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Franca vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-65
16-13 20-15 19-20 20-17
Position#2
Record11-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game78.7
Franca 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#13
Record10-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game78.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Pedrocao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Franca v Sao Paulo
21 Jan 2025
FRAN75
SAO 65
21 Oct 2023
FRAN100
SAO 92
10 Jun 2023
FRAN92
SAO 68
08 Jun 2023
FRAN81
SAO 86
27 May 2023
FRAN88
SAO 98
29 Oct 2022
FRAN82
SAO 69
21 May 2022
FRAN81
SAO 78
11 May 2022
FRAN80
SAO 78
08 Jan 2022
FRAN92
SAO 87
06 Feb 2021
FRAN76
SAO 97
10 Dec 2019
FRAN87
SAO 88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Franca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
92-72
92
72
+20
93avg 79
A07/12
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 79
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Leones Quilpue
#11
W
88-64
88
64
+24
90avg 79
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Vasco
#7
W
88-69
88
69
+19
84avg 79
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 79
A23/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 79
A27/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
59avg 79
A29/12
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
90avg 79
A10/01
Champions League Americas
Leones Quilpue
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
A11/01
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
75avg 79
H18/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
20-13
19-20
31-18
18-21
17-20
29-15
17-20
23-18
16-13
26-18
23-15
23-13
29-16
17-15
19-25
16-18
21-17
25-20
24-18
20-20
21-26
26-17
19-28
16-23
16-28
15-22
26-19
24-22
21-20
22-21
24-20
22-13
20-17
20-22
21-19
22-20
21-18
20-22
14-17
162.9Avg total
85.2Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.278.7159.9+2.555%
Season at home (8)82.175.2157.4+6.962%
Season away (12)80.680.9161.5-0.350%
Last 10 (10)85.277.7162.9+7.570%
Last 5 (5)83.484.6168.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)75.676.6152.1-1.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.276.7159.9+6.567%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 76
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
83avg 76
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 76
H10/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-80
70
80
-10
55avg 76
H12/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 76
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 76
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
58avg 76
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
77avg 76
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
70avg 76
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
69-80
69
80
-11
66avg 76
H17/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-23
26-20
22-23
23-21
17-12
21-22
23-32
15-21
17-18
28-19
29-21
12-25
20-20
21-19
17-16
27-19
18-14
20-25
17-13
30-23
27-25
13-21
15-14
21-14
19-13
13-24
10-26
15-24
29-19
18-21
14-16
21-18
12-23
20-18
20-16
14-26
20-19
15-24
20-11
157.5Avg total
77.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.078.3156.2-0.350%
Season at home (10)78.676.6155.2+2.060%
Season away (10)77.380.0157.3-2.740%
Last 10 (10)77.580.0157.5-2.530%
Last 5 (5)73.279.0152.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.782.9163.6-2.153%
vs Similar (10)78.481.3159.7-2.940%
vs Weaker (5)78.677.8156.4+0.840%
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
FrancaSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/12
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Leones Quilpue
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Vasco
#7
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A23/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A29/12
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/01
Champions League Americas
Leones Quilpue
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A11/01
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/01
NBB
78.5Avg total
40.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.875.5+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.235.274.4+3.954%-
Last 30 away (17)38.438.076.4+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.778.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.482.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)36.038.074.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.936.376.1+3.662%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H12/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H17/01
NBB
79.2Avg total
39.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.279.1-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.239.278.5+0.046%-
Last 30 away (17)38.840.979.6-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.979.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.140.379.4-1.340%-
vs Similar (10)39.241.780.9-2.540%-
vs Weaker (5)38.236.674.8+1.660%-
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.018.9
59.1%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.5
35.6%
33.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
72.7%13.5
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.119.3
58.3%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.4
30.6%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.015.7
71.4%
72.7%15.7
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Franca
LWWLLWWWWW
Sao Paulo
LLLLWWLWLL
#2
League position
#13
+8.9
Net rating
-3.7
112.6
Offensive rating
103.5
103.7
Defensive rating
107.2
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.8%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.6%
3-point %
30.6%
55.1%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 103.5Defence103.7 · 107.2Shooting56.6% · 53.1%3-point %35.6% · 30.6%Ball care17.6% · 20.8%Off. rebounds24.5% · 25.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Franca   ■ Sao Paulo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Franca wins
3
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
22/10/24Sao Paulo v Franca82-66
08/01/24Sao Paulo v Franca84-98
21/10/23Franca v Sao Paulo100-92
10/06/23Franca v Sao Paulo92-68
08/06/23Franca v Sao Paulo81-86
03/06/23Sao Paulo v Franca92-94
31/05/23Sao Paulo v Franca80-88
27/05/23Franca v Sao Paulo88-98
07/01/23Sao Paulo v Franca102-105 OT
29/10/22Franca v Sao Paulo82-69
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HPaulistano84-86 OT
11/01/25ALeones Quilpue83-71
10/01/25AInstituto de Cordoba91-83
29/12/24AMinas73-92
27/12/24ABrasilia86-91
23/12/24ABotafogo86-73
21/12/24AVasco88-69
16/12/24HLeones Quilpue88-64
14/12/24AInstituto de Cordoba81-76
07/12/24AUniao Corinthians92-72
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HMogi69-80
11/01/25ABauru73-75
28/12/24APaulistano76-80
23/12/24AMinas63-77
21/12/24ABrasilia85-83
15/12/24HBotafogo82-71
12/12/24HUniao Corinthians70-80
10/12/24HCaxias do Sul89-79
06/12/24HVasco84-87
17/11/24AUnifacisa84-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Franca
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %55%62%50%
Points / game81.282.180.6
Allowed / game78.775.280.9
Point differential+2.5+6.9-0.3
Avg total159.8157.4161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game78.078.677.3
Allowed / game78.376.680.0
Point differential-0.3+2.0-2.7
Avg total156.2155.2157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2017385%83.571.4+12.2
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2113862%83.081.9+1.1
4 Uniao Corinthians2012860%78.378.5-0.2
5 Pinheiros2112957%76.275.0+1.2
6 Franca2011955%81.278.7+2.5
7 Vasco22121055%74.474.3+0.1
8 Paulistano21111052%78.575.3+3.1
9 Sao Jose21111052%77.676.0+1.7
10 Bauru21111052%77.879.7-2.0
11 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
12 Sao Paulo20101050%78.078.3-0.3
13 Corinthians Paulista21101148%81.581.1+0.4
14 Pato2281436%81.483.9-2.5
15 Mogi2281436%73.078.6-5.6
16 Cearense2261627%70.577.0-6.5
17 Botafogo2261627%72.881.0-8.1
18 Caxias do Sul2151624%72.079.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Franca1620192075
Sao Paulo1315201765
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