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Sao Paulo vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-87
23-21 17-12 21-22 23-32
Position#13
Record7-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#7
Record7-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game69.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Vasco
06 Dec 2024
SAO 84
VASC87
09 Dec 2023
SAO 70
VASC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 75
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
75avg 75
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
70avg 75
H26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
86-84
86
84
+2
86avg 75
H30/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
69avg 75
A01/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
69-76
69
76
-7
70avg 75
H05/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
68avg 75
H07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
52avg 75
A11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
72avg 75
A14/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 75
A17/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-26
19-20
23-19
21-14
16-22
22-18
23-12
19-22
17-21
23-16
19-9
24-27
22-19
16-16
24-22
19-14
19-17
19-24
17-23
10-22
20-13
24-22
15-19
25-18
13-18
20-17
19-22
10-15
13-25
23-20
22-19
17-13
20-16
15-24
21-20
15-22
21-23
26-20
22-23
155.3Avg total
78.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.977.6156.5+1.364%
Season at home (5)78.473.8152.2+4.680%
Season away (6)79.380.8160.2-1.550%
Last 10 (10)78.077.3155.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)75.679.4155.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.484.2166.6-1.957%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.978.7157.6+0.260%
vs Weaker (6)78.375.5153.8+2.850%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
65-66
65
66
-1
59avg 71
A17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
62-65
62
65
-3
56avg 71
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
70-68
70
68
+2
55avg 71
A01/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-72 OT
81
72
+9
75avg 71
A04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 71
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 71
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 71
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
66-68
66
68
-2
57avg 71
A15/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
90-84
90
84
+6
80avg 71
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
76avg 71
A04/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
16-16
14-20
23-18
10-10
16-17
14-11
22-27
14-18
13-16
26-22
17-12
16-18
21-17
16-15
12-15
19-18
19-13
26-24
16-16
22-18
17-26
23-23
17-14
22-13
20-12
25-29
17-22
11-21
19-9
20-18
16-20
27-21
17-17
16-24
30-22
15-16
16-12
23-23
22-19
147.4Avg total
75.3Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.669.9142.5+2.758%
Season at home (5)72.272.0144.2+0.240%
Season away (7)72.968.4141.3+4.471%
Last 10 (10)75.372.1147.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)79.075.8154.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.576.0134.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.273.8150.0+2.356%
vs Weaker (10)74.570.9145.4+3.670%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Sao PauloVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H05/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A14/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A17/11
NBB
74.3Avg total
36.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.479.7-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.780.1+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.541.879.3-4.325%-
Last 10 (10)36.138.274.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.069.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.842.181.9-2.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.740.578.2-2.830%-
vs Weaker (6)40.836.277.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A01/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A15/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/12
NBB
66.2Avg total
34.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.770.0+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.633.470.0+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)34.036.070.0-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)34.232.066.2+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.070.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.039.570.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.134.070.1+2.156%-
vs Weaker (10)34.835.069.8-0.240%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.5
51.8%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.5%
33.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.6
77.2%
72.7%16.6
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.114.8
50.9%
50.9%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.89.3
29.2%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.416.8
75.0%
72.7%16.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
LWLWLLWWWW
Vasco
WWLWLWWWLL
#13
League position
#7
+1.1
Net rating
+3.8
103.7
Offensive rating
101.3
102.6
Defensive rating
97.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.2%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.5%
3-point %
29.2%
62.4%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 101.3Defence102.6 · 97.5Shooting49.9% · 47.2%3-point %31.5% · 29.2%Ball care18.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds27.0% · 28.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sao Paulo wins
1
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Vasco v Sao Paulo70-80
09/12/23Sao Paulo v Vasco70-75
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24AUnifacisa84-88
14/11/24ACearense80-79 OT
11/11/24ASao Jose68-79
07/11/24HFlamengo77-75
05/11/24HPinheiros69-76
01/11/24AMogi74-78
30/10/24HPaulistano86-84
26/10/24HBauru78-68
22/10/24HFranca82-66
19/10/24ACorinthians Paulista82-80
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24APaulistano76-70
17/11/24HCorinthians Paulista90-84
15/11/24ABotafogo66-68
12/11/24APato84-76
09/11/24HUniao Corinthians79-81
07/11/24HCaxias do Sul80-71
04/11/24AUnifacisa81-72 OT
01/11/24ACearense70-68
21/10/24HPinheiros62-65
17/10/24AMogi65-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL64%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game78.978.479.3
Allowed / game77.673.880.8
Point differential+1.3+4.6-1.5
Avg total156.5152.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%40%71%
Points / game72.672.272.9
Allowed / game69.972.068.4
Point differential+2.7+0.2+4.4
Avg total142.5144.2141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1413193%84.468.4+15.9
2 Flamengo1411379%82.770.1+12.6
3 Brasilia129375%82.177.8+4.2
4 Bauru139469%78.076.7+1.3
5 Sao Paulo117464%78.977.6+1.3
6 Vasco127558%72.669.9+2.7
7 Pinheiros127558%73.671.8+1.8
8 Uniao Corinthians127558%79.680.8-1.2
9 Franca148657%79.677.9+1.8
10 Sao Jose146843%74.475.7-1.3
11 Pato135838%80.382.2-1.8
12 Unifacisa135838%74.576.9-2.4
13 Paulistano124833%75.273.9+1.2
14 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
15 Mogi1441029%70.379.1-8.9
16 Botafogo1441029%70.179.4-9.3
17 Caxias do Sul1331023%70.077.2-7.2
18 Cearense1331023%67.876.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo2317212384
Vasco2112223287
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