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Forca Lleida vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 97-91
17-19 33-24 22-18 25-30
Position#16
Record6-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#12
Record10-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game90.0
SpainACBRound 22· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Basket Zaragoza
21 Mar 2027
FLL v ZAR
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
FLL77
ZAR87
09 Mar 2025
FLL97
ZAR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 76
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
56avg 76
A27/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
92-107
92
107
-15
83avg 76
A30/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 76
H04/01
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
73avg 76
A12/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 76
H19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
74-78
74
78
-4
72avg 76
H26/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
75-91
75
91
-16
72avg 76
A02/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
79avg 76
H09/02
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
84-97
84
97
-13
74avg 76
A01/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
32-12
14-23
27-16
16-22
22-28
22-12
12-30
26-26
17-23
22-30
27-28
16-19
19-24
16-22
34-25
17-18
18-23
25-20
21-27
26-15
19-19
26-18
17-26
16-13
25-18
16-27
17-20
20-28
21-20
17-20
17-23
21-28
16-18
28-20
19-29
18-31
24-21
19-26
23-19
171.2Avg total
82.2Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.087.9171.0-4.929%
Season at home (10)84.081.6165.6+2.450%
Season away (11)82.293.6175.8-11.59%
Last 10 (10)82.289.0171.2-6.820%
Last 5 (5)81.087.8168.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.389.5170.8-8.217%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.883.5168.4+1.355%
vs Weaker (7)88.371.1159.4+17.1100%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
92-93
92
93
-1
79avg 82
H11/01
ACB
FC Porto
#7
L
75-86
75
86
-11
69avg 82
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
91-97
91
97
-6
86avg 82
A19/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 82
H26/01
ACB
Maroussi
#12
W
80-68
80
68
+12
76avg 82
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 82
H01/02
ACB
Tofas
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 82
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
101-89
101
89
+12
103avg 82
A09/02
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
71-115
71
115
-44
53avg 82
H01/03
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
83-83
83
83
+0
74avg 82
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
25-21
26-23
27-25
21-25
16-22
24-18
14-21
17-22
20-25
28-19
26-31
14-16
22-18
23-18
27-23
23-15
18-25
22-15
17-13
13-24
17-20
17-19
32-25
25-17
24-22
14-16
16-25
31-13
25-32
19-17
26-27
20-29
20-34
19-26
12-26
29-26
14-19
22-19
18-19
171.1Avg total
83.7Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.890.0179.8-0.348%
Season at home (11)91.684.5176.1+7.273%
Season away (10)87.796.2183.9-8.520%
Last 10 (10)83.787.4171.1-3.730%
Last 5 (5)82.691.0173.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.399.2184.5-13.817%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.483.5168.9+1.953%
vs Weaker (7)94.381.4175.7+12.971%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
Forca LleidaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A27/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A30/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/01
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A12/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H26/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A01/03
ACB
83.2Avg total
40.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.481.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.038.179.1+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.482.8-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.983.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.283.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.844.783.4-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.639.780.4+0.945%-
vs Weaker (7)44.034.178.1+9.9100%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/01
ACB
FC Porto
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A19/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H26/01
ACB
Maroussi
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H01/02
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A09/02
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
40-63
40
63
-23
H01/03
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
85.7Avg total
40.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.183.6-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.783.1+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.643.584.1-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.985.7-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.290.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.548.787.2-10.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.540.479.9-0.959%-
vs Weaker (7)49.040.689.6+8.471%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.9
50.3%
54.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
35.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.4
75.7%
76.4%18.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.3
52.7%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.8
30.6%
35.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.1
71.6%
76.4%16.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
LLLLWLLLLW
Basket Zaragoza
LLWLLWWLLL
#16
League position
#12
-9.2
Net rating
-3.7
107.1
Offensive rating
105.0
116.4
Defensive rating
108.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
30.6%
66.9%
Assist %
64.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 105.0Defence116.4 · 108.7Shooting50.2% · 49.8%3-point %33.3% · 30.6%Ball care17.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.9% · 33.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forca Lleida wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Basket Zaragoza v Forca Lleida101-91 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ALeyma Coruna84-97
09/02/25HReal Madrid84-95
02/02/25ABilbao75-91
26/01/25HBaskonia74-78
19/01/25HGran Canaria88-78
12/01/25AMurcia81-88
04/01/25HBasquet Girona85-90
30/12/24AValencia92-107
27/12/24AJoventut Badalona72-92
21/12/24HGranada87-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HCholet83-83
01/03/25HValencia71-115
09/02/25ABasquet Girona101-89
05/02/25HTofas79-80
01/02/25HMurcia79-88
29/01/25HMaroussi80-68
26/01/25HMoraBanc Andorra86-75
19/01/25AGranada91-97
14/01/25AFC Porto75-86
11/01/25HManresa92-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%50%9%
Points / game83.084.082.2
Allowed / game87.981.693.6
Point differential-4.9+2.4-11.5
Avg total171.0165.6175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeWLWLL73%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%73%20%
Points / game89.891.687.7
Allowed / game90.084.596.2
Point differential-0.3+7.2-8.5
Avg total179.8176.1183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%55%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2218482%87.176.5+10.6
2 Unicaja2217577%89.082.8+6.3
3 Tenerife2116576%87.082.1+4.9
4 Valencia2216673%96.886.1+10.6
5 Manresa2213959%88.084.0+4.0
6 Joventut Badalona2213959%84.882.8+2.0
7 Barcelona2112957%90.485.9+4.5
8 Gran Canaria21111052%82.181.8+0.3
9 Basket Zaragoza21101148%89.890.0-0.3
10 Baskonia21101148%86.587.3-0.9
11 Murcia22101245%81.182.1-1.0
12 Breogan2291341%78.085.4-7.3
13 Bilbao2281436%81.583.3-1.7
14 MoraBanc Andorra2281436%86.590.7-4.1
15 Basquet Girona2271532%80.388.2-7.9
16 Forca Lleida2161529%83.087.9-4.9
17 Granada2261627%80.086.3-6.3
18 Leyma Coruna2251723%84.993.5-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forca Lleida1733222597
Basket Zaragoza1924183091
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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