Franca vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 76-87

25-19 15-25 21-24 15-19

Position#9

Record2-2

FormWWWLL

Points / game72.5

Allowed / game69.0

Franca

55%

45%

■ FRAN 55%■ MINA 45%

Pythia win probability

Projected 82-81

Projected total 162.6

Minas 🏆

Position#1

Record4-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game65.8

NBB· Ginasio Pedrocao

Other2026-27

Meetings · Franca v Minas

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Franca will host Minas on 3 November 2026 in the NBB, and the contest is razor-thin, with only a 55% versus 45% split for the home side in the Pythia model. Franca's overall record of 2-2 this season, with 72.5 points scored and 69.0 allowed per game, sits them eighth in the league, while they are undefeated at home, 2-0, averaging 90.0 points and 66.5 allowed. Their last five games show three wins and two losses, and their recent outings include a 90-74 home victory over Mogi, a 62-65 away loss to Paulistano and a 48-78 away defeat to Corinthians Paulista. Minas, meanwhile, are perfect at 4-0 this season, posting 88.0 points scored and 65.8 allowed per game, and they remain unbeaten on the road, 2-0, with 83.0 points scored and 68.5 allowed. Their last five games feature four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 100-61 home win over Brasilia, an 86-65 home win over Pato and an 88-71 away win over Uniao Corinthians. In the last ten meetings Franca has edged Minas 6-4, most recently winning 103-91 on 12 March 2026. The model projects an 82-81 scoreline for the game, with a total of 162.6 points; the home team line is -4.5 with a 40% chance of covering, while the over on 163.0 carries a 48% probability, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime. The final game-day will be decided by the small margins that define both squads.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Franca winLost

54.8%fair 1.82

Best odds1.65

Implied57.7%

Edge-2.9pp

Minas winWon

45.2%fair 2.21

Best odds2.30

Implied42.3%

Edge+2.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Franca

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFranca

Date

Competition

Brasilia

69-71

-2

60avg 82

H26/05

NBB

Brasilia

68-66

64avg 82

H28/05

NBB

Pinheiros

82-73

86avg 82

H31/05

NBB

Pinheiros

78-75

77avg 82

A02/06

NBB

Pinheiros

92-94

-2

92avg 82

A04/06

NBB

Pinheiros

85-76

79avg 82

H07/06

NBB

Sao Jose

#15

90-59

+31

70avg 82

H19/10

NBB

Mogi

90-74

+16

81avg 82

H21/10

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#13

48-78

-30

30avg 82

A26/10

NBB

Paulistano

62-65

-3

47avg 82

A28/10

NBB

10-17

20-15

14-17

25-22

21-15

21-11

16-21

10-19

20-27

23-18

26-11

13-17

24-21

21-7

11-17

22-30

24-19

19-28

32-27

17-20

18-24

32-22

10-8

25-22

17-15

25-17

23-12

25-15

24-18

24-31

19-9

23-16

14-29

9-13

10-19

15-17

14-20

12-16

21-22

15-7

149.5Avg total

76.4Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	72.5	69.0	141.5	+3.5	50%
Season at home (2)	90.0	66.5	156.5	+23.5	100%
Season away (2)	55.0	71.5	126.5	-16.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	73.1	149.5	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	70.4	145.4	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	90.0	74.0	164.0	+16.0	100%
vs Similar (8)	75.2	77.2	152.5	-2.0	50%
vs Weaker (21)	85.2	76.6	161.8	+8.6	81%

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMinas

Date

Competition

Cruzeiro

#14

101-74

101

+27

97avg 85

A26/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

103-93

103

+10

102avg 85

H29/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

90-100

100

-10

81avg 85

H04/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

97-91

100avg 85

A07/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

97-103

103

-6

95avg 85

A09/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

81-92

-11

76avg 85

H12/05

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#17

78-66

+12

69avg 85

A20/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

88-71

+17

88avg 85

A22/10

NBB

Pato

#16

86-65

+21

85avg 85

H27/10

NBB

Brasilia

100-61

100

+39

100avg 85

H29/10

NBB

25-9

27-28

29-16

20-21

24-16

19-27

27-15

33-35

23-27

29-26

15-25

23-22

28-19

14-23

32-22

23-27

31-31

20-21

27-27

19-24

22-20

22-25

12-24

25-23

25-20

18-13

18-10

17-23

15-15

20-21

36-13

17-22

24-14

24-18

23-16

15-17

26-12

17-21

24-19

33-9

173.7Avg total

92.1Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	88.0	65.8	153.8	+22.2	100%
Season at home (2)	93.0	63.0	156.0	+30.0	100%
Season away (2)	83.0	68.5	151.5	+14.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.1	81.6	173.7	+10.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	71.0	157.6	+15.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	93.2	100.5	193.8	-7.2	25%
vs Similar (8)	89.8	94.8	184.5	-5.0	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	91.9	79.3	171.2	+12.7	83%

