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FMP Beograd vs Siroki Brijeg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 66-78
22-25 18-17 10-17 16-19
Position#16
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#8
Record2-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4· Belgrade
Domestic2026
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Siroki Brijeg
17 Oct 2026
FBE66
SBR78
12 Dec 2009
FBE86
SBR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siroki Brijeg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
94avg 75
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 75
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 75
A28/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
85-55
85
55
+30
68avg 75
H31/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
56avg 75
H06/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
54avg 75
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
84-92
84
92
-8
76avg 75
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
71avg 75
H25/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
81avg 75
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 75
A11/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
25-33
25-24
23-27
30-21
22-23
20-20
26-25
26-19
18-25
11-16
29-19
19-15
19-13
18-15
29-12
7-13
16-11
27-15
19-10
20-13
16-28
13-27
16-8
24-19
26-29
17-20
17-24
24-13
22-29
17-25
19-21
23-18
27-23
18-24
22-24
21-17
24-21
19-10
15-20
162.8Avg total
83.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.578.5163.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)90.089.0179.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)79.068.0147.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.779.1162.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)80.082.6162.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)89.098.8187.8-9.820%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.679.1159.7+1.650%
vs Weaker (7)85.683.1168.7+2.457%
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Siroki BrijegLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrijeg
Date
Competition
Jahorina
#7
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
57avg 83
H09/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
72-84
72
84
-12
67avg 83
A13/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#1
W
99-66
99
66
+33
105avg 83
H16/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#7
W
88-78
88
78
+10
78avg 83
A20/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Igokea
#4
L
87-107
87
107
-20
76avg 83
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Igokea
#4
L
90-104
90
104
-14
83avg 83
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Mozzart
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
86avg 83
A02/10
ABA League
Gradina Tesanj
#11
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 83
H05/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 83
H10/10
ABA League
Slavija
#7
L
96-106
96
106
-10
92avg 83
A12/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-21
25-22
15-14
18-21
19-25
25-18
10-20
22-20
35-9
22-19
20-18
19-17
19-21
32-16
18-24
13-37
23-25
30-23
21-22
26-24
16-25
20-32
28-23
17-13
31-18
18-28
21-22
23-18
17-21
18-13
18-17
16-19
20-18
11-16
23-16
25-21
18-24
23-29
30-32
170.8Avg total
85.3Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.575.0153.5+3.5100%
Season at home (1)70.069.0139.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)87.081.0168.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.385.5170.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.885.8169.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.069.0139.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)89.086.8175.8+2.267%
vs Weaker (23)87.579.7167.1+7.878%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
FMP BeogradSiroki Brijeg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H31/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H06/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A11/10
ABA League
84.2Avg total
43.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.484.1-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.839.582.3+3.380%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.386.0-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.584.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.087.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.646.088.6-3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.441.681.9-1.244%-
vs Weaker (7)44.642.086.6+2.671%-
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Siroki BrijegLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jahorina
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H09/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#1
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H16/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Igokea
#4
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Igokea
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Mozzart
#9
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A02/10
ABA League
Gradina Tesanj
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H05/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/10
ABA League
Slavija
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/10
Prvenstvo BiH
83.9Avg total
41.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.883.3+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.041.085.0+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.581.7+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.183.9-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.282.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.544.389.8+1.233%-
vs Weaker (23)42.140.082.1+2.152%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.3
52.9%
57.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
32.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
72.9%16.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siroki Brijegtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siroki Brijeg: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.0
56.0%
57.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
32.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.614.4
73.5%
72.9%14.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLLLWWWWL
Siroki Brijeg
LWWWLLWWLL
#16
League position
#8
+5.7
Net rating
+1.7
97.2
Offensive rating
96.4
91.5
Defensive rating
94.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
13.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.1%
3-point %
33.2%
52.1%
Assist %
59.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 96.4Defence91.5 · 94.7Shooting52.2% · 53.7%3-point %34.1% · 33.2%Ball care13.8% · 15.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Siroki Brijeg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FMP Beograd wins
1
Siroki Brijeg wins
DateGameScore
16/03/10Siroki Brijeg v FMP Beograd83-63
12/12/09FMP Beograd v Siroki Brijeg86-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto79-68
04/10/26HCrvena zvezda90-89
25/04/26HPerspektiva Ilirija82-88
20/04/26HVienna Basket84-92
14/04/26AZadar65-76
06/04/26HSpartak Subotica69-49
31/03/26HZadar85-55
28/03/26AMega Basket84-79
22/03/26AVienna Basket98-89
13/03/26APerspektiva Ilirija101-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/26ASlavija96-106
10/10/26HCedevita Olimpija70-69
05/10/26HGradina Tesanj76-69
02/10/26ABorac Mozzart87-81
25/05/26AIgokea90-104
23/05/26HIgokea87-107
20/05/26AJahorina88-78
16/05/26HBorac Banja Luka99-66
13/05/26ASloboda72-84
09/05/26HJahorina88-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.590.079.0
Allowed / game78.589.068.0
Point differential+6.0+1.0+11.0
Avg total163.0179.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siroki Brijeg
ABA League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.570.087.0
Allowed / game75.069.081.0
Point differential+3.5+1.0+6.0
Avg total153.5139.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan220100%91.068.5+22.5
2 KK Bosna220100%97.585.0+12.5
3 Dubai220100%88.577.5+11.0
4 FMP Beograd220100%84.578.5+6.0
5 Siroki Brijeg220100%78.575.0+3.5
6 Borac Mozzart32167%90.088.0+2.0
7 Cedevita Olimpija21150%79.073.0+6.0
8 Crvena zvezda21150%95.090.5+4.5
9 Cluj-Napoca21150%90.088.0+2.0
10 Slovan Bratislava21150%89.589.5+0.0
11 Igokea21150%90.091.5-1.5
12 Buducnost21150%84.086.5-2.5
13 Spartak Subotica21150%80.585.5-5.0
14 Mega Basket21150%73.582.5-9.0
15 Zadar31233%74.777.0-2.3
16 Vienna Basket31233%80.085.7-5.7
17 Cibona3030%84.091.3-7.3
18 KK Krka Novo mesto2020%70.078.0-8.0
19 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%73.083.5-10.5
20 Studentski Centar2020%78.089.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2218101666
Siroki Brijeg2517171978
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