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Kentucky vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 96-70
45-30 51-40
Position#50
Record9-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#240
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
118-82
118
82
+36
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H02/12
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H09/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
43-31
48-41
36-48
58-37
43-30
41-38
36-39
69-41
49-41
42-37
53-36
33-41
40-39
–
–
40-38
47-45
53-33
42-43
167.6Avg total
91.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.673.7164.4+16.982%
Season at home (10)90.273.5163.7+16.780%
Season away (1)95.076.0171.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.176.5167.6+14.680%
Last 5 (5)86.275.6161.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.555.0119.5+9.5100%
vs Similar (13)76.273.4149.5+2.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.869.5153.3+14.373%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-24
35-37
32-24
29-28
30-37
42-37
21-39
28-35
30-36
39-28
35-33
41-39
30-26
32-33
22-27
36-37
28-35
47-30
42-28
43-36
132.5Avg total
67.6Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)68.565.4133.9+3.167%
Season at home (8)70.161.6131.8+8.588%
Season away (4)65.273.0138.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)67.664.9132.5+2.770%
Last 5 (5)71.264.8136.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)64.173.7137.8-9.513%
vs Similar (11)68.567.5136.0+0.964%
vs Weaker (3)75.359.3134.7+16.0100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +3.2+3.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +3.2+3.2
KentuckyIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A21/12
NCAA
84.2Avg total
46.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.434.572.9+3.959%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.535.174.6+4.360%-
Last 30 away (9)36.033.069.0+3.056%-
Last 10 (9)46.937.384.2+9.689%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.085.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.022.558.5+13.5100%-
vs Similar (13)36.434.871.2+1.654%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.635.976.5+4.657%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/12
NCAA
61.3Avg total
30.4Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.565.7-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.931.562.4-0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)31.638.470.0-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)30.430.961.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.861.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.237.166.3-7.920%-
vs Similar (11)32.132.864.9-0.745%-
vs Weaker (3)35.729.064.7+6.7100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
Illinois State wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23ALouisville95-76
16/12/23HNorth Carolina87-83
09/12/23HPenn81-66
02/12/23HNC Wilmington73-80
29/11/23HMiami (FL)95-73
25/11/23HMarshall118-82
21/11/23HSaint Josephs Hawks96-88 OT
18/11/23HStonehill101-67
15/11/23HKansas84-89
11/11/23HTX A&M Commerce81-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HSoutheast Missouri State85-64
17/12/23HNorth Dakota St75-65
10/12/23HNorfolk State58-64
07/12/23HNorthern Kentucky62-59
03/12/23HMurray State76-72
01/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)69-64
22/11/23AWright State49-74
21/11/23AHigh Point72-74
20/11/23HLong Beach State61-52
16/11/23HEastern Illinois69-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11101
Win %82%80%100%
Points / game90.690.295.0
Allowed / game73.773.576.0
Point differential+16.9+16.7+19.0
Avg total164.4163.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%60%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%10%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%88%25%
Points / game68.570.165.2
Allowed / game65.461.673.0
Point differential+3.1+8.5-7.8
Avg total133.9131.8138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ole Miss12120100%75.966.9+9.0
2 Oklahoma1211192%83.463.8+19.6
3 South Carolina1211192%73.963.2+10.8
4 Mississippi St.1210283%75.562.8+12.8
5 Kentucky119282%90.673.7+16.9
6 Auburn119282%83.166.6+16.5
7 Texas119282%79.867.0+12.8
8 Florida129375%85.473.8+11.6
9 Tennessee129375%77.165.5+11.6
10 Georgia129375%73.969.1+4.8
11 Texas A&M128467%75.967.7+8.2
12 Arkansas128467%80.375.2+5.1
13 Alabama127558%92.277.5+14.7
14 LSU127558%75.270.2+5.0
15 Missouri127558%75.272.3+2.9
16 Vanderbilt124833%68.472.5-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1211192%88.270.8+17.3
2 Drake1311285%78.766.9+11.8
3 Evansville1210283%82.570.5+12.0
4 Belmont139469%81.179.2+1.9
5 Southern Illinois128467%76.664.6+12.0
6 Illinois State128467%68.565.4+3.1
7 Bradley138562%71.868.7+3.2
8 Illinois (Chi.)127558%72.862.9+9.8
9 Northern Iowa136746%77.873.8+4.0
10 Valparaiso134931%67.671.1-3.5
11 Murray State123925%71.273.8-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky455196
Illinois State304070
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