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Kentucky vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 87-83
40-38 47-45
Position#50
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#19
Record7-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kentucky v North Carolina
19 Dec 2026
KENT v NORT
upcoming
02 Dec 2025
KENT64
NORT67
16 Dec 2023
KENT87
NORT83
18 Dec 2021
KENT98
NORT69
19 Dec 2020
KENT63
NORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A19/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H07/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
118-82
118
82
+36
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H02/12
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
43-46
37-29
49-17
38-30
43-31
48-41
36-48
58-37
43-30
41-38
36-39
69-41
49-41
42-37
53-36
33-41
40-39
–
–
161.1Avg total
88.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.672.4163.0+18.178%
Season at home (9)90.672.4163.0+18.178%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.472.7161.1+15.770%
Last 5 (5)92.677.8170.4+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.362.7123.0-2.367%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.272.6147.8+2.758%
vs Weaker (15)82.469.2151.6+13.273%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H12/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H18/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H22/11
NCAA
Villanova
#174
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
100-92
100
92
+8
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-25
35-43
46-41
40-29
43-34
47-34
37-26
40-26
35-41
56-28
34-32
34-36
35-38
52-34
61-39
39-53
29-35
49-35
39-44
37-43
155.6Avg total
82.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.173.7158.8+11.478%
Season at home (8)86.272.0158.2+14.288%
Season away (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)82.573.1155.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)84.480.8165.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.773.2146.9+0.540%
vs Weaker (14)80.066.1146.1+13.993%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +6.8+6.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +6.8+6.8
KentuckyNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A19/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H07/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/12
NCAA
79.4Avg total
43.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.434.672.0+2.955%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.535.174.7+4.460%-
Last 30 away (9)32.833.266.0-0.444%-
Last 10 (9)43.635.979.4+7.778%-
Last 5 (5)48.638.887.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.026.758.7+5.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.134.570.6+1.650%-
vs Weaker (14)39.836.376.1+3.557%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H18/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Villanova
#174
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H02/12
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A06/12
NCAA
73.8Avg total
38.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.233.069.2+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.433.471.8+4.963%-
Last 30 away (11)32.532.264.6+0.345%-
Last 10 (10)38.335.573.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.677.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.733.569.3+2.247%-
vs Weaker (14)36.531.668.1+4.971%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kentucky wins
1
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
18/12/21Kentucky v North Carolina98-69
19/12/20Kentucky v North Carolina63-75
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HPenn81-66
02/12/23HNC Wilmington73-80
29/11/23HMiami (FL)95-73
25/11/23HMarshall118-82
21/11/23HSaint Josephs Hawks96-88 OT
18/11/23HStonehill101-67
15/11/23HKansas84-89
11/11/23HTX A&M Commerce81-61
07/11/23HNew Mexico State86-46
19/03/23AKansas State69-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AUconn76-87
02/12/23HFlorida State78-70
30/11/23HTennessee100-92
24/11/23HArkansas87-72
23/11/23HVillanova81-83 OT
22/11/23HNorthern Iowa91-69
18/11/23HUC Riverside77-52
12/11/23HLehigh90-68
07/11/23HRadford86-70
10/03/23AVirginia59-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWLW78%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games99-
Win %78%78%-
Points / game90.690.6-
Allowed / game72.472.4-
Point differential+18.1+18.1-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%11%-
North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL78%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %78%88%0%
Points / game85.186.276.0
Allowed / game73.772.087.0
Point differential+11.4+14.2-11.0
Avg total158.8158.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma990100%84.862.9+21.9
2 Ole Miss990100%73.366.7+6.7
3 South Carolina98189%74.764.9+9.8
4 Mississippi St.108280%76.463.9+12.5
5 Texas108280%80.768.2+12.5
6 Kentucky97278%90.672.4+18.1
7 Auburn97278%82.366.2+16.1
8 Tennessee107370%78.167.0+11.1
9 Florida107370%82.372.8+9.5
10 Missouri107370%74.367.8+6.5
11 Alabama96367%93.276.8+16.4
12 Georgia96367%72.169.9+2.2
13 Texas A&M117464%75.669.1+6.5
14 Arkansas106460%81.276.4+4.8
15 LSU116555%74.170.5+3.5
16 Vanderbilt94544%70.072.7-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
2 Virginia98189%68.053.2+14.8
3 North Carolina97278%85.173.7+11.4
4 NC State97278%80.369.7+10.7
5 Pittsburgh118373%82.864.8+18.0
6 Virginia Tech118373%74.065.3+8.7
7 Miami (FL)118373%80.772.3+8.5
8 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
9 Duke107370%81.666.1+15.5
10 Syracuse107370%77.270.8+6.4
11 Wake Forest96367%79.069.4+9.6
12 Georgia Tech96367%72.271.4+0.8
13 SMU Mustangs106460%74.463.4+11.0
14 Stanford84450%80.276.0+4.2
15 Florida State84450%78.075.4+2.6
16 Louisville104640%73.474.7-1.3
17 Notre Dame104640%64.667.8-3.2
18 California93633%76.375.6+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky404787
North Carolina384583
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