
CEAR79
03 May 2024
FLAM79
CEAR71
21 Dec 2023
FLAM77
CEAR74
25 Oct 2022
FLAM80
CEAR60
21 Dec 2021
FLAM91
CEAR74
26 Jan 2021
FLAM77
CEAR74
03 Feb 2020
FLAM78
CEAR71
26 Mar 2019
FLAM100
CEAR82
25 Mar 2018
FLAM87
CEAR85
20 Dec 2016
FLAM88
CEAR94
17 Feb 2016
FLAM66
CEAR67
18 Dec 2014
FLAM106
CEAR73
13 Jan 2014
FLAM72
CEAR69
15 Dec 2012
FLAM86
CEAR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 80
H29/12
NBB
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
96-50
96
50
+46
99avg 80
A13/01
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
W
96-61
96
61
+35
92avg 80
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
81avg 80
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
86-65
86
65
+21
81avg 80
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 80
H26/01
Super 8
Franca
#4
W
103-72
103
72
+31
106avg 80
H29/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
56avg 80
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
71-96
71
96
-25
55avg 80
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
110-65
110
65
+45
114avg 80
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
21-17
23-17
18-15
18-12
30-14
26-18
22-6
27-21
30-14
20-12
19-14
28-32
23-24
22-15
14-24
24-25
26-14
26-19
10-7
29-24
14-17
20-20
29-12
21-16
19-28
30-16
33-12
10-13
15-17
18-17
21-14
17-24
15-32
12-28
27-12
29-19
26-17
32-13
23-16
158.4Avg total
88.6Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.172.8156.9+11.476%
Season at home (11)82.872.8155.6+10.073%
Season away (10)85.672.7158.3+12.980%
Last 10 (10)88.669.8158.4+18.880%
Last 5 (5)88.073.4161.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.073.0152.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.971.4157.3+14.481%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
55-75
55
75
-20
41avg 66
H09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
81avg 66
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
74-76
74
76
-2
71avg 66
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 66
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
69avg 66
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 66
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 66
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
63avg 66
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 66
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
62-84
62
84
-22
53avg 66
H07/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
11-21
18-22
12-16
24-25
23-22
11-23
25-22
20-14
16-21
17-22
21-19
24-16
25-19
8-19
24-23
18-21
20-18
12-20
20-14
22-28
14-19
16-16
19-19
17-31
29-19
23-16
11-10
18-21
14-18
23-17
19-19
17-20
18-17
21-19
27-18
21-26
9-14
15-29
17-15
151.7Avg total
73.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.277.3147.5-7.226%
Season at home (11)67.373.2140.5-5.936%
Season away (12)72.881.2154.0-8.317%
Last 10 (10)73.378.4151.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)74.078.2152.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.978.8147.6-9.912%
vs Similar (12)73.375.2148.6-1.950%
vs Weaker (2)76.076.0152.0+0.050%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +8.4+8.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +8.4+8.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
FlamengoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/12
NBB
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A13/01
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/01
Super 8
Franca
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
83.2Avg total
44.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.480.6+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.136.981.1+7.265%-
Last 30 away (13)41.938.180.0+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.183.2+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.437.180.5+6.367%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/02
NBB
78.0Avg total
37.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.739.574.1-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.138.671.7-5.429%-
Last 30 away (16)36.040.276.2-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.678.0-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.678.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.141.175.1-7.025%-
vs Similar (12)34.238.772.8-4.517%-
vs Weaker (2)42.531.574.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.5
38.7%
33.0%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.3
68.0%
72.7%12.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.0
49.6%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.5%
33.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.211.9
65.4%
72.7%11.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLWWWWLWWW
Cearense
LWLWLLWLLL
#3
League position
#17
+25.9
Net rating
-7.7
120.7
Offensive rating
100.9
94.8
Defensive rating
108.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.7%
3-point %
31.5%
60.5%
Assist %
60.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 100.9Defence94.8 · 108.6Shooting56.1% · 48.6%3-point %38.7% · 31.5%Ball care16.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds38.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Flamengo   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
29/10/24Cearense v Flamengo56-78
09/05/24Cearense v Flamengo68-83
07/05/24Cearense v Flamengo66-86
03/05/24Flamengo v Cearense79-71
02/04/24Cearense v Flamengo73-93
22/12/23Flamengo v Cearense77-74
31/01/23Cearense v Flamengo64-99
25/10/22Flamengo v Cearense80-60
29/03/22Cearense v Flamengo91-94
21/12/21Flamengo v Cearense91-74
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25HToros del Chiriqui110-65
09/02/25ABoca Juniors71-96
01/02/25AMinas64-61
29/01/25HFranca103-72
26/01/25HVasco92-73
18/01/25APinheiros86-65
17/01/25ACorinthians Paulista87-95
14/01/25HBoca Juniors96-61
13/01/25AToros del Chiriqui96-50
29/12/24HMogi81-60
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HBrasilia62-84
20/01/25ABotafogo83-74
18/01/25AVasco74-75
13/01/25HPato80-76
29/12/24AUniao Corinthians71-82
27/12/24ACaxias do Sul70-73
19/12/24AUnifacisa81-77
14/12/24APinheiros74-76
12/12/24ACorinthians Paulista83-92
09/12/24HSao Jose55-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%73%80%
Points / game84.182.885.6
Allowed / game72.872.872.7
Point differential+11.4+10.0+12.9
Avg total156.9155.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%55%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL26%
HomeLWLWL36%
AwayWLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%36%17%
Points / game70.267.372.8
Allowed / game77.373.281.2
Point differential-7.2-5.9-8.3
Avg total147.5140.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2218482%82.471.3+11.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2516964%82.080.4+1.7
4 Uniao Corinthians2314961%78.978.2+0.7
5 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
6 Pinheiros23131057%75.774.6+1.2
7 Bauru23131057%78.679.4-0.9
8 Paulistano24131154%78.174.8+3.3
9 Corinthians Paulista25131252%80.778.9+1.8
10 Sao Jose24121250%78.877.7+1.0
11 Unifacisa24121250%75.574.8+0.7
12 Vasco24121250%74.675.3-0.7
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2491538%81.883.9-2.1
15 Mogi2591636%73.479.3-5.9
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Cearense2361726%70.277.3-7.2
18 Botafogo2461825%72.881.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2021241984
Cearense2119172279
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