PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-103
21-32 24-24 22-21 7-26
Position#3
Record3-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game78.3
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
09 Feb 2026
BRE79
VIR87
17 Jun 2025
BRE74
VIR96
01 Dec 2024
BRE98
VIR97
25 Mar 2024
BRE73
VIR87
18 Dec 2022
BRE77
VIR89
14 Nov 2021
BRE74
VIR103
04 Oct 2020
BRE80
VIR81
26 Oct 2019
BRE80
VIR82
24 Apr 2019
BRE77
VIR75
18 Mar 2018
BRE66
VIR70
16 Feb 2018
BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
L
72-75
72
75
-3
59avg 76
A26/09
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
64avg 76
H03/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
A10/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 76
H17/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 76
A24/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
97-81
97
81
+16
96avg 76
H31/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
72-78
72
78
-6
58avg 76
A06/11
Lega A
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
L
59-98
59
98
-39
no box
A09/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
27-13
14-34
11-22
25-20
20-22
17-16
19-16
12-27
25-11
21-21
14-16
22-20
18-17
18-26
19-16
16-16
15-31
24-12
17-21
26-21
15-18
29-20
28-29
18-17
22-15
22-14
14-19
26-18
33-21
18-17
20-25
17-16
16-17
17-22
22-23
0-0
22-49
0-0
37-49
158.6Avg total
78.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.678.0158.6+2.643%
Season at home (3)90.782.7173.3+8.067%
Season away (4)73.074.5147.5-1.525%
Last 10 (10)78.180.5158.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)80.482.0162.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.391.7176.0-7.317%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.384.5167.8-1.247%
vs Weaker (6)81.380.2161.5+1.233%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
97-56
97
56
+41
101avg 85
H03/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
84-65
84
65
+19
75avg 85
A10/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 85
H16/10
Lega A
Bursaspor
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
107avg 85
A20/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
L
89-92
89
92
-3
78avg 85
A24/10
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H27/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#5
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 85
A30/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
82-86
82
86
-4
73avg 85
A03/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
87avg 85
H06/11
Lega A
Valencia
#4
L
96-97
96
97
-1
88avg 85
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-18
28-15
25-6
23-28
15-13
29-9
17-15
35-29
22-15
16-22
21-13
31-21
26-27
24-18
20-17
20-23
17-25
21-20
31-24
23-28
17-16
22-10
25-22
22-20
14-31
29-22
11-20
28-22
20-15
22-27
12-22
18-21
30-20
17-18
23-16
33-23
24-22
22-27
17-25
169.6Avg total
89.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.078.3168.3+11.771%
Season at home (3)93.070.0163.0+23.0100%
Season away (4)87.884.5172.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)89.480.2169.6+9.260%
Last 5 (5)85.885.4171.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.077.5158.5+3.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.374.1154.4+6.280%
vs Weaker (18)90.381.4171.8+8.967%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H03/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A10/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H17/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H31/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/11
Lega A
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A09/11
NCAA
78.7Avg total
40.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.484.2-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.242.385.5+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.642.483.1-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.778.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.477.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.247.289.3-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.541.585.0+1.959%-
vs Weaker (6)40.238.879.0+1.350%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H03/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H16/10
Lega A
Bursaspor
#11
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A20/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/10
Lega A
Ulm
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H27/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A30/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A03/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/11
Lega A
Valencia
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H10/11
Eurocup
89.6Avg total
46.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.184.4+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.439.583.9+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.884.9-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)46.243.489.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.689.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.033.072.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.639.880.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker (18)45.242.887.9+2.461%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.4
50.0%
51.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.5
38.5%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.211.3
69.8%
74.7%11.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.524.6
56.6%
51.1%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.2
34.7%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.814.6
70.2%
74.7%14.6
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWLLLWL
Virtus Bologna
LWLLWLWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+1.5
Net rating
+11.8
108.9
Offensive rating
113.0
107.4
Defensive rating
101.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.5%
3-point %
34.7%
58.5%
Assist %
67.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 113.0Defence107.4 · 101.2Shooting53.2% · 55.0%3-point %38.5% · 34.7%Ball care17.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.8% · 27.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/21AMiddle Tenn. St.59-98
06/11/21ATrento72-78
31/10/21HFortitudo Bologna97-81
24/10/21ASassari76-65
17/10/21HBasket Napoli98-88
10/10/21ATrieste72-80
03/10/21HTortona77-79
26/09/21AVarese72-75
13/09/21ABasket Napoli81-74
11/09/21HBasket Napoli77-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/21HValencia96-97
06/11/21HPesaro88-75
03/11/21ABuducnost82-86
30/10/21ATortona76-93
27/10/21HUlm87-76
24/10/21ABasket Napoli89-92
20/10/21ABursaspor101-83
16/10/21HTrieste94-79
10/10/21AVenezia84-65
03/10/21HVarese97-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game80.690.773.0
Allowed / game78.082.774.5
Point differential+2.6+8.0-1.5
Avg total158.6173.3147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game90.093.087.8
Allowed / game78.370.084.5
Point differential+11.7+23.0+3.2
Avg total168.3163.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano770100%85.670.4+15.1
2 Brindisi86275%85.879.9+5.9
3 Virtus Bologna75271%90.078.3+11.7
4 Trieste75271%78.975.4+3.4
5 Trento85362%79.280.1-0.9
6 Treviso74357%78.777.4+1.3
7 Basket Napoli84450%84.083.9+0.1
8 Reggiana73443%84.081.3+2.7
9 Brescia73443%80.678.0+2.6
10 Venezia73443%78.378.7-0.4
11 Cremona73443%78.679.9-1.3
12 Tortona73443%79.083.3-4.3
13 Sassari73443%73.079.6-6.6
14 Fortitudo Bologna72529%82.485.6-3.1
15 Varese71614%72.090.1-18.1
16 Pesaro81712%74.482.1-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia212422774
Virtus Bologna32242126103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.