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Belgium vs France Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 72-80
13-22 17-21 25-16 17-21
Position#83
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
France 🏆
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Lotto Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Belgium v France
03 Jul 2026
BELG72
FRAN80
28 Aug 2025
BELG64
FRAN92
24 Nov 2017
BELG59
FRAN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Spain
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
64-92
64
92
-28
56avg 66
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
71-64
71
64
+7
62avg 66
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
69-86
69
86
-17
63avg 66
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
84avg 66
H02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
66avg 66
A04/09
EuroBasket
France
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Finland
#32
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Finland
#32
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-11
14-11
15-20
12-17
10-18
17-25
22-27
15-22
17-21
15-15
14-16
25-12
10-16
21-27
17-21
21-22
15-23
21-28
18-20
35-21
16-17
23-16
19-25
12-11
17-16
14-13
14-20
18-30
15-18
21-27
19-21
30-21
24-12
13-20
19-16
10-23
22-17
15-17
15-22
23-22
148.1Avg total
70.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.278.8151.0-6.50%
Season at home (2)75.579.0154.5-3.50%
Season away (2)69.078.5147.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)70.477.7148.1-7.320%
Last 5 (5)71.876.8148.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.879.5151.3-7.720%
vs Similar (8)69.280.8150.0-11.512%
vs Weaker (12)76.065.3141.3+10.775%
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Belgium
#16
W
92-64
92
64
+28
89avg 79
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
103-95
103
95
+8
95avg 79
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
57avg 79
A31/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 79
H02/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
114-74
114
74
+40
114avg 79
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
70-80
70
80
-10
55avg 79
H07/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#83
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Finland
#32
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
74-71
74
71
+3
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
98-79
98
79
+19
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
25-17
27-22
22-15
28-30
19-24
21-16
35-25
22-17
14-19
20-19
13-27
27-24
14-20
19-11
23-21
36-9
30-25
24-12
24-28
20-24
17-14
17-20
16-22
16-17
13-14
20-14
30-18
19-20
26-17
16-19
15-27
16-15
22-16
17-16
19-24
25-16
30-19
19-24
24-20
162.5Avg total
85.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.874.0155.8+7.875%
Season at home (2)88.571.0159.5+17.5100%
Season away (2)75.077.0152.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)85.876.7162.5+9.170%
Last 5 (5)79.475.2154.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (6)83.080.8163.8+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.570.2154.8+14.385%
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
BelgiumFrance
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#22
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/09
EuroBasket
France
#6
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A28/11
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/12
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/02
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A01/03
World Cup
69.9Avg total
33.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.271.6-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.736.271.9-0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)35.236.171.3-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)33.136.869.9-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.670.6+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.538.773.2-4.240%-
vs Similar (8)35.440.475.8-5.038%-
vs Weaker (12)36.231.267.4+4.967%-
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A31/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
66-34
66
34
+32
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#83
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H28/11
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A01/12
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H01/03
World Cup
80.4Avg total
43.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.275.3+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.135.877.9+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.134.672.7+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.736.780.4+7.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.475.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (6)40.337.277.5+3.283%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.633.974.5+6.865%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.3
46.5%
-30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.4
33.7%
-28.2
🏀 Free throws18.612.5
67.2%
-12.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.5
55.1%
-43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.7
28.8%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
-15.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belgium
LLLLWLLWLL
France
WWLWLWWLWW
#83
League position
#6
-2.1
Net rating
+13.1
99.2
Offensive rating
114.7
101.3
Defensive rating
101.6
48.4%
Effective FG%
49.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
38.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.7%
3-point %
28.8%
68.8%
Assist %
64.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Belgium   ■ France
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belgium wins
4
France wins
DateGameScore
28/11/25France v Belgium79-63
28/08/25Belgium v France64-92
25/02/18France v Belgium64-49
24/11/17Belgium v France59-70
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AFinland75-78
27/02/26HFinland66-71
01/12/25HHungary85-87
28/11/25AFrance63-79
04/09/25APoland70-69
02/09/25HIsrael89-92
31/08/25ASlovenia69-86
30/08/25AIceland71-64
28/08/25HFrance64-92
23/02/25ASpain52-59
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HHungary98-79
27/02/26AHungary74-71
01/12/25AFinland76-83
28/11/25HBelgium79-63
07/09/25HGeorgia70-80
04/09/25HIceland114-74
02/09/25HPoland83-76
31/08/25AIsrael69-82
30/08/25HSlovenia103-95
28/08/25ABelgium92-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.275.569.0
Allowed / game78.879.078.5
Point differential-6.5-3.5-9.5
Avg total151.0154.5147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
France
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.888.575.0
Allowed / game74.071.077.0
Point differential+7.8+17.5-2.0
Avg total155.8159.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
5 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
6 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
7 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
8 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
9 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
10 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
11 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
12 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
13 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
14 Guinea54180%77.065.0+12.0
15 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
16 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
17 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
18 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
19 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
20 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
21 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
22 Ivory Coast43175%89.274.5+14.8
23 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
24 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
25 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
26 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
27 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
28 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
29 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
30 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
31 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
32 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
33 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
34 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
35 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
36 Tunisia53260%77.672.2+5.4
37 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
38 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
39 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
40 Nigeria53260%74.477.2-2.8
41 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
42 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
43 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
44 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
45 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
46 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
47 Cape Verde42250%79.585.5-6.0
48 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
49 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
50 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
51 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
52 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
53 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
54 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
55 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
56 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
57 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
58 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
59 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
60 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
61 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
62 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
63 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
64 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
65 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
66 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
67 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
68 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
69 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda5050%67.081.6-14.6
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
91 Uganda4040%63.890.0-26.2
92 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium1317251772
France2221162180
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