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Fos-sur-Mer vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-78
8-22 11-23 22-11 23-22
Position#20
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game75.0
Fos-sur-Mer
France
vs
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game71.0
FrancePro BRound 2· Halle des Sports Parsemain
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez
20 Sep 2024
FSM64
POR78
26 Jan 2024
FSM90
POR97
09 Dec 2022
FSM83
POR75
11 Feb 2022
FSM72
POR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
77avg 86
H26/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
79-81
79
81
-2
94avg 86
A29/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
83-70
83
70
+13
100avg 86
H05/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
88avg 86
A09/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
71-75
71
75
-4
81avg 86
H12/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
71-87
71
87
-16
89avg 86
A19/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
69-57
69
57
+12
86avg 86
H28/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
96-76
96
76
+20
113avg 86
A03/05
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
89avg 86
H10/05
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
85-75
85
75
+10
104avg 86
A13/09
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
20-9
14-21
15-15
17-22
24-25
20-12
18-22
27-15
18-13
21-21
17-21
19-24
24-22
22-17
15-18
23-19
10-20
14-20
24-16
18-18
16-28
17-23
20-18
15-10
15-24
24-16
15-7
32-15
20-17
21-19
23-25
20-11
19-19
20-22
16-20
17-16
23-15
14-21
31-23
152.0Avg total
77.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.075.0160.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.075.0160.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.774.3152.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)79.273.4152.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.377.3150.6-4.029%
vs Similar (22)79.579.4158.9+0.036%
vs Weaker (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Vichy
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
88avg 85
A05/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
98avg 85
H09/04
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
79-76
79
76
+3
93avg 85
A12/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
105avg 85
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
67-85
67
85
-18
80avg 85
A28/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
90avg 85
A03/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
65-52
65
52
+13
72avg 85
H10/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
80avg 85
A16/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
82avg 85
H19/05
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
88avg 85
H13/09
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
18-21
19-26
27-18
18-21
28-18
18-16
20-25
21-18
16-18
22-18
20-22
18-18
28-16
23-17
18-20
21-33
22-20
13-18
11-14
18-16
19-16
23-18
20-28
9-12
18-11
11-16
27-13
21-14
16-27
19-24
15-20
28-15
14-31
19-13
11-14
19-21
25-13
18-21
13-16
152.6Avg total
76.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.071.0146.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)75.071.0146.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.276.4152.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)72.671.8144.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.678.6148.2-9.020%
vs Similar (19)77.676.6154.2+0.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.282.5167.7+2.750%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
Fos-sur-MerPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H05/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A09/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H28/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A03/05
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H10/05
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/09
Pro B
76.2Avg total
39.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.678.2+0.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.837.478.2+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)38.539.778.2-1.225%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.676.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.673.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.342.982.1-3.614%-
vs Similar (22)39.737.777.4+2.041%-
vs Weaker (1)39.030.069.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vichy
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A05/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/04
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A28/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A03/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H10/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H19/05
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H13/09
Pro B
78.2Avg total
39.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.478.5-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.738.178.9+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.740.578.2-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.778.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.272.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.240.074.2-5.820%-
vs Similar (19)39.638.678.3+1.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.541.382.8+0.233%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.3
50.0%
52.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.7
35.2%
33.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
73.2%15.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.7
47.7%
52.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.0
36.7%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.715.1
69.6%
73.2%15.1
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
WWWWLLLWLL
Pau-Orthez
WLLWWLWWWL
#20
League position
#8
+4.8
Net rating
-1.1
103.5
Offensive rating
104.9
98.6
Defensive rating
106.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
21.5%
Turnover %
20.8%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.2%
3-point %
36.7%
65.9%
Assist %
61.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 104.9Defence98.6 · 106.0Shooting51.0% · 50.8%3-point %35.2% · 36.7%Ball care21.5% · 20.8%Off. rebounds32.5% · 33.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fos-sur-Mer wins
5
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
19/04/24Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer87-71
26/01/24Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez90-97 OT
04/02/23Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer74-63
09/12/22Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez83-75
26/03/22Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer93-72
11/02/22Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez72-70
06/11/21Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer76-74
Fos-sur-Merlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/24AEvreux85-75
10/05/24HAngers75-72
03/05/24AAix Maurienne96-76
28/04/24HLa Rochelle69-57
19/04/24APau-Orthez71-87
12/04/24HDenain-Voltaire71-75
09/04/24AAntibes80-81
05/04/24HRouen83-70
29/03/24AChalons-Reims79-81
26/03/24HBoulazac68-69
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/24HVichy75-71
19/05/24HVichy72-73
16/05/24AVichy71-85
10/05/24HLa Rochelle65-52
03/05/24APoitiers80-78
28/04/24AASA67-85
19/04/24HFos-sur-Mer87-71
12/04/24ALille79-76
09/04/24HBoulazac84-80
05/04/24AVichy82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Roanne110100%108.071.0+37.0
2 Rouen110100%85.063.0+22.0
3 Boulazac110100%79.062.0+17.0
4 Ada Blois110100%83.070.0+13.0
5 Aix Maurienne110100%87.074.0+13.0
6 Fos-sur-Mer110100%85.075.0+10.0
7 Orleans110100%78.071.0+7.0
8 ASA110100%99.094.0+5.0
9 Caen110100%95.091.0+4.0
10 Pau-Orthez110100%75.071.0+4.0
11 Poitiers1010%91.095.0-4.0
12 Vichy1010%71.075.0-4.0
13 St. Chamond1010%94.099.0-5.0
14 Antibes1010%71.078.0-7.0
15 Evreux1010%75.085.0-10.0
16 Denain-Voltaire1010%70.083.0-13.0
17 Nantes1010%74.087.0-13.0
18 Chalons-Reims1010%62.079.0-17.0
19 Hyeres-Toulon1010%63.085.0-22.0
20 Chartres1010%71.0108.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer811222364
Pau-Orthez2223112278
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