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Florida vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 111-77
0-0 53-34 0-0 58-43
Position#28
Record22-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game71.2
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas
USA
Position#36
Record21-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida v Arkansas
28 Feb 2026
FLOR111
ARKA77
13 Jan 2024
FLOR90
ARKA68
22 Feb 2022
FLOR74
ARKA82
18 Feb 2020
FLOR73
ARKA59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#230
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H21/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H24/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
95-48
95
48
+47
A29/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
100-77
100
77
+23
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H18/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-26
0-0
41-35
0-0
28-43
0-0
39-33
0-0
48-20
0-0
47-28
0-0
46-36
0-0
54-41
0-0
30-19
0-0
56-48
0-0
43-27
0-0
43-39
0-0
43-34
0-0
49-49
0-0
39-29
0-0
37-33
0-0
43-32
0-0
51-43
0-0
36-39
0-0
48-32
154.5Avg total
85.9Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.371.2157.5+15.179%
Season at home (17)86.969.5156.4+17.488%
Season away (11)85.473.9159.3+11.564%
Last 10 (10)85.968.6154.5+17.390%
Last 5 (5)86.471.4157.8+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)74.274.0148.2+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.070.5157.6+16.585%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A07/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A11/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
115-117 OT
115
117
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
99-84
99
84
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-35
0-0
47-33
0-0
33-37
0-0
52-44
0-0
44-48
0-0
39-31
0-0
35-42
0-0
42-43
0-0
43-30
0-0
45-38
0-0
42-27
0-0
49-35
0-0
38-32
0-0
50-43
0-0
57-47
0-0
38-48
0-0
47-41
0-0
47-45
0-0
37-28
0-0
62-56
171.8Avg total
91.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)90.278.5168.8+11.775%
Season at home (20)92.076.6168.6+15.585%
Season away (8)85.883.4169.1+2.450%
Last 10 (10)91.380.5171.8+10.880%
Last 5 (5)97.484.8182.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)78.581.2159.8-2.825%
vs Similar (12)87.881.0168.8+6.867%
vs Weaker (14)94.175.2169.3+18.993%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.4+8.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.4+8.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
FloridaArkansas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#230
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H21/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H24/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
48-20
48
20
+28
A29/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A21/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/02
NCAA
69.9Avg total
39.4Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.232.873.0+7.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.831.573.3+10.288%-
Last 30 away (13)38.234.472.6+3.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.430.569.9+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.273.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.040.874.8-6.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.231.572.7+9.777%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A07/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A11/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H26/02
NCAA
78.9Avg total
42.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.178.5+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.335.378.6+8.075%-
Last 30 away (10)40.637.778.3+2.970%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.778.9+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.235.079.2+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.238.275.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (12)41.939.281.1+2.867%-
vs Weaker (14)44.332.977.1+11.486%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida wins
3
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Arkansas v Florida63-71
13/01/24Florida v Arkansas90-68
18/02/23Arkansas v Florida84-65
23/02/22Florida v Arkansas74-82
17/02/21Arkansas v Florida75-64
19/02/20Florida v Arkansas73-59
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26ATexas84-71
21/02/26AOle Miss94-75
18/02/26HSouth Carolina76-62
14/02/26HKentucky92-83
12/02/26AGeorgia86-66
08/02/26ATexas A&M86-67
01/02/26HAlabama100-77
29/01/26ASouth Carolina95-48
24/01/26HAuburn67-76
21/01/26HLSU79-61
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HTexas A&M99-84
21/02/26HMissouri94-86
19/02/26AAlabama115-117 OT
15/02/26HAuburn88-75
11/02/26ALSU91-62
07/02/26AMississippi St.88-68
31/01/26HKentucky77-85
28/01/26AOklahoma83-79
24/01/26HLSU85-81
21/01/26HVanderbilt93-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %79%88%64%
Points / game86.386.985.4
Allowed / game71.269.573.9
Point differential+15.1+17.4+11.5
Avg total157.5156.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%76%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28208
Win %75%85%50%
Points / game90.292.085.8
Allowed / game78.576.683.4
Point differential+11.7+15.4+2.4
Avg total168.8168.7169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%55%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida2822679%86.371.2+15.1
2 Vanderbilt2922776%86.974.5+12.4
3 Alabama2922776%92.183.1+9.1
4 Arkansas2821775%90.278.5+11.7
5 Georgia2920969%89.778.4+11.3
6 Tennessee2920969%80.169.2+10.9
7 Missouri2920969%80.374.7+5.7
8 Texas A&M29191066%88.178.9+9.2
9 Kentucky29191066%81.272.6+8.7
10 Texas29181162%84.375.5+8.8
11 Auburn28151354%83.579.7+3.8
12 Oklahoma29151452%82.777.7+5.0
13 LSU29151452%81.377.3+4.0
14 Mississippi St.29141548%78.279.8-1.5
15 South Carolina29121741%75.976.6-0.7
16 Ole Miss28111739%75.175.8-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Florida053058111
Arkansas03404377
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