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France vs Iceland Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 114-74
36-9 30-25 24-12 24-28
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game79.2
France 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Spodek
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Croatia
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-59
75
59
+16
70avg 76
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 76
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 76
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 76
H24/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
92-64
92
64
+28
89avg 76
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
103-95
103
95
+8
95avg 76
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
57avg 76
A31/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 76
H02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
20-16
22-14
16-17
16-15
18-17
23-16
17-16
20-15
17-16
14-19
24-9
28-14
19-20
21-24
17-12
20-17
17-18
22-16
24-29
18-21
16-11
17-25
25-17
18-10
25-17
27-22
22-15
28-30
19-24
21-16
35-25
22-17
14-19
20-19
13-27
27-24
14-20
19-11
23-21
153.8Avg total
81.3Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.879.2166.0+7.575%
Season at home (2)93.085.5178.5+7.5100%
Season away (2)80.573.0153.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)81.372.5153.8+8.890%
Last 5 (5)84.678.2162.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (9)79.978.0157.9+1.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.969.6154.5+15.288%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Hungary
#35
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
71-95
71
95
-24
65avg 71
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 71
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 71
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
83-71
83
71
+12
80avg 71
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 71
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
64-71
64
71
-7
60avg 71
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 71
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
79avg 71
H02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
17-18
16-14
21-14
16-16
14-19
17-19
28-22
12-27
13-22
29-16
17-30
22-9
10-20
26-27
23-18
21-20
11-28
25-24
21-15
26-16
20-22
23-16
14-17
19-23
13-13
20-24
19-23
21-17
15-15
16-14
12-25
16-19
16-22
19-20
24-23
20-21
15-15
11-24
33-27
154.0Avg total
74.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.281.2153.5-9.00%
Season at home (2)71.579.0150.5-7.50%
Season away (2)73.083.5156.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)74.779.3154.0-4.630%
Last 5 (5)74.479.2153.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.383.2153.5-12.99%
vs Similar (8)85.084.9169.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (11)83.073.9156.9+9.191%
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
FranceIceland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A31/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/09
EuroBasket
74.6Avg total
39.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.175.2+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.737.076.7+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)38.735.273.9+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.574.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)39.737.377.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.434.874.1+4.665%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#35
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/09
EuroBasket
71.4Avg total
33.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.476.3-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.238.075.2-0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)36.640.977.5-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)33.338.171.4-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.672.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.839.971.7-8.127%-
vs Similar (8)39.440.279.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (11)40.238.478.5+1.864%-
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.9
53.8%
52.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.1
29.0%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.916.2
74.0%
73.1%16.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.5
53.0%
52.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.1
30.0%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
73.1%14.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
France
WLWWWWWWWW
Iceland
LLLLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#22
+11.5
Net rating
-6.6
110.2
Offensive rating
101.4
98.6
Defensive rating
108.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
49.4%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.0%
3-point %
30.0%
67.1%
Assist %
70.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 101.4Defence98.6 · 108.0Shooting49.4% · 49.4%3-point %29.0% · 30.0%Ball care17.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds37.7% · 24.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ France   ■ Iceland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
France wins
0
Iceland wins
No previous meetings.
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/25HPoland83-76
31/08/25AIsrael69-82
30/08/25HSlovenia103-95
28/08/25ABelgium92-64
24/02/25HBosnia & Herzegovina76-74
21/02/25ACroatia83-80
24/11/24HCyprus85-70
21/11/24ACyprus75-59
26/02/24ABosnia & Herzegovina74-64
23/02/24HCroatia73-61
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/25HSlovenia79-87
31/08/25APoland75-84
30/08/25HBelgium64-71
28/08/25AIsrael71-83
23/02/25HTurkey83-71
20/02/25AHungary78-87
25/11/24AItaly81-74
22/11/24HItaly71-95
25/02/24ATurkey75-76
22/02/24HHungary70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game86.893.080.5
Allowed / game79.285.573.0
Point differential+7.5+7.5+7.5
Avg total166.0178.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iceland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.271.573.0
Allowed / game81.279.083.5
Point differential-9.0-7.5-10.5
Avg total153.5150.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany550100%105.873.0+32.8
2 Turkey550100%91.871.8+20.0
3 Serbia54180%86.873.6+13.2
4 Lithuania54180%86.278.6+7.6
5 Greece43175%85.567.0+18.5
6 France43175%86.879.2+7.5
7 Italy43175%76.869.8+7.0
8 Israel43175%80.273.8+6.5
9 Poland43175%82.879.2+3.5
10 Latvia53260%82.476.8+5.6
11 Finland53260%85.281.2+4.0
12 Spain42250%77.866.0+11.8
13 Slovenia42250%90.889.0+1.8
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.281.2-2.0
15 Georgia42250%72.875.5-2.8
16 Portugal52340%63.073.6-10.6
17 Belgium41325%73.283.5-10.2
18 Sweden51420%80.683.6-3.0
19 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
20 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
21 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
22 Iceland4040%72.281.2-9.0
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus4040%60.292.8-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France36302424114
Iceland925122874
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