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Forli vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-74
27-21 31-14 23-22 13-17
Position#6
Record20-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.1
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record19-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game75.0
ItalySerie A2Round 34· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Urania Milano
09 Nov 2025
FORL80
URAN70
30 Mar 2025
FORL94
URAN74
24 Feb 2024
FORL73
URAN59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 71
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 71
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 71
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
61-57
61
57
+4
54avg 71
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 71
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 71
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 71
H09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 71
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 71
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
86-85
86
85
+1
81avg 71
H26/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
22-11
28-17
15-19
19-17
21-25
25-17
16-18
18-15
24-24
21-17
19-20
13-14
14-18
14-18
20-7
19-25
10-19
16-20
24-18
17-12
11-24
29-14
21-26
23-21
18-16
18-24
24-21
16-26
14-22
13-14
28-22
33-19
15-17
26-20
26-26
27-24
21-14
21-25
17-22
155.3Avg total
79.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.876.1153.8+1.761%
Season at home (16)79.175.1154.1+4.069%
Season away (17)76.677.0153.6-0.453%
Last 10 (10)79.176.2155.3+2.980%
Last 5 (5)83.681.8165.4+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.574.5150.1+1.055%
vs Weaker (6)85.381.3166.7+4.083%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
63-57
63
57
+6
59avg 71
H24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
86-98
86
98
-12
79avg 71
A29/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
98-91
98
91
+7
95avg 71
H01/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
81-79
81
79
+2
74avg 71
A09/02
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 71
H15/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
79avg 71
A26/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
74-58
74
58
+16
72avg 71
H01/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
71-65
71
65
+6
61avg 71
A09/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
66-75
66
75
-9
62avg 71
A19/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
63-70
63
70
-7
52avg 71
H22/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-15
15-13
25-9
15-20
25-28
23-14
14-31
24-25
16-28
24-20
25-17
33-26
19-17
23-27
29-8
10-27
18-28
22-19
17-13
19-25
14-13
18-18
26-19
21-21
25-14
9-7
20-18
20-19
16-16
13-12
16-18
26-19
20-21
25-18
16-20
5-16
8-21
19-19
26-14
10-16
150.6Avg total
75.7Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.575.0151.5+1.659%
Season at home (16)78.572.6151.1+5.969%
Season away (16)74.677.3151.9-2.850%
Last 10 (10)75.774.9150.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)70.667.8138.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.771.0133.7-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (23)76.275.0151.2+1.257%
vs Weaker (4)84.578.0162.5+6.575%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
ForliUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H26/03
Serie A2
74.7Avg total
37.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.875.5+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.935.174.0+3.779%-
Last 30 away (16)38.638.276.8+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.774.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.078.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.535.473.9+3.168%-
vs Weaker (6)39.739.379.0+0.350%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A29/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H01/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A09/02
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H15/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A26/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H01/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A09/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A19/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H22/03
Serie A2
72.8Avg total
36.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.175.8-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.438.174.5-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)36.940.177.1-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.872.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.865.2+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.038.366.3-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)36.238.674.8-2.348%-
vs Weaker (4)45.842.888.5+3.075%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.217.7
46.3%
50.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.6
37.4%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.314.1
77.0%
74.4%14.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.115.8
43.8%
50.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.7
39.3%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.411.0
71.4%
74.4%11.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWLWWLWWWW
Urania Milano
LLWWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#12
+4.2
Net rating
+1.1
107.2
Offensive rating
102.5
102.9
Defensive rating
101.4
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.4%
3-point %
39.3%
64.1%
Assist %
66.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 102.5Defence102.9 · 101.4Shooting50.2% · 50.3%3-point %37.4% · 39.3%Ball care17.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.8% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Forli   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
0
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
23/11/24Urania Milano v Forli80-82
24/02/24Forli v Urania Milano73-59
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HAvellino Basket86-85
22/03/25AAssigeco Piacenza100-82
15/03/25APesaro71-84
09/03/25HJuVi Cremona83-82
02/03/25AVigevano78-76
26/02/25HNardo69-82
16/02/25AOrzinuovi61-57
09/02/25HUdine82-76
02/02/25ACantu81-77
29/01/25HBasket Torino80-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HVigevano63-70
19/03/25AFortitudo Bologna66-75
09/03/25ACento71-65
01/03/25HVerona74-58
26/02/25AJuVi Cremona79-71
15/02/25HAvellino Basket76-85
09/02/25ANardo81-79
01/02/25HRimini98-91
29/01/25AAssigeco Piacenza86-98
24/01/25HCantu63-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %61%69%53%
Points / game77.879.176.6
Allowed / game76.175.177.0
Point differential+1.7+4.0-0.4
Avg total153.8154.1153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)56% (9)83% (6)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWWLWL69%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game76.578.574.6
Allowed / game75.072.677.3
Point differential+1.6+5.9-2.8
Avg total151.5151.1151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3224875%83.275.0+8.2
2 Rimini33231070%81.677.8+3.8
3 Cantu32201262%77.873.2+4.6
4 Fortitudo Bologna33201361%76.073.2+2.8
5 Forli33201361%77.876.1+1.7
6 Urania Milano32191359%76.575.0+1.6
7 Cividale34201459%79.778.4+1.4
8 Verona33191458%76.873.4+3.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti33191458%75.674.3+1.3
10 Pesaro33181555%81.880.2+1.6
11 Brindisi34181653%76.775.9+0.8
12 Avellino Basket34181653%79.079.9-0.8
13 Basket Torino33171652%75.875.2+0.7
14 Orzinuovi33132039%77.480.8-3.4
15 Cento33132039%72.977.8-4.8
16 JuVi Cremona32112134%80.282.3-2.2
17 Libertas Livorno33112233%74.676.6-2.0
18 Vigevano33112233%75.880.8-5.0
19 Nardo33102330%74.680.7-6.1
20 Assigeco Piacenza3462818%75.882.7-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2731231394
Urania Milano2114221774
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