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Forca Lleida vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-87
13-22 21-22 20-13 23-30
Position#14
Record5-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#17
Record4-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game91.0
SpainACBRound 14· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Basket Zaragoza
21 Mar 2027
FLL v ZAR
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
FLL77
ZAR87
09 Mar 2025
FLL97
ZAR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
W
99-90
99
90
+9
97avg 74
H25/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
54avg 74
A02/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 74
H09/11
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
86-99
86
99
-13
82avg 74
A16/11
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
71-107
71
107
-36
50avg 74
H22/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
88-89
88
89
-1
79avg 74
H06/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 74
A14/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
75avg 74
H20/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
86-103
86
103
-17
80avg 74
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
73avg 74
A02/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
22-20
23-21
30-27
22-20
19-21
16-16
11-25
28-11
21-17
17-19
20-33
27-27
23-17
22-29
14-26
18-31
12-23
18-25
23-28
20-21
17-30
29-18
22-20
17-15
14-17
26-32
18-29
19-28
24-18
24-20
14-22
24-33
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-21
19-16
30-24
23-18
173.7Avg total
82.7Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.389.5172.8-6.238%
Season at home (7)84.388.7173.0-4.443%
Season away (6)82.290.3172.5-8.233%
Last 10 (10)82.791.0173.7-8.330%
Last 5 (5)83.490.4173.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)79.487.7167.1-8.426%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.891.3178.1-4.545%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
89-61
89
61
+28
90avg 80
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 80
H15/11
ACB
Bakken Bears
#29
W
105-75
105
75
+30
111avg 80
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
68avg 80
H23/11
ACB
Granada
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
91avg 80
A06/12
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 80
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
L
75-98
75
98
-23
66avg 80
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
102avg 80
H21/12
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 80
H27/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 80
A02/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-9
18-15
16-19
28-18
19-19
17-26
27-20
16-21
29-26
25-20
31-16
20-13
17-21
20-23
20-17
19-23
21-17
27-15
21-27
23-24
22-21
21-17
18-21
19-33
12-23
23-20
23-14
17-41
18-21
27-30
27-18
35-20
16-17
12-17
28-28
27-33
22-21
11-27
22-25
25-27
172.9Avg total
86.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.891.0178.8-3.233%
Season at home (7)88.489.3177.7-0.929%
Season away (5)87.093.4180.4-6.440%
Last 10 (10)86.686.3172.9+0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.094.8179.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.893.3178.1-8.510%
vs Similar ◀ (11)89.492.8182.2-3.536%
vs Weaker (9)92.078.9170.9+13.167%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
Forca LleidaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A02/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H09/11
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A16/11
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H22/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A14/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H20/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/01
ACB
83.4Avg total
40.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.483.5-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.741.681.2-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)40.445.686.0-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.983.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.081.8-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.441.981.3-2.532%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.246.187.3-4.927%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/11
ACB
Bakken Bears
#29
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H23/11
ACB
Granada
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A06/12
ACB
Peristeri
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H21/12
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H27/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A02/01
ACB
80.9Avg total
40.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.286.3-0.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.342.885.1-0.538%-
Last 30 away (14)44.043.787.7+0.329%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.580.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.879.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.046.587.5-5.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.643.486.0-0.727%-
vs Weaker (9)46.039.485.4+6.656%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.2
50.5%
50.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
42.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws27.621.2
76.8%
74.7%21.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.9
52.9%
50.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.1
31.8%
42.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.518.1
77.0%
74.7%18.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
WLLLLLLWLW
Basket Zaragoza
LLWLLWLWLW
#14
League position
#17
-10.6
Net rating
+0.6
105.5
Offensive rating
109.7
116.1
Defensive rating
109.1
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.9%
3-point %
31.8%
55.3%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 109.7Defence116.1 · 109.1Shooting49.5% · 50.9%3-point %31.9% · 31.8%Ball care18.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 37.2%Free throws0.45 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forca Lleida wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Forca Lleida v Basket Zaragoza97-91
29/09/24Basket Zaragoza v Forca Lleida101-91 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra87-79
28/12/25ABasquet Girona86-103
20/12/25HReal Madrid81-88
14/12/25ABilbao75-93
06/12/25HUnicaja88-89
22/11/25HMurcia71-107
16/11/25AManresa86-99
09/11/25HBaskonia86-80
02/11/25AJoventut Badalona68-82
25/10/25HGranada99-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26ABarcelona80-100
27/12/25HManresa83-95
21/12/25HMoraBanc Andorra107-89
17/12/25APetkim Spor75-98
10/12/25HPeristeri80-92
06/12/25AGranada92-83
23/11/25HTenerife76-84
19/11/25HBakken Bears105-75
15/11/25HUnicaja79-86
12/11/25HAnorthosis89-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWWLLL43%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game83.384.382.2
Allowed / game89.588.790.3
Point differential-6.2-4.4-8.2
Avg total172.8173.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%29%40%
Points / game87.888.487.0
Allowed / game91.089.393.4
Point differential-3.2-0.9-6.4
Avg total178.8177.7180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1412286%91.482.4+9.0
2 Valencia1210283%95.982.4+13.5
3 Murcia1410471%88.079.8+8.2
4 Barcelona1410471%87.680.4+7.1
5 Tenerife149564%87.582.4+5.1
6 Joventut Badalona149564%84.580.7+3.8
7 Baskonia127558%91.390.1+1.2
8 Unicaja148657%87.985.1+2.7
9 Gran Canaria136746%79.681.3-1.7
10 Basquet Girona136746%87.592.5-5.0
11 Breogan146843%89.892.1-2.3
12 Bilbao135838%82.086.4-4.4
13 Manresa135838%83.888.5-4.7
14 Forca Lleida135838%83.389.5-6.2
15 Basket Zaragoza124833%87.891.0-3.2
16 MoraBanc Andorra134931%82.391.6-9.3
17 San Pablo Burgos1431121%89.495.4-6.1
18 Granada141137%81.590.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forca Lleida1321202377
Basket Zaragoza2222133087
← all games of the day
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