PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sao Paulo vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-80
14-26 20-19 15-24 20-11
Position#13
Record10-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
Position#16
Record7-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game79.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Mogi
17 Jan 2025
SAO 69
MOGI80
29 Dec 2023
SAO 61
MOGI63
16 Dec 2021
SAO 89
MOGI72
27 Jan 2021
SAO 96
MOGI72
22 Oct 2019
SAO 80
MOGI83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
72avg 76
A14/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 76
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
83avg 76
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 76
H10/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-80
70
80
-10
55avg 76
H12/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 76
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 76
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
58avg 76
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
77avg 76
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
70avg 76
A11/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
20-16
15-24
21-20
15-22
21-23
26-20
22-23
23-21
17-12
21-22
23-32
15-21
17-18
28-19
29-21
12-25
20-20
21-19
17-16
27-19
18-14
20-25
17-13
30-23
27-25
13-21
15-14
21-14
19-13
13-24
10-26
15-24
29-19
18-21
14-16
21-18
12-23
20-18
20-16
158.5Avg total
78.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.478.2156.6+0.253%
Season at home (9)79.776.2155.9+3.467%
Season away (10)77.380.0157.3-2.740%
Last 10 (10)78.679.9158.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)75.877.2153.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.782.9163.6-2.153%
vs Similar (11)78.580.3158.7-1.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.077.2158.2+3.850%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 63
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
53-73
53
73
-20
30avg 63
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 63
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-66
70
66
+4
60avg 63
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 63
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 63
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
85-97
85
97
-12
81avg 63
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
60-81
60
81
-21
50avg 63
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 63
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
89-71
89
71
+18
90avg 63
H13/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
16-18
18-23
16-12
16-20
11-14
9-19
17-20
14-18
19-22
19-18
17-18
17-20
7-17
22-10
24-19
21-14
16-11
15-18
18-29
30-28
26-20
21-20
29-22
16-25
15-22
25-22
29-28
11-19
17-21
17-23
15-18
9-25
17-14
17-19
20-18
28-17
17-25
27-14
17-15
151.2Avg total
73.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.779.1151.8-6.433%
Season at home (10)72.076.4148.4-4.450%
Season away (11)73.481.5154.9-8.218%
Last 10 (10)73.977.3151.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)80.683.0163.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)71.179.7150.8-8.633%
vs Similar (5)73.676.2149.8-2.640%
vs Weaker (1)104.061.0165.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
Sao PauloMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A14/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H12/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/01
NBB
77.9Avg total
39.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.979.2-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.038.578.5+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)38.840.979.6-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.377.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.482.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.140.379.4-1.340%-
vs Similar (11)39.641.280.8-1.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.234.573.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
NBB
73.5Avg total
34.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.339.073.4-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.936.071.9-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)32.742.174.8-9.313%-
Last 10 (10)34.738.873.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.280.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)33.839.973.6-6.125%-
vs Similar (5)33.837.471.2-3.640%-
vs Weaker (1)51.027.078.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.5
58.2%
50.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.8
31.2%
33.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.515.0
69.8%
72.7%15.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.2
47.8%
50.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.3
33.3%
33.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
72.7%13.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
LLLWWLWLLW
Mogi
WLLLWLWLLW
#13
League position
#16
-2.3
Net rating
-5.0
103.0
Offensive rating
98.7
105.3
Defensive rating
103.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.2%
3-point %
33.3%
63.7%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 98.7Defence105.3 · 103.7Shooting53.3% · 48.7%3-point %31.2% · 33.3%Ball care20.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds24.2% · 27.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sao Paulo wins
4
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
01/11/24Mogi v Sao Paulo78-74
07/04/24Mogi v Sao Paulo81-79
29/12/23Sao Paulo v Mogi61-63
16/03/22Mogi v Sao Paulo73-90
16/12/21Sao Paulo v Mogi89-72
28/01/21Sao Paulo v Mogi96-72
17/11/20Mogi v Sao Paulo75-112
22/10/19Sao Paulo v Mogi80-83
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ABauru73-75
28/12/24APaulistano76-80
23/12/24AMinas63-77
21/12/24ABrasilia85-83
15/12/24HBotafogo82-71
12/12/24HUniao Corinthians70-80
10/12/24HCaxias do Sul89-79
06/12/24HVasco84-87
17/11/24AUnifacisa84-88
14/11/24ACearense80-79 OT
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25HBrasilia89-71
10/01/25APaulistano63-76
29/12/24AFlamengo60-81
27/12/24ABotafogo85-97
21/12/24APato106-90
17/12/24HCorinthians Paulista70-72
09/12/24AUnifacisa70-66
06/12/24ACearense69-76
02/12/24HPinheiros53-73
29/11/24HCaxias do Sul74-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL53%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game78.479.777.3
Allowed / game78.276.280.0
Point differential+0.2+3.4-2.7
Avg total156.6155.9157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game72.772.073.4
Allowed / game79.176.481.5
Point differential-6.4-4.4-8.2
Avg total151.8148.4154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1917289%83.370.0+13.3
2 Flamengo2015575%84.073.2+10.9
3 Brasilia2113862%83.081.9+1.1
4 Pinheiros2012860%76.874.5+2.4
5 Uniao Corinthians2012860%78.378.5-0.2
6 Franca1911858%81.178.3+2.8
7 Bauru2011955%78.079.5-1.4
8 Sao Paulo1910953%78.478.2+0.2
9 Vasco21111052%74.474.3+0.0
10 Sao Jose20101050%76.675.3+1.2
11 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
12 Corinthians Paulista21101148%81.581.1+0.4
13 Paulistano1991047%77.775.0+2.7
14 Pato2171433%81.684.8-3.2
15 Mogi2171433%72.779.1-6.4
16 Botafogo2161529%72.880.9-8.1
17 Caxias do Sul2051525%72.479.0-6.7
18 Cearense2051525%69.877.3-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo1420152069
Mogi2619241180
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.