This opponent (Franca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 158Actual: Over 158

Over 158

60.3%

@ 1.96+12.7pp

Under 158

39.7%

@ 1.80-12.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.96

Marathon Be

1.93

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.78

Under

Bet365

1.80

Pinnacle

1.78

Marathon Be

1.73

1xBet

1.72

Over/Under 163 · main linePush

Over 163

48.0%

@ 2.50-2.0pp

Under 163

52.0%

@ 1.87+2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

1.87

Under

Pinnacle

1.87

Bet365

1.50

Over/Under 168Actual: Under 168

Over 168

36.0%

Under 168

64.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Franca total 75.5Actual: Franca over 75.5

Over 75.5

73.3%

@ 1.41+7.9pp

Under 75.5

26.7%

@ 2.70-7.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.41

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.38

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.37

Franca total 79.5 · main lineActual: Franca under 79.5

Over 79.5

59.2%

@ 1.83+8.7pp

Under 79.5

40.8%

@ 1.91-8.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.83

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.73

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.87

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.71

Franca total 83.5Actual: Franca under 83.5

Over 83.5

43.8%

@ 2.47+6.5pp

Under 83.5

56.2%

@ 1.52-6.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.40

Bet365

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.38

Minas total 73.5Actual: Minas over 73.5

Over 73.5

75.1%

@ 1.50+12.6pp

Under 73.5

24.9%

@ 2.67-12.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.67

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.33

Minas total 77.5 · main lineActual: Minas over 77.5

Over 77.5

61.4%

@ 1.85+11.4pp

Under 77.5

38.6%

@ 1.91-11.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.75

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.88

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.79

1xBet

1.69

Minas total 81.5Actual: Minas over 81.5

Over 81.5

46.1%

@ 2.72+10.1pp

Under 81.5

53.9%

@ 1.47-10.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.43

Under

Betano

1.47

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Franca -5Actual: Minas +5

FRAN -5

38.1%

@ 2.25-3.0pp

MINA +5

61.9%

@ 1.64+3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

FRAN

Pinnacle

2.25

Bet365

2.17

MINA

Bet365

1.64

Marathon Be

1.58

Pinnacle

1.57

Spread Franca -2 · main lineActual: Minas +2

FRAN -2

49.7%

@ 1.84-1.1pp

MINA +2

50.3%

@ 1.95+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

FRAN

Pinnacle

1.84

SBO

1.81

Bet365

1.76

Marathon Be

1.76

MINA

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.90

SBO

1.87

Spread Franca +1Actual: Minas -1

FRAN +1

56.4%

@ 1.64-0.1pp

MINA -1

43.6%

@ 2.30+0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

FRAN

Pinnacle

1.64

Marathon Be

1.55

Bet365

1.55

MINA

Bet365

2.30

Pinnacle

2.13

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FrancaMinas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.0	44.1	+0.1	47%	70%
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	21.2	44.5	+2.0	54%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	21.3	22.6	43.9	-1.3	41%	71%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	24.0	18.0	42.0	+6.0	100%	100%
vs Similar (8)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.0	38%	88%
vs Weaker (21)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.7	48%	62%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.5	44.8	+1.9	50%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.6	64%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	23.9	23.6	47.5	+0.4	38%	88%
Last 10 (10)	24.3	18.3	42.6	+6.0	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.2	38.6	+6.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.5	25%	75%
vs Similar (8)	24.6	24.9	49.5	-0.2	38%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.3	19.6	42.9	+3.8	61%	61%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.8	39.0	+3.3	70%	50%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.3	77%	38%
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.3	65%	59%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	24.0	31.0	55.0	-7.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (8)	17.9	17.8	35.6	+0.1	38%	38%
vs Weaker (21)	22.2	17.2	39.5	+5.0	86%	52%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	23.5	22.7	46.1	+0.8	43%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	23.0	46.9	+0.9	50%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	22.4	45.4	+0.7	38%	75%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.2	29.0	52.2	-5.8	0%	100%
vs Similar (8)	22.1	24.6	46.8	-2.5	25%	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.1	20.4	44.5	+3.7	61%	72%

FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

30-32

-2

H26/05

NBB

Brasilia

42-26

+16

H28/05

NBB

Pinheiros

43-45

-2

H31/05

NBB

Pinheiros

45-28

+17

A02/06

NBB

Pinheiros

43-47

-4

A04/06

NBB

Pinheiros

50-46

H07/06

NBB

Sao Jose

#15

42-32

+10

H19/10

NBB

Mogi

48-49

-1

H21/10

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#13

23-42

-19

A26/10

NBB

Paulistano

26-36

-10

A28/10

NBB

77.5Avg total

39.2Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	43.3	39.8	83.1	+3.4	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (13)	44.4	39.1	83.5	+5.3	62%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	42.4	40.4	82.8	+2.0	47%	65%
Last 10 (10)	39.2	38.3	77.5	+0.9	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	37.8	41.0	78.8	-3.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	48.0	49.0	97.0	-1.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (8)	39.2	41.1	80.4	-1.9	38%	62%
vs Weaker (21)	44.6	38.9	83.5	+5.7	62%	62%

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cruzeiro

#14

52-37

+15

A26/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

43-43

H29/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

52-53

-1

H04/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

42-42

A07/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

51-52

-1

A09/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

44-45

-1

H12/05

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#17

43-33

+10

A20/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

35-36

-1

A22/10

NBB

Pato

#16

48-32

+16

H27/10

NBB

Brasilia

43-33

+10

H29/10

NBB

85.9Avg total

45.3Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	46.8	44.1	90.9	+2.7	47%	80%
Last 30 at home (14)	46.6	42.1	88.6	+4.5	57%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	47.0	45.9	92.9	+1.1	38%	88%
Last 10 (10)	45.3	40.6	85.9	+4.7	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	42.6	35.8	78.4	+6.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.0	52.2	96.2	-8.2	0%	100%
vs Similar (8)	46.8	49.5	96.2	-2.8	12%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	47.4	39.9	87.4	+7.5	72%	67%

This opponent (Franca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Minas win

FRAN win

no forecast

@ 1.74

MINA win

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Spread Franca -1 · main lineActual: Minas +1

FRAN -1

no forecast

@ 1.90

MINA +1

no forecast

@ 1.84

1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Over 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.10

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Franca 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Franca under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Minas 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Minas over 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half: FRAN + total 80.5

FRAN & over

no forecast

@ 3.25

FRAN & under

no forecast

@ 3.20

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: MINA + total 80.5

MINA & over

no forecast

@ 4.50

MINA & under

no forecast

@ 4.25

1st half Over/Under 79.25Actual: Over 79.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Over/Under 82Actual: Over 82

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half Spread Franca -2Actual: Minas +2

FRAN -2

no forecast

@ 2.07

MINA +2

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Franca 0Actual: Minas 0

FRAN 0

no forecast

@ 1.70

MINA 0

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Over/Under 78Actual: Over 78

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.55

Under

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Franca -3Actual: Minas +3

FRAN -3

no forecast

@ 2.00

MINA +3

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Minas (regulation)

