PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Louisville vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 76-95
33-53 43-42
Position#348
Record5-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#50
Record8-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Louisville v Kentucky
11 Nov 2025
LOUI96
KENT88
21 Dec 2023
LOUI76
KENT95
26 Dec 2020
LOUI62
KENT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H16/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
44-48
32-21
29-20
38-41
42-40
29-34
37-40
28-30
45-43
22-27
51-41
31-30
37-45
22-38
46-37
31-29
32-46
39-25
46-38
144.2Avg total
72.5Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.573.6148.1+0.845%
Season at home (9)75.973.3149.2+2.656%
Season away (2)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)72.571.7144.2+0.840%
Last 5 (5)71.471.2142.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.377.4145.7-9.115%
vs Similar (2)81.576.0157.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#285
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H07/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
118-82
118
82
+36
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H02/12
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H09/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
49-17
38-30
43-31
48-41
36-48
58-37
43-30
41-38
36-39
69-41
49-41
42-37
53-36
33-41
40-39
–
–
40-38
47-45
163.7Avg total
90.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.273.5163.7+16.780%
Season at home (10)90.273.5163.7+16.780%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.273.5163.7+16.780%
Last 5 (5)90.876.8167.6+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.362.7123.0-2.367%
vs Similar (13)76.273.4149.5+2.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.069.1152.1+13.971%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +7.8+7.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +7.8+7.8
LouisvilleKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H16/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
60.7Avg total
29.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.636.166.7-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.234.065.2-2.833%-
Last 30 away (12)29.839.269.0-9.525%-
Last 10 (10)29.930.860.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)29.029.858.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.337.268.5-5.831%-
vs Similar (2)25.028.553.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#285
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H07/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
NCAA
82.0Avg total
45.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.434.671.9+2.855%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.535.174.6+4.360%-
Last 30 away (9)32.833.266.0-0.444%-
Last 10 (9)45.136.982.0+8.289%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.084.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.026.758.7+5.367%-
vs Similar (13)36.434.871.2+1.654%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.636.275.8+3.554%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
2
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
31/12/22Kentucky v Louisville86-63
26/12/20Louisville v Kentucky62-59
28/12/19Kentucky v Louisville78-70 OT
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HPepperdine85-63
14/12/23HArkansas State63-75
09/12/23ADePaul68-75
03/12/23AVirginia Tech68-75
30/11/23HBellarmine73-68
26/11/23HNew Mexico State90-84 OT
20/11/23HIndiana66-74
19/11/23HTexas80-81
16/11/23HCoppin State61-41
11/11/23HChattanooga Mocs71-81
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HNorth Carolina87-83
09/12/23HPenn81-66
02/12/23HNC Wilmington73-80
29/11/23HMiami (FL)95-73
25/11/23HMarshall118-82
21/11/23HSaint Josephs Hawks96-88 OT
18/11/23HStonehill101-67
15/11/23HKansas84-89
11/11/23HTX A&M Commerce81-61
07/11/23HNew Mexico State86-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW45%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %45%56%0%
Points / game74.575.968.0
Allowed / game73.673.375.0
Point differential+0.8+2.6-7.0
Avg total148.1149.2143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %9%11%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWLWW80%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1010-
Win %80%80%-
Points / game90.290.2-
Allowed / game73.573.5-
Point differential+16.7+16.7-
Avg total163.7163.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%10%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
2 Virginia119282%65.655.5+10.2
3 Pittsburgh129375%81.163.4+17.7
4 Virginia Tech129375%74.264.4+9.8
5 Syracuse129375%78.270.2+8.0
6 Duke118373%81.366.5+14.8
7 Wake Forest118373%80.968.4+12.5
8 North Carolina118373%84.574.5+10.1
9 NC State118373%79.570.5+9.0
10 Miami (FL)118373%80.772.3+8.5
11 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
12 SMU Mustangs128467%75.162.0+13.1
13 Georgia Tech96367%72.271.4+0.8
14 Stanford95456%80.474.7+5.8
15 Florida State105550%77.274.6+2.6
16 Louisville115645%74.573.6+0.8
17 California114736%76.075.9+0.1
18 Notre Dame114736%62.867.5-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ole Miss11110100%74.766.5+8.3
2 Oklahoma1110191%83.063.1+19.9
3 South Carolina1110191%74.365.0+9.3
4 Mississippi St.119282%76.063.0+13.0
5 Kentucky108280%90.273.5+16.7
6 Auburn108280%83.267.1+16.1
7 Texas108280%80.768.2+12.5
8 Tennessee118373%78.267.3+10.9
9 Florida118373%84.575.4+9.1
10 Georgia118373%73.569.9+3.6
11 Texas A&M117464%75.669.1+6.5
12 Missouri117464%75.570.1+5.4
13 Arkansas117464%80.175.5+4.6
14 Alabama116555%90.578.5+12.0
15 LSU116555%74.170.5+3.5
16 Vanderbilt114736%67.872.1-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville334376
Kentucky534295
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.