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Fortitudo Bologna vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 86-93
21-30 27-20 20-20 18-23
Position#15
Record5-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game84.3
Fortitudo Bologna
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record10-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game78.2
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Brescia
06 Feb 2022
FBO86
BRE93
03 Apr 2021
FBO88
BRE78
03 Nov 2019
FBO74
BRE88
21 Jun 2016
FBO94
BRE70
19 Jun 2016
FBO69
BRE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 73
H14/11
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A21/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
51avg 73
A05/12
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
96-60
96
60
+36
96avg 73
H13/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
52avg 73
A19/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
102avg 73
H09/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
84-103
84
103
-19
76avg 73
H12/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
82avg 73
A16/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
H23/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 73
A30/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
16-18
13-27
24-22
25-17
17-20
21-21
14-26
17-19
16-14
15-26
16-15
30-21
23-11
14-17
29-11
20-19
15-19
20-19
15-19
25-20
31-28
14-25
31-21
24-19
25-33
19-23
16-28
20-19
23-15
20-19
26-33
15-32
19-19
20-22
20-19
23-19
13-18
13-20
15-17
163.0Avg total
79.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.884.3165.1-3.529%
Season at home (9)84.182.6166.7+1.644%
Season away (8)77.086.2163.2-9.212%
Last 10 (10)79.683.4163.0-3.830%
Last 5 (5)82.489.8172.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.185.9158.0-13.80%
vs Similar (19)81.381.3162.5+0.042%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
74-103
74
103
-29
62avg 76
H14/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 76
A21/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H04/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
48avg 76
A12/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
92avg 76
H19/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
91avg 76
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
88-67
88
67
+21
82avg 76
H16/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
110-78
110
78
+32
112avg 76
H20/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
97-86
97
86
+11
93avg 76
H23/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
87avg 76
A30/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
24-24
22-21
7-26
13-26
15-14
12-23
21-17
23-17
20-15
20-19
17-18
12-15
20-17
17-20
13-24
31-14
28-19
19-18
8-22
31-15
24-12
17-34
22-8
21-22
22-14
20-10
25-21
26-15
35-25
25-18
24-20
26-20
16-23
30-26
25-17
20-26
18-21
26-19
29-16
162.8Avg total
84.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.978.2161.1+4.759%
Season at home (9)89.780.4170.1+9.278%
Season away (8)75.275.6150.9-0.438%
Last 10 (10)84.578.3162.8+6.270%
Last 5 (5)96.476.4172.8+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.884.5159.2-9.80%
vs Similar (12)80.284.6164.8-4.342%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.676.8161.5+7.862%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Fortitudo BolognaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/11
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A21/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/12
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H13/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H09/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H12/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A30/01
Lega A
82.5Avg total
42.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.880.9-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.181.7-2.433%-
Last 30 away (15)38.541.580.0-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.482.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.488.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.143.379.4-7.20%-
vs Similar (19)40.840.981.7-0.247%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H14/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A21/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A12/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H19/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
55-27
55
27
+28
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H16/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H20/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H23/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A30/01
Lega A
83.2Avg total
44.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.582.2+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.140.185.1+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.979.3-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.683.2+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.686.4+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.846.884.5-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.540.983.4+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.737.581.2+6.262%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.5
49.4%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.8
37.1%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
74.7%14.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.0
54.8%
51.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.2
37.0%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.415.3
83.2%
74.7%15.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
LLWLWLWLLL
Brescia
WWWWWWLWLL
#15
League position
#3
-5.4
Net rating
+8.6
106.2
Offensive rating
112.9
111.6
Defensive rating
104.3
52.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.1%
3-point %
37.0%
56.8%
Assist %
54.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 112.9Defence111.6 · 104.3Shooting52.1% · 55.1%3-point %37.1% · 37.0%Ball care14.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds22.9% · 29.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fortitudo Bologna wins
6
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
31/10/21Brescia v Fortitudo Bologna97-81
03/04/21Fortitudo Bologna v Brescia88-78
05/12/20Brescia v Fortitudo Bologna99-85
03/11/19Fortitudo Bologna v Brescia74-88
24/06/16Brescia v Fortitudo Bologna83-59
21/06/16Fortitudo Bologna v Brescia94-70
19/06/16Fortitudo Bologna v Brescia69-60
14/06/16Brescia v Fortitudo Bologna76-58
12/06/16Brescia v Fortitudo Bologna71-63
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22AOlimpia Milano64-74
23/01/22HTortona74-92
16/01/22ABasket Napoli89-86
12/01/22HSassari84-103
09/01/22HVarese101-94
19/12/21AVirtus Bologna70-76
13/12/21HTrieste96-60
05/12/21ATortona64-74
21/11/21ATrento77-84
14/11/21HVenezia77-91
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22AVenezia93-82
23/01/22HSassari97-86
20/01/22HPesaro110-78
16/01/22HBrindisi88-67
27/12/21ATreviso94-69
19/12/21HCremona86-73
12/12/21AOlimpia Milano62-76
04/12/21HVenezia80-69
21/11/21AReggiana61-80
14/11/21HVirtus Bologna74-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%44%12%
Points / game80.884.177.0
Allowed / game84.382.686.2
Point differential-3.5+1.6-9.2
Avg total165.1166.7163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%78%38%
Points / game82.989.775.2
Allowed / game78.280.475.6
Point differential+4.7+9.2-0.4
Avg total161.1170.1150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%78%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1715288%82.469.9+12.4
2 Virtus Bologna1714382%89.679.1+10.5
3 Brescia1710759%82.978.2+4.7
4 Trieste1710759%78.179.2-1.1
5 Reggiana168850%81.980.0+1.9
6 Tortona189950%80.981.3-0.4
7 Trento189950%80.380.7-0.4
8 Sassari178947%83.183.7-0.6
9 Basket Napoli178947%82.683.9-1.3
10 Brindisi178947%80.783.2-2.5
11 Treviso178947%79.482.6-3.3
12 Venezia1771041%78.479.3-0.9
13 Pesaro1871139%80.584.2-3.7
14 Varese1661038%80.588.4-7.9
15 Fortitudo Bologna1751229%80.884.3-3.5
16 Cremona1851328%80.784.3-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna2127201886
Brescia3020202393
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