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FMP Beograd vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-55
19-15 19-13 18-15 29-12
Position#10
Record9-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#9
Record9-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4· Belgrade
Domestic2025
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Zadar
31 Mar 2026
FBE85
ZAD55
17 Nov 2024
FBE67
ZAD83
15 Dec 2023
FBE77
ZAD92
17 Mar 2023
FBE112
ZAD87
31 Oct 2021
FBE83
ZAD76
15 Dec 2020
FBE89
ZAD99
01 Oct 2018
FBE99
ZAD86
23 Oct 2017
FBE91
ZAD76
16 Dec 2016
FBE94
ZAD77
27 Feb 2010
FBE83
ZAD81
27 Feb 2009
FBE82
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Split
#18
W
85-76
85
76
+9
77avg 72
A12/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A15/01
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
70avg 72
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 72
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 72
A08/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
102-87
102
87
+15
101avg 72
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 72
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
94avg 72
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 72
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 72
A28/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
18-18
23-14
21-24
19-26
14-21
11-16
27-18
26-30
13-21
25-22
18-25
23-18
21-24
11-20
18-20
18-19
16-16
19-16
20-21
32-17
19-18
25-28
26-24
15-18
17-22
13-17
28-20
28-22
25-33
25-24
23-27
30-21
22-23
20-20
26-25
26-19
18-25
11-16
29-19
168.9Avg total
84.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.986.8171.7-1.943%
Season at home (9)86.386.3172.7+0.044%
Season away (12)83.887.2171.0-3.342%
Last 10 (10)84.284.7168.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)91.687.6179.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.296.2182.3-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.682.6164.2-1.047%
vs Weaker (9)89.680.8170.3+8.878%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
84-58
84
58
+26
88avg 81
H15/02
Premijer liga
Split
#18
W
106-77
106
77
+29
99avg 81
H06/03
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
77-54
77
54
+23
83avg 81
A09/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
56avg 81
H13/03
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
77avg 81
A14/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 81
H18/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
89avg 81
A20/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 81
H23/03
ABA League
Split
#18
W
79-59
79
59
+20
74avg 81
A27/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
99-79
99
79
+20
102avg 81
H29/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
22-13
21-17
16-12
28-21
38-23
26-19
14-14
25-19
18-18
14-9
20-8
16-25
14-17
17-10
16-11
19-21
16-13
20-22
26-11
22-18
23-25
20-14
25-21
22-18
15-19
27-31
17-24
16-21
17-19
20-18
16-4
17-18
22-11
22-16
18-14
18-16
29-21
29-19
23-23
153.0Avg total
83.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.180.5161.6+0.743%
Season at home (12)80.278.0158.2+2.250%
Season away (9)82.383.8166.1-1.433%
Last 10 (10)83.269.8153.0+13.480%
Last 5 (5)83.674.0157.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.772.0147.7+3.750%
vs Weaker (21)86.170.0156.1+16.086%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.9+4.9
FMP BeogradZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A12/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A15/01
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A08/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/03
ABA League
85.4Avg total
42.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.185.7-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.541.786.2+2.869%-
Last 30 away (17)41.144.285.4-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.185.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.690.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.747.289.8-4.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.442.884.2-1.447%-
vs Weaker (9)44.641.085.6+3.656%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H15/02
Premijer liga
Split
#18
W
66-44
66
44
+22
H06/03
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/03
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A14/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/03
ABA League
Split
#18
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A27/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H29/03
Premijer liga
79.4Avg total
42.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.379.8+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.036.779.7+6.371%-
Last 30 away (13)41.838.179.9+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.279.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.740.777.3-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.838.376.2-0.533%-
vs Weaker (21)44.736.581.2+8.181%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.4
51.4%
54.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
35.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.817.9
75.2%
75.3%17.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.7
56.0%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.3
42.0%
35.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws15.410.8
70.1%
75.3%10.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLLWWLLLW
Zadar
WWWLWWLWWW
#10
League position
#9
-2.5
Net rating
+16.0
96.2
Offensive rating
101.9
98.7
Defensive rating
85.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
59.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
42.0%
56.5%
Assist %
68.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 101.9Defence98.7 · 85.9Shooting50.8% · 59.1%3-point %33.2% · 42.0%Ball care15.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds26.1% · -Free throws0.37 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FMP Beograd wins
6
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
21/03/25Zadar v FMP Beograd99-71
17/11/24FMP Beograd v Zadar67-83
28/03/24Zadar v FMP Beograd72-75
15/12/23FMP Beograd v Zadar77-92
17/03/23FMP Beograd v Zadar112-87
02/12/22Zadar v FMP Beograd103-97
06/02/22Zadar v FMP Beograd83-80
31/10/21FMP Beograd v Zadar83-76
12/03/21Zadar v FMP Beograd63-76
15/12/20FMP Beograd v Zadar89-99 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26AMega Basket84-79
22/03/26AVienna Basket98-89
13/03/26APerspektiva Ilirija101-106
07/03/26ASpartak Subotica73-77
15/02/26HMega Basket102-87
08/02/26AStudentski Centar73-72
02/02/26HBorac Mozzart73-82
26/01/26ADubai82-98
15/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto71-81
12/01/26ASplit85-76
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HDinamo Zagreb99-79
27/03/26ASplit79-59
23/03/26HStudentski Centar69-62
20/03/26ADubrava81-92
18/03/26HKvarner90-78
14/03/26ACedevita Junior81-67
13/03/26HKK Krka Novo mesto66-72 OT
09/03/26AAlkar77-54
06/03/26HSplit106-77
15/02/26HCedevita Junior84-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayWLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %43%44%42%
Points / game84.986.383.8
Allowed / game86.886.387.2
Point differential-1.9+0.0-3.3
Avg total171.7172.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Zadar
ABA League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW43%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game81.180.282.3
Allowed / game80.578.083.8
Point differential+0.7+2.2-1.4
Avg total161.6158.2166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %14%17%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2119290%92.079.6+12.4
2 Dubai2118386%89.577.3+12.2
3 Buducnost2116576%89.080.6+8.4
4 Crvena zvezda2116576%92.785.2+7.5
5 Cluj-Napoca2113862%92.288.1+4.1
6 Spartak Subotica2213959%83.081.4+1.7
7 Cedevita Olimpija2112957%87.682.9+4.7
8 Zadar2191243%81.180.5+0.7
9 FMP Beograd2191243%84.986.8-1.9
10 KK Bosna2191243%81.086.0-5.0
11 Igokea2191243%82.789.3-6.7
12 Mega Basket2291341%85.390.8-5.5
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2281436%78.281.1-3.0
14 Perspektiva Ilirija2281436%83.187.3-4.2
15 Vienna Basket2281436%84.788.9-4.2
16 Borac Mozzart2271532%79.984.9-5.0
17 Studentski Centar2251723%77.582.4-4.9
18 Split2251723%82.592.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1919182985
Zadar1513151255
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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