PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast faces Florida International on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Eagles as the clear favourite with an 81% chance of victory, driven by their 93.0 points per game and 66.5 allowed per game across two wins in the season. The Eagles have gone 2-0 overall, while the Commodores have slipped to 1-2, scoring 85.3 points and allowing 81.0 in three games, with a 1-0 home record and 89.0 points for and 67.0 allowed at home. Florida International's last five games include two wins and three losses, and their recent victories over West Florida Argonauts 85-75 and New College 101-58 bookend a loss to Missouri State 72-75. Florida Gulf Coast's last five games feature two wins and three losses, with a recent 89-67 home win over New College and a 72-80 loss to Georgia. In their four meetings, Florida Gulf Coast has won three times, though Florida International last beat them 89-83 on 3 December 2025. Pythia projects a 82-72 score, a total of 154.6 points, and an 81% probability that Florida Gulf Coast covers the home line, with a 4% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on Florida International's recent offensive bursts.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 85.3 | 81.0 | 166.3 | +4.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 89.0 | 67.0 | 156.0 | +22.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 83.5 | 88.0 | 171.5 | -4.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.9 | 73.6 | 149.5 | +2.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.2 | 73.8 | 153.0 | +5.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 75.6 | 83.0 | 158.6 | -7.4 | 11% |
| vs Similar (12) | 76.8 | 78.5 | 155.2 | -1.8 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 76.3 | 66.4 | 142.8 | +9.9 | 78% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 93.0 | 66.5 | 159.5 | +26.5 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 93.0 | 66.5 | 159.5 | +26.5 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 80.4 | 74.5 | 154.9 | +5.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.4 | 69.6 | 153.0 | +13.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 80.0 | 91.7 | 171.7 | -11.7 | 0% |
| vs Similar (19) | 78.6 | 74.2 | 152.7 | +4.4 | 63% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 88.2 | 68.6 | 156.8 | +19.6 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.5 | 34.5 | 70.1 | +1.0 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 36.9 | 35.1 | 72.1 | +1.8 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 34.3 | 34.0 | 68.3 | +0.3 | 44% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.6 | 33.7 | 69.3 | +1.9 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.2 | 35.6 | 72.8 | +1.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 34.9 | 37.4 | 72.3 | -2.6 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 35.9 | 35.3 | 71.2 | +0.6 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (9) | 35.7 | 30.6 | 66.2 | +5.1 | 78% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.1 | 34.7 | 73.8 | +4.3 | 70% | - |
| Last 30 at home (19) | 39.7 | 32.1 | 71.8 | +7.7 | 84% | - |
| Last 30 away (11) | 37.9 | 39.4 | 77.3 | -1.5 | 45% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.4 | 32.8 | 71.2 | +5.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 28.8 | 70.8 | +13.2 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 38.8 | 42.7 | 81.5 | -3.8 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 37.9 | 32.9 | 70.9 | +5.0 | 84% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 43.6 | 32.0 | 75.6 | +11.6 | 60% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/12/25 | Florida International v Florida Gulf Coast | 89-83 |
| 24/11/24 | Florida Gulf Coast v Florida International | 60-59 |
| 30/11/23 | Florida International v Florida Gulf Coast | 65-68 |
| 04/12/22 | Florida Gulf Coast v Florida International | 74-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Georgia | 72-80 |
| 07/11/26 | H | New College (FL) | 89-67 |
| 03/11/26 | A | UCF Knights | 95-96 OT |
| 07/03/26 | A | Central Arkansas | 63-73 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Lipscomb | 77-53 |
| 04/03/26 | H | North Alabama | 69-58 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Stetson | 63-78 |
| 27/02/26 | A | North Florida | 70-76 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Central Arkansas | 75-71 OT |
| 19/02/26 | H | Jacksonville Dolphins | 86-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | West Florida Argonauts | 85-75 |
| 03/11/26 | H | New College (FL) | 101-58 |
| 10/03/26 | H | Missouri State | 72-75 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Western Kentucky | 92-67 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Middle Tenn. St. | 67-73 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Louisiana Tech | 84-76 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Sam Houston St. | 67-100 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Missouri State | 70-67 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Liberty | 89-90 OT |
| 14/02/26 | H | Louisiana Tech | 77-64 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 85.3 | 89.0 | 83.5 |
| Allowed / game | 81.0 | 67.0 | 88.0 |
| Point differential | +4.3 | +22.0 | -4.5 |
| Avg total | 166.3 | 156.0 | 171.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 93.0 | 93.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 66.5 | 66.5 | - |
| Point differential | +26.5 | +26.5 | - |
| Avg total | 159.5 | 159.5 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eastern Kentucky | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 94.0 | 69.0 | +25.0 |
| 2 |  Central Arkansas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.7 | 67.0 | +23.7 |
| 3 |  Austin Peay | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 86.7 | 65.7 | +21.0 |
| 4 |  Lipscomb | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.8 | 78.5 | -3.8 |
| 5 |  North Alabama | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.8 | 79.0 | -9.2 |
| 6 |  Queens Royals | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 87.2 | 102.2 | -15.0 |
| 7 | Florida Gulf Coast | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 85.3 | 81.0 | +4.3 |
| 8 |  North Florida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.7 | 88.7 | -27.0 |
| 9 |  Bellarmine | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 72.0 | 86.8 | -14.8 |
| 10 |  West Georgia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 60.3 | 74.7 | -14.3 |
| 11 |  Stetson | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 60.5 | 83.0 | -22.5 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kennesaw State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 95.5 | 64.8 | +30.8 |
| 2 | Florida International | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 93.0 | 66.5 | +26.5 |
| 3 |  Missouri State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.3 | 61.3 | +24.0 |
| 4 |  Western Kentucky | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 63.5 | +20.8 |
| 5 |  Louisiana Tech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 70.3 | 60.7 | +9.7 |
| 6 |  Sam Houston St. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 87.0 | 77.3 | +9.7 |
| 7 |  UTEP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 71.7 | 67.3 | +4.3 |
| 8 |  Middle Tenn. St. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.3 | 76.7 | +1.7 |
| 9 |  Liberty | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 85.0 | 63.0 | +22.0 |
| 10 |  Delaware | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.7 | 62.7 | +14.0 |
| 11 |  Jacksonville State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 83.0 | 78.0 | +5.0 |
| 12 |  New Mexico State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 66.3 | 78.3 | -12.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast | 41 | 39 | 80 |
| Florida International | 50 | 39 | 89 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