FRAN

no forecast

@ 1.78

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

MINA

no forecast

@ 2.15

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	17.2	36.8	+2.5	46%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	47%	59%
Last 10 (10)	18.2	16.3	34.5	+1.9	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	14.0	30.6	+2.6	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	19.0	9.0	28.0	+10.0	100%	0%
vs Similar (8)	17.9	18.0	35.9	-0.1	38%	38%
vs Weaker (21)	20.3	19.0	39.2	+1.3	48%	52%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.6	57%	80%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.6	64%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	23.9	21.3	45.2	+2.6	50%	75%
Last 10 (10)	24.3	18.7	43.0	+5.6	70%	80%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.4	39.0	+6.2	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	23.5	47.2	+0.2	50%	100%
vs Similar (8)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	38%	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.7	18.7	42.4	+5.1	67%	78%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.3	37.7	+1.2	47%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	54%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.7	41%	47%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	0%
vs Similar (8)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.0	38%	25%
vs Weaker (21)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	48%	48%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.1	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	57%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	44%	62%
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.3	44.8	+0.2	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.5	24.8	50.2	+0.8	75%	75%
vs Similar (8)	21.6	22.2	43.9	-0.6	50%	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.1	44%	44%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	39.1	36.6	75.7	+2.4	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	36.2	75.4	+3.1	54%	38%
Last 30 away (17)	38.9	37.0	75.9	+1.9	65%	47%
Last 10 (10)	37.2	34.8	72.0	+2.4	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	37.2	29.4	66.6	+7.8	80%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	42.0	25.0	67.0	+17.0	100%	0%
vs Similar (8)	36.0	36.1	72.1	-0.1	62%	25%
vs Weaker (21)	40.1	37.4	77.5	+2.7	57%	52%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	44.3	41.8	86.1	+2.5	57%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	43.7	40.8	84.5	+2.9	57%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	42.6	87.4	+2.2	56%	75%
Last 10 (10)	46.8	41.0	87.8	+5.8	70%	80%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	35.2	79.2	+8.8	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	49.2	48.2	97.5	+1.0	50%	100%
vs Similar (8)	43.0	45.2	88.2	-2.2	25%	88%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	43.8	38.8	82.6	+5.0	72%	67%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

FRAN win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

MINA win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: FRAN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MINA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (FRAN:MINA): FRAN wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 153	71.6%	1.57	Pinnacle 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.56	Bet365 1.54	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
Over 153.5	70.1%	1.59	Pinnacle 1.65	Marathon Bet 1.60	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.55	-	+13.7pp	Won
Over 152.5	72.2%	1.52	Pinnacle 1.58	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
Over 148.5	79.8%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
Minas over 71.5	80.9%	1.36	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
Minas over 73.5	75.1%	1.43	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+12.6pp	Won
Minas over 72.5	78.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Over 149.5	78.0%	1.39	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Minas over 74.5	71.9%	1.49	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.47	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Minas over 69.5	85.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Minas +12.5	83.4%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Over 151	75.7%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Minas over 70.5	83.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Over 150	77.6%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Over 152	73.7%	1.48	Bet365 1.48	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Minas over 67.5	89.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Over 151.5	74.2%	1.44	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Over 150.5	76.2%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Franca over 74.5	76.4%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Minas over 68.5	87.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Minas +12	83.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Franca over 76.5	70.0%	1.48	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.45	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Lost
Minas +11.5	81.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Minas +13.5	85.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Over 147.5	81.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Minas over 66.5	91.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Minas over 65.5	92.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Franca over 73.5	79.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Over 142.5	88.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Minas over 63.5	95.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Franca over 75.5	73.3%	1.40	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Minas +18.5	92.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Minas over 64.5	94.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Minas +23.5	96.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Minas +11	80.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Franca over 69.5	88.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Franca over 70.5	86.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Minas +9	75.3%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Minas +10	78.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Franca over 71.5	84.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Minas +10.5	78.7%	1.28	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Franca over 67.5	92.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Over 137.5	93.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Minas +8	72.3%	1.41	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Over 132.5	96.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Minas +9.5	76.0%	1.31	Bet365 1.35	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Minas +8.5	73.2%	1.36	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Franca over 66.5	93.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Franca over 68.5	90.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Franca +21.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Minas +7.5	70.1%	1.39	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Franca +16.5	93.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	-
Franca under 87.5	70.6%	1.36	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Franca under 95.5	90.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Franca +11.5	86.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Franca +5.5	71.7%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Lost
Franca under 93.5	86.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Franca +6.5	74.8%	1.23	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Lost
Franca under 91.5	82.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Franca +5	70.8%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Lost
Franca under 90.5	79.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Under 182.5	88.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Minas under 92.5	87.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Franca under 89.5	76.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Minas under 91.5	85.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Minas under 90.5	83.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Won
Minas under 88.5	77.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won
Under 177.5	81.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-4.9pp	Won
Minas under 89.5	80.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-5.6pp	Won
Minas under 87.5	74.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-5.6pp	Won
Under 172.5	73.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.4pp	Won
Minas under 86.5	71.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-7.1pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 73.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.5	18.2	56.0%	49.9%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.5	30.4%	31.7%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	19.3	15.0	77.7%	71.2%	15.0

They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	20.9	59.2%	49.9%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	10.1	34.6%	31.7%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.4	74.7%	71.2%	17.4

