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Florida State vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 96-49
54-17 42-32
Position#167
Record5-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#372
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game90.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#330
W
101-64
101
64
+37
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H21/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
59-95
59
95
-36
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
73-107
73
107
-34
H03/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A07/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-30
55-34
40-37
36-41
43-40
44-33
40-29
58-43
35-24
54-35
24-52
35-43
30-49
43-58
33-41
34-41
47-43
48-60
31-42
38-55
164.4Avg total
81.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.882.4166.2+1.545%
Season at home (8)88.881.1169.9+7.662%
Season away (3)70.785.7156.3-15.00%
Last 10 (10)81.483.0164.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)72.696.8169.4-24.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.285.3155.5-15.118%
vs Similar (10)77.076.5153.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.969.2152.1+13.767%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MUW Owls
#518
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
60-108
60
108
-48
A08/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
56-88
56
88
-32
A13/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A15/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A16/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
84-120
84
120
-36
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A04/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
49-108
49
108
-59
A09/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
64-88
64
88
-24
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-27
57-34
23-47
37-61
23-49
33-39
32-36
33-29
32-41
41-39
22-39
48-47
35-52
49-68
29-30
23-36
21-55
28-53
40-43
24-45
156.6Avg total
68.0Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.890.2157.0-23.49%
Season at home (2)80.574.5155.0+6.050%
Season away (9)63.893.7157.4-29.90%
Last 10 (10)68.088.6156.6-20.610%
Last 5 (5)63.893.6157.4-29.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)58.583.9142.4-25.43%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -12.2-12.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -7.8-7.8
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -12.2-12.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -7.8-7.8
Florida StateMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#330
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H21/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H03/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/12
NCAA
75.6Avg total
36.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.435.869.2-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.435.269.6-0.761%-
Last 30 away (12)31.836.868.5-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.775.6-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)33.045.478.4-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.342.274.5-9.927%-
vs Similar (10)31.932.164.0-0.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.332.168.4+4.267%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MUW Owls
#518
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A13/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A16/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A09/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H17/12
NCAA
71.6Avg total
29.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.038.764.7-12.720%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.633.362.9-3.645%-
Last 30 away (19)23.941.865.8-17.95%-
Last 10 (10)29.741.971.6-12.210%-
Last 5 (5)29.443.873.2-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)25.639.164.7-13.617%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida State wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ADayton69-97
13/12/25HUMass95-103
07/12/25AHouston67-82
03/12/25HGeorgia73-107
28/11/25HTexas A&M59-95
26/11/25HCSU Bakersfield89-59
21/11/25HGeorgia Southern98-72
19/11/25HUT Martin87-73
12/11/25AFlorida76-78
08/11/25HAlabama State101-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HTarleton64-88
09/12/25AKansas State49-108
04/12/25ALouisiana Monroe52-66
26/11/25ATexas A&M84-120
22/11/25ACSU Bakersfield70-86
16/11/25AManhattan73-80
15/11/25AUtah Tech75-81 OT
13/11/25AHawaii56-88
08/11/25AMurray State60-108
06/11/25HMUW Owls97-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %45%62%0%
Points / game83.888.870.7
Allowed / game82.481.185.7
Point differential+1.5+7.6-15.0
Avg total166.2169.9156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1129
Win %9%50%0%
Points / game66.880.563.8
Allowed / game90.274.593.7
Point differential-23.4+6.0-29.9
Avg total157.0155.0157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke11110100%87.760.8+26.9
2 North Carolina1110191%80.764.1+16.6
3 California1110191%82.669.2+13.5
4 Miami (FL)1210283%88.267.8+20.4
5 Virginia Tech1210283%83.271.9+11.2
6 Louisville119282%91.469.5+21.9
7 Virginia119282%84.171.0+13.1
8 SMU Mustangs119282%88.677.2+11.5
9 Stanford119282%81.772.0+9.7
10 Clemson129375%80.765.9+14.8
11 Wake Forest129375%85.372.3+13.0
12 Notre Dame129375%77.368.1+9.2
13 NC State128467%89.373.0+16.3
14 Syracuse117464%72.964.7+8.2
15 Georgia Tech117464%73.769.8+3.9
16 Pittsburgh126650%73.569.6+3.9
17 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
18 Florida State115645%83.882.4+1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs116555%66.271.8-5.6
2 Grambling St.115645%71.572.3-0.8
3 Prairie View A&M104640%82.277.3+4.9
4 Southern Univ.114736%87.080.0+7.0
5 Florida A&M72529%67.183.7-16.6
6 Alabama State113827%76.682.4-5.7
7 Bethune-Cookman113827%70.682.1-11.5
8 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1331023%78.890.5-11.7
9 Texas Southern91811%71.289.3-18.1
10 Alcorn State101910%66.590.3-23.8
11 Miss. Valley St.111109%66.890.2-23.4
12 Jackson State111109%59.789.5-29.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State544296
Miss. Valley St.173249
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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