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Minas vs Franca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-73
23-16 28-16 22-15 19-26
Position#1
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game69.8
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#2
Record11-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.5
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Franca
08 Mar 2026
MINA90
FRAN98
04 Nov 2025
MINA86
FRAN70
14 Jun 2025
MINA73
FRAN83
12 Jun 2025
MINA78
FRAN94
29 Dec 2024
MINA92
FRAN73
22 May 2024
MINA72
FRAN82
20 May 2024
MINA80
FRAN67
18 Nov 2023
MINA71
FRAN81
18 May 2023
MINA91
FRAN95
16 May 2023
MINA103
FRAN89
24 Oct 2022
MINA92
FRAN94
02 Dec 2021
MINA75
FRAN96
03 May 2021
MINA93
FRAN68
01 May 2021
MINA72
FRAN82
23 Dec 2020
MINA89
FRAN82
23 Nov 2019
MINA89
FRAN97
16 Feb 2019
MINA86
FRAN103
18 Feb 2018
MINA65
FRAN84
25 Mar 2017
MINA80
FRAN84
10 Nov 2015
MINA75
FRAN85
11 Dec 2014
MINA83
FRAN69
19 Dec 2013
MINA59
FRAN65
23 Mar 2013
MINA58
FRAN60
09 Feb 2012
MINA73
FRAN78
07 Feb 2011
MINA89
FRAN85
18 Mar 2009
MINA95
FRAN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Franca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-58
78
58
+20
75avg 81
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
74avg 81
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
95-68
95
68
+27
103avg 81
A02/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-70
97
70
+27
95avg 81
H05/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
64-81
64
81
-17
60avg 81
A09/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
73-60
73
60
+13
65avg 81
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 81
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
82avg 81
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
60avg 81
H23/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 81
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
22-10
21-19
18-13
19-21
17-14
21-23
24-12
25-13
21-19
20-20
29-16
30-19
22-19
23-14
22-18
14-23
9-13
21-21
20-24
17-18
20-9
22-16
14-17
21-31
18-14
20-17
25-11
24-27
18-20
21-20
23-15
14-21
13-19
24-13
26-10
28-27
22-16
18-10
15-20
151.6Avg total
81.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.869.8152.7+13.089%
Season at home (9)84.868.8153.6+16.0100%
Season away (9)80.970.9151.8+10.078%
Last 10 (10)81.869.8151.6+12.090%
Last 5 (5)80.670.2150.8+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.380.1157.4-2.943%
vs Weaker (23)84.171.0155.2+13.187%
This opponent (Franca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
65-88
65
88
-23
57avg 81
A16/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 81
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
68-71
68
71
-3
39avg 81
H02/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 81
A05/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
92-72
92
72
+20
93avg 81
A07/12
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 81
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Leones Quilpue
#11
W
88-64
88
64
+24
90avg 81
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Vasco
#7
W
88-69
88
69
+19
84avg 81
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 81
A23/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 81
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
22-24
12-25
9-17
25-15
24-13
21-18
27-25
18-16
9-14
17-26
24-15
21-18
19-21
17-24
25-13
22-21
20-13
19-20
31-18
18-21
17-20
29-15
17-20
23-18
16-13
26-18
23-15
23-13
29-16
17-15
19-25
16-18
21-17
25-20
24-18
20-20
21-26
26-17
19-28
158.4Avg total
83.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.577.5159.0+4.061%
Season at home (7)81.973.7155.6+8.171%
Season away (11)81.379.9161.2+1.455%
Last 10 (10)83.375.1158.4+8.270%
Last 5 (5)85.874.6160.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.673.8150.5+2.864%
vs Weaker (19)82.676.0158.6+6.668%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
MinasFranca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H05/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A09/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H23/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H27/12
NBB
76.0Avg total
39.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.875.5+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.136.178.2+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.635.573.1+2.169%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.976.0+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.479.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.937.973.7-2.057%-
vs Weaker (23)40.935.176.0+5.874%-
This opponent (Franca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H02/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/12
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Leones Quilpue
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Vasco
#7
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A23/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/12
NBB
76.5Avg total
40.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.535.674.1+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.834.473.2+4.554%-
Last 30 away (17)38.236.674.8+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.635.976.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.477.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.135.572.6+1.545%-
vs Weaker (19)39.335.774.9+3.658%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.2
52.6%
50.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.7
31.2%
33.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.1
69.3%
72.7%13.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.5
58.4%
50.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.0
33.8%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.113.9
76.8%
72.7%13.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWLWWWW
Franca
LWWWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#2
+15.5
Net rating
+9.7
107.4
Offensive rating
110.8
92.0
Defensive rating
101.1
50.4%
Effective FG%
55.1%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.2%
3-point %
33.8%
62.2%
Assist %
58.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 110.8Defence92.0 · 101.1Shooting50.4% · 55.1%3-point %31.2% · 33.8%Ball care18.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds37.7% · 24.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Minas   ■ Franca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Minas wins
7
Franca wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Franca v Minas82-76
27/05/24Franca v Minas82-76
25/05/24Franca v Minas91-93 OT
22/05/24Minas v Franca72-82
20/05/24Minas v Franca80-67
17/05/24Franca v Minas87-63
29/02/24Franca v Minas95-94
18/11/23Minas v Franca71-81
23/05/23Franca v Minas93-79
21/05/23Franca v Minas90-93
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24HBauru83-73
23/12/24HSao Paulo77-63
20/12/24HPaulistano86-82
15/12/24AQuimsa84-73
14/12/24ABigua73-60
09/12/24AVasco64-81
05/12/24HPato97-70
02/12/24ABotafogo95-68
30/11/24AFlamengo81-70
16/11/24ACaxias do Sul78-58
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24ABrasilia86-91
23/12/24ABotafogo86-73
21/12/24AVasco88-69
16/12/24HLeones Quilpue88-64
14/12/24AInstituto de Cordoba81-76
07/12/24AUniao Corinthians92-72
05/12/24ACaxias do Sul82-76
02/12/24HUnifacisa68-71
29/11/24HCearense97-71
16/11/24AFlamengo65-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %89%100%78%
Points / game82.884.880.9
Allowed / game69.868.870.9
Point differential+13.0+16.0+10.0
Avg total152.7153.6151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Franca
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayWWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %61%71%55%
Points / game81.581.981.3
Allowed / game77.573.779.9
Point differential+4.0+8.1+1.4
Avg total159.0155.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1816289%82.869.8+13.0
2 Flamengo1814478%84.172.7+11.4
3 Brasilia1812667%84.281.7+2.6
4 Franca1811761%81.577.5+4.0
5 Vasco1710759%74.672.1+2.5
6 Pinheiros1810856%76.375.3+1.0
7 Sao Paulo1810856%78.778.4+0.3
8 Uniao Corinthians1810856%78.179.0-0.9
9 Bauru1810856%78.879.9-1.2
10 Paulistano1881044%77.875.7+2.2
11 Sao Jose1881044%75.775.5+0.2
12 Unifacisa1881044%75.076.7-1.7
13 Pato1871139%83.085.3-2.3
14 Corinthians Paulista1761135%79.481.4-2.0
15 Mogi1861233%73.179.6-6.6
16 Botafogo1861233%73.180.9-7.8
17 Caxias do Sul1851328%72.679.2-6.6
18 Cearense1841422%69.177.1-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2328221992
Franca1616152673
← all games of the day
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