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Brescia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 110-78
26-15 35-25 25-18 24-20
Position#3
Record7-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#9
Record6-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.1
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Brescia v Pesaro
01 Oct 2023
BRE81
PES79
18 Feb 2023
BRE74
PES57
29 Oct 2022
BRE97
PES98
20 Jan 2022
BRE110
PES78
10 May 2021
BRE86
PES84
24 Nov 2019
BRE101
PES74
04 Nov 2018
BRE84
PES81
21 Jan 2018
BRE88
PES70
22 Jan 2017
BRE99
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
97-81
97
81
+16
96avg 75
H31/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
72-78
72
78
-6
58avg 75
A06/11
Lega A
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
L
59-98
59
98
-39
no box
A09/11
NCAA
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
74-103
74
103
-29
62avg 75
H14/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 75
A21/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H04/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
48avg 75
A12/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
92avg 75
H19/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
91avg 75
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
88-67
88
67
+21
82avg 75
H16/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
33-21
18-17
20-25
17-16
16-17
17-22
22-23
0-0
22-49
0-0
37-49
21-32
24-24
22-21
7-26
13-26
15-14
12-23
21-17
23-17
20-15
20-19
17-18
12-15
20-17
17-20
13-24
31-14
28-19
19-18
8-22
31-15
24-12
17-34
22-8
21-22
22-14
20-10
25-21
156.7Avg total
77.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.277.4156.6+1.950%
Season at home (7)85.780.0165.7+5.771%
Season away (7)72.774.7147.4-2.029%
Last 10 (10)77.379.4156.7-2.150%
Last 5 (5)82.070.8152.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.287.4165.6-9.20%
vs Similar (13)81.083.9164.9-2.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.576.3157.8+5.355%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
68-77
68
77
-9
65avg 72
A23/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 72
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 72
A06/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
83-100
83
100
-17
64avg 72
H13/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
88-84
88
84
+4
89avg 72
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
94-75
94
75
+19
84avg 72
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 72
A11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
63avg 72
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 72
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
H16/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
21-16
19-21
9-26
17-15
10-25
26-21
22-18
21-18
20-30
18-17
16-23
15-25
30-28
15-23
23-24
19-18
19-20
25-18
25-28
25-19
28-18
23-22
18-16
26-17
17-15
12-19
18-12
7-20
23-19
23-13
16-20
25-27
16-16
25-17
25-29
24-20
16-18
12-17
25-22
161.0Avg total
80.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.280.1158.4-1.943%
Season at home (7)80.179.9160.0+0.343%
Season away (7)76.380.4156.7-4.143%
Last 10 (10)80.180.9161.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)82.476.2158.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.181.4153.5-9.318%
vs Similar (17)79.983.1163.1-3.241%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
BresciaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H31/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/11
Lega A
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A09/11
NCAA
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H14/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A21/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A12/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H19/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
55-27
55
27
+28
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H16/01
Lega A
79.6Avg total
41.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.481.9+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.240.284.5+4.062%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.578.9-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.779.6+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.432.078.4+14.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.246.885.0-8.60%-
vs Similar (13)43.340.583.8+2.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.636.579.1+6.264%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A23/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H13/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/01
Lega A
79.6Avg total
39.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.978.8-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.040.876.8-4.846%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.080.2-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.879.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.879.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.938.974.8-3.055%-
vs Similar (17)39.841.381.1-1.541%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.3
52.6%
51.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.2
35.8%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.212.8
79.0%
74.7%12.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.7
50.8%
51.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.314.7
76.2%
74.7%14.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWWLWLLLLW
Pesaro
WWLWWWLLLL
#3
League position
#9
+3.9
Net rating
-2.8
106.0
Offensive rating
108.3
102.1
Defensive rating
111.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.8%
3-point %
34.3%
54.2%
Assist %
53.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 108.3Defence102.1 · 111.0Shooting53.1% · 51.0%3-point %35.8% · 34.3%Ball care18.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds26.8% · 30.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
10/05/21Brescia v Pesaro86-84
10/01/21Pesaro v Brescia98-88
24/11/19Brescia v Pesaro101-74
03/03/19Pesaro v Brescia86-92
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
01/10/17Pesaro v Brescia70-73
22/01/17Brescia v Pesaro99-68
02/10/16Pesaro v Brescia76-63
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22HBrindisi88-67
27/12/21ATreviso94-69
19/12/21HCremona86-73
12/12/21AOlimpia Milano62-76
04/12/21HVenezia80-69
21/11/21AReggiana61-80
14/11/21HVirtus Bologna74-103
09/11/21AMiddle Tenn. St.59-98
06/11/21ATrento72-78
31/10/21HFortitudo Bologna97-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT
26/12/21ABrindisi91-89
19/12/21HReggiana69-72
11/12/21ATreviso73-63
05/12/21HVarese94-75
21/11/21ACremona88-84
13/11/21HBasket Napoli83-100
06/11/21AVirtus Bologna75-88
31/10/21HTrento75-79
23/10/21AVenezia68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game79.285.772.7
Allowed / game77.480.074.7
Point differential+1.9+5.7-2.0
Avg total156.6165.7147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW43%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game78.280.176.3
Allowed / game80.179.980.4
Point differential-1.9+0.3-4.1
Avg total158.4160.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1513287%83.170.1+13.0
2 Virtus Bologna1512380%90.779.9+10.9
3 Trento148657%79.680.1-0.6
4 Trieste148657%75.977.9-2.0
5 Brindisi158753%81.481.9-0.5
6 Tortona158753%80.181.3-1.2
7 Brescia147750%79.277.4+1.9
8 Reggiana157847%80.879.1+1.7
9 Venezia157847%77.978.0-0.1
10 Basket Napoli157847%82.984.0-1.1
11 Sassari157847%81.783.4-1.7
12 Pesaro146843%78.280.1-1.9
13 Treviso146843%77.281.1-3.9
14 Fortitudo Bologna1551033%82.384.5-2.1
15 Varese1441029%79.188.7-9.6
16 Cremona1541127%80.684.3-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia26352524110
Pesaro1525182078
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