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Forli vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-59
20-19 17-14 21-15 15-11
Position#2
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.0
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record12-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game84.0
ItalySerie A2Round 25· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Urania Milano
09 Nov 2025
FORL80
URAN70
30 Mar 2025
FORL94
URAN74
24 Feb 2024
FORL73
URAN59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 70
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 70
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-58
63
58
+5
53avg 70
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 70
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 70
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 70
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 70
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 70
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 70
A18/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
18-22
11-15
21-13
23-26
17-24
19-8
21-10
14-10
15-11
18-21
16-16
20-13
19-25
17-28
21-20
21-12
14-22
20-21
21-13
19-9
23-26
19-27
21-12
9-20
22-14
19-14
23-13
25-18
21-16
18-16
28-14
24-16
17-22
22-18
20-17
17-20
25-22
19-13
19-14
147.0Avg total
77.8Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.073.0153.0+7.083%
Season at home (12)82.270.2152.4+12.1100%
Season away (12)77.775.8153.5+1.867%
Last 10 (10)77.869.2147.0+8.690%
Last 5 (5)82.068.2150.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)75.273.6148.9+1.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.171.6154.6+11.593%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
86-83
86
83
+3
80avg 75
H16/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
80-69
80
69
+11
67avg 75
A23/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
90avg 75
A30/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 75
H06/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 75
H13/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
80-84
80
84
-4
69avg 75
A20/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 75
A28/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
92-75
92
75
+17
94avg 75
H04/02
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 75
A11/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
71-81
71
81
-10
59avg 75
H15/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
27-18
23-16
15-24
10-22
24-13
23-13
23-21
16-15
23-24
20-22
26-23
21-12
17-33
25-18
21-23
24-18
18-25
25-18
14-26
21-23
25-20
18-13
16-28
26-19
27-31
20-21
18-23
19-14
27-18
20-19
26-24
23-20
18-30
16-25
15-15
13-20
19-19
19-15
20-27
165.5Avg total
82.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.084.0167.0-1.050%
Season at home (12)83.182.5165.6+0.650%
Season away (12)82.985.6168.5-2.750%
Last 10 (10)82.283.3165.5-1.140%
Last 5 (5)81.284.8166.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.887.9168.7-7.127%
vs Similar (15)82.382.9165.2-0.753%
vs Weaker (4)89.581.0170.5+8.575%
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
ForliUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
Serie A2
75.4Avg total
38.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.375.6+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.433.773.1+5.788%-
Last 30 away (14)39.339.278.5+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.975.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.677.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)36.437.874.2-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.634.577.1+8.186%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H16/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A30/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H06/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A20/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A28/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H04/02
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A11/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/02
Serie A2
83.8Avg total
41.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.383.0-1.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.782.7-0.633%-
Last 30 away (15)40.442.983.3-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.983.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.886.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.745.284.9-5.50%-
vs Similar (15)40.840.180.9+0.747%-
vs Weaker (4)43.242.285.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.3
46.6%
50.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.4
37.3%
34.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.9%
74.2%14.0
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.216.5
52.9%
50.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.0
34.6%
34.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.416.4
80.4%
74.2%16.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWWWWWLWWW
Urania Milano
LLWLLLLWWW
#2
League position
#14
+11.5
Net rating
-3.5
107.6
Offensive rating
109.8
96.1
Defensive rating
113.2
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.3%
3-point %
34.6%
48.7%
Assist %
65.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 109.8Defence96.1 · 113.2Shooting50.4% · 52.4%3-point %37.3% · 34.6%Ball care16.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 24.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Forli   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forli wins
0
Urania Milano wins
No previous meetings.
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24AAgrigento80-69
11/02/24HSebastiani Rieti83-73
04/02/24HTrieste92-64
28/01/24AUdine73-61
21/01/24HChiusi82-74
13/01/24HVerona76-68
06/01/24ACividale77-86
30/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza63-58
23/12/23ARimini80-68
17/12/23AOrzinuovi72-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HNardo71-81
11/02/24AUdine72-90
04/02/24HMonferrato92-75
28/01/24ABasket Torino91-94
20/01/24ALuiss Roma80-84
13/01/24HJuVi Cremona81-87
06/01/24HSebastiani Rieti84-86
30/12/23ACantu85-84
23/12/23ALatina80-69
16/12/23HVigevano86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game80.082.277.7
Allowed / game73.070.275.8
Point differential+7.0+12.1+1.8
Avg total153.0152.4153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %21%33%8%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.083.182.9
Allowed / game84.082.585.6
Point differential-1.0+0.6-2.7
Avg total167.0165.6168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)75% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2422292%90.277.0+13.2
2 Forli2420483%80.073.0+7.0
3 Cantu2418675%88.880.5+8.4
4 Fortitudo Bologna2418675%76.871.8+5.0
5 Basket Torino2417771%85.581.8+3.7
6 Udine2316770%79.270.0+9.3
7 Verona2416867%75.872.3+3.5
8 Sebastiani Rieti24141058%81.879.7+2.1
9 Trieste24141058%80.379.1+1.2
10 JuVi Cremona24121250%86.486.0+0.4
11 Urania Milano24121250%83.084.0-1.0
12 Treviglio24111346%80.280.6-0.4
13 Cento24111346%74.478.3-3.9
14 Assigeco Piacenza25111444%76.875.8+1.0
15 Rimini24101442%77.376.8+0.5
16 Nardo24101442%75.581.0-5.5
17 Cividale2491538%74.277.2-3.0
18 Vigevano2491538%77.981.6-3.7
19 Luiss Roma2491538%79.085.1-6.1
20 Orzinuovi2481633%74.176.8-2.7
21 Agrigento2461825%74.780.8-6.1
22 Monferrato2561924%79.684.4-4.8
23 Chiusi2451921%65.174.2-9.0
24 Latina2341917%78.487.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2017211573
Urania Milano1914151159
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