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Fos-sur-Mer vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-70
14-20 20-21 19-8 19-21
Position#16
Record5-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#6
Record11-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.3
FranceLNBRound 20
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez
20 Sep 2024
FSM64
POR78
26 Jan 2024
FSM90
POR97
09 Dec 2022
FSM83
POR75
11 Feb 2022
FSM72
POR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
78avg 75
H04/12
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
73-98
73
98
-25
65avg 75
H10/12
LNB
Cholet
#8
W
83-79
83
79
+4
79avg 75
A18/12
LNB
Limoges
#5
L
67-75
67
75
-8
70avg 75
A23/12
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
56-94
56
94
-38
44avg 75
H26/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
56-63
56
63
-7
52avg 75
H08/01
LNB
Roanne
#13
L
76-101
76
101
-25
67avg 75
A14/01
LNB
Le Mans
#9
L
57-66
57
66
-9
47avg 75
H22/01
LNB
Cholet
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
66avg 75
H28/01
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
L
72-81
72
81
-9
65avg 75
A04/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
14-30
22-20
16-20
22-19
16-22
13-23
22-34
24-21
13-16
21-17
25-25
19-26
12-19
22-13
14-17
17-25
7-24
16-26
16-19
4-15
17-21
14-12
21-15
13-29
18-19
21-29
24-24
19-13
15-13
11-17
12-23
21-21
15-18
13-22
20-20
17-23
17-20
22-17
16-21
150.2Avg total
67.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.178.4148.5-8.326%
Season at home (10)66.276.6142.8-10.430%
Season away (9)74.480.4154.9-6.022%
Last 10 (10)67.682.6150.2-15.010%
Last 5 (5)66.078.4144.4-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.079.8148.8-10.817%
vs Similar (11)76.477.6154.0-1.355%
vs Weaker (6)81.072.8153.8+8.267%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Paris
#15
L
76-89
76
89
-13
76avg 79
A21/11
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
82-55
82
55
+27
92avg 79
H05/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
88-85
88
85
+3
no box
H11/12
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
54-87
54
87
-33
44avg 79
A17/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
91avg 79
A23/12
LNB
Roanne
#13
W
109-105
109
105
+4
118avg 79
H27/12
LNB
Nanterre
#10
L
77-101
77
101
-24
64avg 79
A08/01
LNB
Orleans
#17
W
94-85
94
85
+9
96avg 79
H15/01
LNB
Paris
#15
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
no box
H29/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 79
A05/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
22-24
17-20
16-21
21-17
23-18
15-11
23-9
27-17
19-18
20-21
22-29
16-14
13-18
10-30
15-25
35-18
21-23
20-26
19-23
30-27
28-26
22-23
29-29
20-25
18-25
9-22
30-29
23-26
19-17
21-18
31-24
24-27
26-11
14-23
12-15
15-28
23-11
22-20
23-14
170.2Avg total
84.4Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.683.3166.9+0.261%
Season at home (9)84.979.1164.0+5.867%
Season away (9)82.287.6169.8-5.356%
Last 10 (10)84.485.8170.2-1.460%
Last 5 (5)89.890.4180.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.084.0157.0-11.025%
vs Similar (14)84.683.6168.1+1.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.277.3163.5+8.883%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Fos-sur-MerPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H04/12
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/12
LNB
Cholet
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A18/12
LNB
Limoges
#5
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A23/12
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H26/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H08/01
LNB
Roanne
#13
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A14/01
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H22/01
LNB
Cholet
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/01
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A04/02
LNB
72.7Avg total
31.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.075.3-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.337.973.2-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.240.277.4-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)31.541.272.7-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)31.238.469.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.339.271.5-6.817%-
vs Similar (11)38.039.377.3-1.355%-
vs Weaker (6)40.037.277.2+2.850%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A21/11
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H05/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/12
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A17/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A23/12
LNB
Roanne
#13
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H27/12
LNB
Nanterre
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A08/01
LNB
Orleans
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H15/01
LNB
Paris
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H29/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/02
LNB
85.8Avg total
44.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.779.8+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.681.3+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.538.978.4+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.485.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.689.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (14)41.839.881.6+2.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.738.178.8+2.658%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.4
50.5%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.05.2
27.4%
35.7%15.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.4
73.8%
74.1%12.4
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.914.9
57.5%
53.4%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.9
38.9%
35.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws21.716.9
77.9%
74.1%16.9
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLLLLLLWLL
Pau-Orthez
WLWLWWLWWL
#16
League position
#6
-19.6
Net rating
-1.6
89.8
Offensive rating
111.6
109.5
Defensive rating
113.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
58.0%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
24.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
27.4%
3-point %
38.9%
65.4%
Assist %
70.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 111.6Defence109.5 · 113.3Shooting47.4% · 58.0%3-point %27.4% · 38.9%Ball care24.8% · 20.9%Off. rebounds27.3% · 25.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fos-sur-Mer wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
06/11/21Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/22AChalons-Reims72-81
28/01/22HCholet69-81
22/01/22HLe Mans57-66
14/01/22ARoanne76-101
08/01/22HJL Bourg56-63
26/12/21HMonaco56-94
23/12/21ALimoges67-75
18/12/21ACholet83-79
10/12/21HLevallois73-98
04/12/21HLyon-Villeurbanne67-88
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22AJL Bourg83-73
29/01/22HParis86-88 OT
15/01/22HOrleans94-85
08/01/22ANanterre77-101
27/12/21HRoanne109-105
23/12/21AGravelines-Dunkerque95-90
17/12/21ALevallois54-87
11/12/21HLyon-Villeurbanne88-85
05/12/21HDijon82-55
21/11/21AParis76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%30%22%
Points / game70.166.274.4
Allowed / game78.476.680.4
Point differential-8.3-10.4-6.0
Avg total148.5142.8154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW61%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game83.684.982.2
Allowed / game83.379.187.6
Point differential+0.2+5.8-5.3
Avg total166.9164.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %17%11%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Levallois1815383%88.975.6+13.4
2 Monaco1812667%85.879.6+6.2
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne1812667%84.178.2+5.9
4 Le Mans1811761%83.178.6+4.6
5 Pau-Orthez1811761%83.683.3+0.2
6 Nanterre1710759%82.782.4+0.4
7 Dijon1810856%77.279.6-2.4
8 Strasbourg179853%85.281.1+4.2
9 Limoges189950%78.073.9+4.1
10 Gravelines-Dunkerque189950%81.579.9+1.6
11 JL Bourg1991047%76.473.8+2.6
12 Roanne1991047%87.288.3-1.2
13 Chalons-Reims1971237%83.789.0-5.3
14 Paris1971237%79.384.7-5.5
15 Cholet1971237%79.084.5-5.5
16 Orleans1971237%77.383.7-6.4
17 Le Portel1751229%75.282.2-7.1
18 Fos-sur-Mer1951426%70.178.4-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer1420191972
Pau-Orthez202182170
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