They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	15.1	44.8%	49.9%	30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	10.3	35.8%	31.7%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	15.4	11.0	71.4%	71.2%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.3	48.4%	49.9%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	9.5	30.7%	31.7%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.7	71.8%	71.2%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.4	17.4	53.8%	49.9%	34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	10.5	33.9%	31.7%	31.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	15.2	81.6%	71.2%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	21.3	57.3%	49.9%	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.2	35.2%	31.7%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	24.0	17.3	72.1%	71.2%	17.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	17.3	48.6%	49.9%	34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	10.2	34.8%	31.7%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	15.4	11.2	72.7%	71.2%	11.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	19.7	54.0%	49.9%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	10.2	33.2%	31.7%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.2	72.8%	71.2%	14.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Franca

LLWWWLWWWL

Minas

WWWWLLWLWW

League position

+2.2

Net rating

+13.2

92.3

Offensive rating

100.9

90.1

Defensive rating

87.7

51.5%

Effective FG%

55.9%

48.9%

Opp. effective FG%

47.4%

15.1%

Turnover %

16.7%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.36

30.4%

3-point %

34.6%

58.0%

Assist %

71.6%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Franca ■ Minas

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Franca wins

Minas wins

Date	Game	Score
12/03/26	Franca v Minas	103-91
11/03/26	Franca v Minas	101-110
08/03/26	Minas v Franca	90-98
12/02/26	Franca v Minas	100-82
04/11/25	Minas v Franca	86-70
18/06/25	Franca v Minas	86-73
14/06/25	Minas v Franca	73-83
12/06/25	Minas v Franca	78-94
07/06/25	Franca v Minas	65-69
29/12/24	Minas v Franca	92-73

Francalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/26	A	Paulistano	62-65
26/10/26	A	Corinthians Paulista	48-78
21/10/26	H	Mogi	90-74
19/10/26	H	Sao Jose	90-59
07/06/26	H	Pinheiros	85-76
04/06/26	A	Pinheiros	92-94
02/06/26	A	Pinheiros	78-75
31/05/26	H	Pinheiros	82-73
28/05/26	H	Brasilia	68-66
26/05/26	H	Brasilia	69-71

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/26	H	Brasilia	100-61
27/10/26	H	Pato	86-65
22/10/26	A	Uniao Corinthians	88-71
20/10/26	A	Caxias do Sul	78-66
12/05/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	81-92
09/05/26	A	Corinthians Paulista	97-103
07/05/26	A	Corinthians Paulista	97-91
04/05/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	90-100
29/04/26	H	Cruzeiro	103-93
26/04/26	A	Cruzeiro	101-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Franca

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLL	50%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	72.5	90.0	55.0
Allowed / game	69.0	66.5	71.5
Point differential	+3.5	+23.5	-16.5
Avg total	141.5	156.5	126.5
Over 163	25%	50%	0%
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Minas

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	88.0	93.0	83.0
Allowed / game	65.8	63.0	68.5
Point differential	+22.2	+30.0	+14.5
Avg total	153.8	156.0	151.5
Over 163	0%	0%	0%
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	4	4	0	100%	88.0	65.8	+22.2
2	Pinheiros	5	4	1	80%	83.6	66.8	+16.8
3	Unifacisa	4	3	1	75%	86.0	74.0	+12.0
4	Flamengo	4	3	1	75%	80.5	69.2	+11.2
5	Mogi	4	3	1	75%	78.8	73.5	+5.2
6	Paulistano	4	3	1	75%	75.2	75.5	-0.2
7	Brasilia	5	3	2	60%	84.2	84.4	-0.2
8	Franca	4	2	2	50%	72.5	69.0	+3.5
9	Cruzeiro	4	2	2	50%	75.5	75.2	+0.2
10	Bauru	4	2	2	50%	75.2	77.8	-2.5
11	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
12	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
13	Corinthians Paulista	3	1	2	33%	81.0	78.7	+2.3
14	Osasco	3	1	2	33%	79.0	84.7	-5.7
15	Sao Jose	4	1	3	25%	76.5	80.8	-4.2
16	Pato	4	1	3	25%	74.0	82.5	-8.5
17	Caxias do Sul	5	0	5	0%	64.2	80.4	-16.2
18	Cearense	3	0	3	0%	61.7	95.7	-34.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Franca	25	15	21	15	76
Minas	19	25	24	19	87

← all games of the day

Franca vs Minas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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