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Fos-sur-Mer vs JL Bourg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-86
17-20 22-23 20-17 16-26
Position#18
Record9-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#5
Record17-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game84.5
FranceLNBRound 30
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v JL Bourg
26 Apr 2023
FSM75
JBO86
08 Jan 2022
FSM56
JBO63
03 Nov 2018
FSM78
JBO76
24 Jan 2017
FSM72
JBO75
04 Mar 2016
FSM81
JBO75
28 Mar 2014
FSM75
JBO58
13 Sep 2013
FSM73
JBO70
19 Apr 2013
FSM84
JBO62
11 Nov 2011
FSM101
JBO82
25 Mar 2011
FSM77
JBO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JL Bourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
63-74
63
74
-11
58avg 75
A04/02
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
A10/02
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
71-68
71
68
+3
62avg 75
H03/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
97-95
97
95
+2
94avg 75
A10/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
68avg 75
H25/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
63-69
63
69
-6
56avg 75
H31/03
LNB
Paris
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
85avg 75
A05/04
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 75
A08/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
73avg 75
A16/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
87-65
87
65
+22
95avg 75
H23/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
15-23
11-19
20-13
28-24
21-20
11-27
21-10
18-30
22-13
17-10
14-15
31-15
16-31
21-23
29-26
22-12
14-29
20-23
18-16
17-15
17-21
17-21
12-12
24-27
23-22
25-22
25-29
31-18
22-29
15-17
20-29
20-24
26-22
13-29
24-23
21-23
18-16
25-16
23-10
164.7Avg total
81.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.982.4159.3-5.531%
Season at home (14)75.677.4153.0-1.750%
Season away (15)78.187.1165.2-9.113%
Last 10 (10)81.683.1164.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)83.685.0168.6-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.482.0158.5-5.630%
vs Similar (7)77.680.1157.7-2.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#11
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H18/03
French Cup
Ulm
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
73avg 78
H22/03
Eurocup
Dijon
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
69avg 78
H26/03
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
88-75
88
75
+13
90avg 78
A29/03
Eurocup
Nancy
#13
W
96-82
96
82
+14
92avg 78
A01/04
LNB
Le Portel
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H04/04
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
111-108
111
108
+3
111avg 78
A07/04
LNB
Promitheas
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A12/04
Eurocup
Nanterre
#14
W
93-81
93
81
+12
91avg 78
H15/04
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 78
A23/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
18-24
20-24
12-17
24-27
11-27
24-11
19-20
20-15
12-20
14-16
23-24
20-17
15-27
29-13
24-18
28-15
20-20
28-22
20-25
23-14
17-24
17-8
19-25
24-26
32-26
24-21
31-35
13-24
20-17
22-20
20-28
23-19
27-17
27-21
16-24
14-16
26-31
19-12
20-28
167.7Avg total
83.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.284.5170.7+1.759%
Season at home (15)86.880.5167.3+6.373%
Season away (14)85.688.7174.3-3.143%
Last 10 (10)83.684.1167.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)86.887.2174.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.486.4165.8-7.040%
vs Similar (14)83.386.4169.7-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.676.0160.6+8.667%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
Fos-sur-MerJL Bourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/02
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A10/02
LNB
Le Mans
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H03/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H25/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H31/03
LNB
Paris
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/04
LNB
Nanterre
#14
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A08/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H23/04
LNB
85.6Avg total
42.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.779.4-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.839.876.6-3.027%-
Last 30 away (15)38.643.782.3-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.385.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.487.2+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.842.479.3-5.617%-
vs Similar (7)40.639.480.0+1.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H18/03
French Cup
Ulm
#6
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H22/03
Eurocup
Dijon
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/03
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A29/03
Eurocup
Nancy
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A01/04
LNB
Le Portel
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/04
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A07/04
LNB
Promitheas
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/04
Eurocup
Nanterre
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H15/04
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A23/04
LNB
83.7Avg total
40.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.082.1+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.180.6+0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)41.641.883.4-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.983.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.886.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.446.085.4-6.620%-
vs Similar (14)39.942.482.4-2.543%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.636.077.6+5.656%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.1
57.0%
53.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.2
32.1%
35.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.315.4
69.1%
75.2%15.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.5
56.1%
53.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.2
36.9%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.712.9
69.0%
75.2%12.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
WLLLLLWWWL
JL Bourg
LWLWWWWLLL
#18
League position
#5
-2.6
Net rating
-0.8
110.2
Offensive rating
111.0
112.8
Defensive rating
111.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.1%
3-point %
36.9%
61.1%
Assist %
66.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 111.0Defence112.8 · 111.8Shooting53.7% · 55.9%3-point %32.1% · 36.9%Ball care21.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds34.8% · 30.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ JL Bourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fos-sur-Mer wins
4
JL Bourg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HStrasbourg87-65
16/04/23AMonaco83-98
08/04/23ANanterre88-93
05/04/23AParis97-100
31/03/23HGravelines-Dunkerque63-69
25/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne74-80
10/03/23ADijon97-95
03/03/23HLe Mans71-68
10/02/23ARoanne93-89 OT
04/02/23APau-Orthez63-74
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23APau-Orthez79-87
15/04/23HNanterre93-81
12/04/23APromitheas75-89
07/04/23ARoanne111-108
04/04/23HLe Portel76-71
01/04/23ANancy96-82
29/03/23ACedevita Olimpija88-75
26/03/23HDijon69-75
22/03/23HUlm78-85
18/03/23HStrasbourg71-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %31%50%13%
Points / game76.975.678.1
Allowed / game82.477.487.1
Point differential-5.5-1.7-9.1
Avg total159.3153.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)67% (6)25% (8)
Overtime %7%7%7%
JL Bourg
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %59%73%43%
Points / game86.286.885.6
Allowed / game84.580.588.7
Point differential+1.7+6.3-3.1
Avg total170.7167.3174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)71% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %14%20%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco3125681%89.479.5+9.8
2 Boulogne-Levallois29191066%86.384.0+2.3
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne29181162%84.676.9+7.7
4 Cholet28171161%83.282.0+1.2
5 Dijon30181260%86.884.6+2.2
6 JL Bourg29171259%86.284.5+1.7
7 Le Mans30161453%87.984.2+3.6
8 Gravelines-Dunkerque31161552%79.280.3-1.1
9 Roanne30141647%91.090.2+0.8
10 Paris30141647%87.389.7-2.4
11 Strasbourg30131743%81.083.1-2.1
12 Nanterre30131743%80.883.6-2.9
13 Limoges30131743%77.680.5-2.9
14 Le Portel30121840%78.779.4-0.7
15 Ada Blois30121840%82.287.2-5.1
16 Nancy30111937%81.784.9-3.2
17 Pau-Orthez30111937%79.282.9-3.6
18 Fos-sur-Mer2992031%76.982.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer1722201675
JL Bourg2023172686
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