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France vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 98-69
31-16 18-14 28-17 21-22
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game73.6
France 🏆
vs
Position#32
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game76.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2027
Meetings · France v Finland
06 Jul 2026
FRAN98
FINL69
16 Sep 2018
FRAN83
FINL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
W
103-95
103
95
+8
95avg 79
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
57avg 79
A31/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 79
H02/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
114-74
114
74
+40
114avg 79
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
70-80
70
80
-10
55avg 79
H07/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#83
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Finland
#32
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
74-71
74
71
+3
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
98-79
98
79
+19
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
19-24
21-16
35-25
22-17
14-19
20-19
13-27
27-24
14-20
19-11
23-21
36-9
30-25
24-12
24-28
20-24
17-14
17-20
16-22
16-17
13-14
20-14
30-18
19-20
26-17
16-19
15-27
16-15
22-16
17-16
19-24
25-16
30-19
19-24
24-20
22-13
21-17
16-25
21-17
162.1Avg total
84.6Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.473.6155.0+7.880%
Season at home (2)88.571.0159.5+17.5100%
Season away (3)76.775.3152.0+1.367%
Last 10 (10)84.677.5162.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)81.473.6155.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (5)83.279.4162.6+3.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.370.3154.6+14.086%
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Germany
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 87
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 87
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 87
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 87
A12/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
79avg 87
A14/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#38
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A28/11
World Cup
France
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
71-66
71
66
+5
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-29
13-19
12-22
28-24
16-24
24-18
24-20
28-15
29-25
14-22
22-17
26-30
21-31
26-20
13-17
15-24
19-24
22-21
33-23
17-31
22-29
22-15
21-14
20-19
17-26
19-16
27-15
12-24
20-13
16-19
23-10
17-22
17-15
22-15
22-23
13-18
35-25
26-15
11-19
164.9Avg total
82.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.876.6156.4+3.280%
Season at home (3)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)76.577.5154.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)82.082.9164.9-0.960%
Last 5 (5)79.876.6156.4+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.289.9170.1-9.625%
vs Similar (7)88.684.6173.1+4.057%
vs Weaker (7)88.675.0163.6+13.6100%
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
FranceFinland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A31/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
66-34
66
34
+32
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#83
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H28/11
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A01/12
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H01/03
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A03/07
World Cup
80.7Avg total
43.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.234.775.0+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.335.277.5+7.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.434.372.8+4.169%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.080.7+6.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.874.8+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)40.435.876.2+4.6100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.833.774.5+7.067%-
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A12/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#38
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A28/11
World Cup
France
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/12
World Cup
Belgium
#83
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A27/02
World Cup
Belgium
#83
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H01/03
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H03/07
World Cup
87.7Avg total
40.8Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.587.6-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.544.488.9+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)41.844.786.5-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.987.7-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.482.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.946.988.8-5.025%-
vs Similar (7)43.743.487.1+0.357%-
vs Weaker (7)45.140.385.4+4.957%-
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.5
55.1%
-43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.7
28.8%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
-15.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.3
49.2%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.9
36.5%
-35.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
-13.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
France
WWWLWLWWLW
Finland
WWWWLLLWWL
#6
League position
#32
+13.1
Net rating
+3.5
114.7
Offensive rating
112.5
101.6
Defensive rating
108.9
49.9%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.8%
3-point %
36.5%
64.2%
Assist %
74.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ France   ■ Finland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
France wins
2
Finland wins
DateGameScore
01/12/25Finland v France83-76
21/02/19Finland v France76-69
16/09/18France v Finland83-67
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26ABelgium80-72
01/03/26HHungary98-79
27/02/26AHungary74-71
01/12/25AFinland76-83
28/11/25HBelgium79-63
07/09/25HGeorgia70-80
04/09/25HIceland114-74
02/09/25HPoland83-76
31/08/25AIsrael69-82
30/08/25HSlovenia103-95
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26HHungary85-77
01/03/26HBelgium78-75
27/02/26ABelgium71-66
01/12/25HFrance83-76
28/11/25AHungary82-89
14/09/25AGreece89-92
12/09/25AGermany86-98
10/09/25HGeorgia93-79
06/09/25ASerbia92-86
03/09/25HGermany61-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game81.488.576.7
Allowed / game73.671.075.3
Point differential+7.8+17.5+1.3
Avg total155.0159.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game79.882.076.5
Allowed / game76.676.077.5
Point differential+3.2+6.0-1.0
Avg total156.4158.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
4 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
5 Poland660100%94.379.3+15.0
6 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
7 Croatia109190%97.570.3+27.2
8 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
9 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
10 Ivory Coast65183%94.875.2+19.7
11 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
12 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
13 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
14 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
15 Germany65183%92.380.0+12.3
16 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
17 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
18 Mali65183%80.774.3+6.3
19 Cameroon65183%76.771.8+4.8
20 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
21 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
22 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
23 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
24 South Sudan64267%82.765.3+17.3
25 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
26 Angola64267%84.772.5+12.2
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
29 Japan64267%83.275.0+8.2
30 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
31 Qatar64267%80.074.3+5.7
32 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
33 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
34 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
35 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Latvia63350%83.777.5+6.2
38 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
39 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
40 Estonia63350%84.880.5+4.3
41 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
42 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
43 Hungary105550%80.977.6+3.3
44 Netherlands105550%80.377.3+3.0
45 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
46 Slovenia63350%85.583.5+2.0
47 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
48 South Korea63350%78.078.0+0.0
49 China63350%84.084.8-0.8
50 Sweden63350%82.383.8-1.5
51 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
52 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
55 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
56 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
57 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
58 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
59 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
60 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
61 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
62 Israel62433%79.779.5+0.2
63 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
64 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
67 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
68 D.R. Congo62433%66.382.5-16.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France3118282198
Finland1614172269
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