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Forca Lleida vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-88
19-28 24-18 24-20 14-22
Position#14
Record4-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game80.5
SpainACBRound 11· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Real Madrid
25 Oct 2026
FLL86
MAD122
20 Dec 2025
FLL81
MAD88
09 Feb 2025
FLL84
MAD95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
73avg 74
H04/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 74
A12/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
63avg 74
H19/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
99-90
99
90
+9
97avg 74
H25/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
54avg 74
A02/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 74
H09/11
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
86-99
86
99
-13
82avg 74
A16/11
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
71-107
71
107
-36
50avg 74
H22/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
88-89
88
89
-1
79avg 74
H06/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 74
A14/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
22-15
19-16
23-22
25-21
23-22
15-22
28-21
25-24
16-25
16-24
21-26
24-22
22-20
23-21
30-27
22-20
19-21
16-16
11-25
28-11
21-17
17-19
20-33
27-27
23-17
22-29
14-26
18-31
12-23
18-25
23-28
20-21
17-30
29-18
22-20
17-15
14-17
26-32
18-29
172.2Avg total
82.9Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.989.3172.2-6.440%
Season at home (6)84.888.8173.7-4.050%
Season away (4)80.090.0170.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)82.989.3172.2-6.440%
Last 5 (5)81.293.6174.8-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)79.887.2167.1-7.530%
vs Similar (10)86.791.2177.9-4.540%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
W
82-70
82
70
+12
71avg 81
H16/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
100-99
100
99
+1
92avg 81
H20/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
111-100
111
100
+11
103avg 81
A22/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 81
A25/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
81-75
81
75
+6
82avg 81
A04/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
66avg 81
A07/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 81
H11/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
112-76
112
76
+36
110avg 81
H14/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
82-89
82
89
-7
68avg 81
A16/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
95-90
95
90
+5
90avg 81
H18/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
16-27
24-19
19-8
22-16
21-21
19-25
38-37
31-29
25-19
22-31
33-21
22-18
17-18
21-22
15-16
17-17
20-24
23-18
21-16
18-16
15-9
16-23
22-22
24-23
18-16
29-21
23-27
28-22
31-27
27-16
26-11
21-23
18-27
21-16
22-23
24-21
25-29
21-24
25-16
173.3Avg total
90.3Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.980.5171.4+10.490%
Season at home (5)90.474.4164.8+16.0100%
Season away (5)91.486.6178.0+4.880%
Last 10 (10)90.383.0173.3+7.390%
Last 5 (5)90.882.4173.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (8)85.282.4167.6+2.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.981.8169.8+6.175%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +4.7+4.7
Forca LleidaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H19/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A02/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H09/11
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A16/11
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H22/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A14/12
ACB
83.2Avg total
41.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.882.6-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.540.980.5-1.441%-
Last 30 away (13)40.245.285.5-5.023%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.483.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.881.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.241.280.5-2.035%-
vs Similar (10)41.045.986.9-4.930%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A22/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A07/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H14/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A16/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.386.7+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.841.786.5+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)44.142.987.0+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (8)43.941.885.6+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.142.087.1+3.260%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.8
50.5%
50.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.4%
42.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.218.7
74.2%
74.7%18.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.9
55.3%
50.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
42.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.520.0
81.6%
74.7%20.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
LLLLWLWLWW
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#2
-7.5
Net rating
+9.4
104.3
Offensive rating
117.8
111.8
Defensive rating
108.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.4%
3-point %
34.1%
54.1%
Assist %
53.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 117.8Defence111.8 · 108.4Shooting49.8% · 53.7%3-point %32.4% · 34.1%Ball care18.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 34.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forca Lleida wins
2
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Forca Lleida v Real Madrid84-95
17/11/24Real Madrid v Forca Lleida85-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25ABilbao75-93
06/12/25HUnicaja88-89
22/11/25HMurcia71-107
16/11/25AManresa86-99
09/11/25HBaskonia86-80
02/11/25AJoventut Badalona68-82
25/10/25HGranada99-90
19/10/25HValencia78-99
12/10/25ABarcelona91-86
04/10/25HBreogan87-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HParis95-90
16/12/25AOlimpia Milano82-89
14/12/25HBasquet Girona112-76
11/12/25HBaskonia94-87
07/12/25ATenerife71-70
04/12/25AAnadolu Efes81-75
25/11/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv75-74
22/11/25AGranada111-100
20/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas100-99
16/11/25HBilbao82-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game82.984.880.0
Allowed / game89.388.890.0
Point differential-6.4-4.0-10.0
Avg total172.2173.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game90.990.491.4
Allowed / game80.574.486.6
Point differential+10.4+16.0+4.8
Avg total171.4164.8178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid109190%90.980.5+10.4
2 Valencia98189%96.882.9+13.9
3 Murcia108280%90.279.0+11.2
4 Tenerife118373%91.684.5+7.1
5 Joventut Badalona107370%85.979.3+6.6
6 Unicaja107370%87.182.7+4.4
7 Barcelona106460%86.080.0+6.0
8 Bilbao105550%82.983.6-0.7
9 Baskonia94544%90.190.4-0.3
10 Breogan104640%88.492.2-3.8
11 Forca Lleida104640%82.989.3-6.4
12 MoraBanc Andorra104640%82.391.3-9.0
13 Basquet Girona114736%85.292.8-7.6
14 Gran Canaria93633%79.681.8-2.2
15 Basket Zaragoza93633%87.189.8-2.7
16 Manresa103730%79.787.0-7.3
17 Granada101910%81.289.7-8.5
18 San Pablo Burgos101910%87.397.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forca Lleida1924241481
Real Madrid2818202288
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