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Frayles de Guasave vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 72-112
16-32 22-19 21-27 13-34
Position#10
Record5-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game98.4
Frayles de Guasave
Mexico
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#1
Record21-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game89.2
MexicoCIBACOPA· Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina
Other2025
Meetings · Frayles de Guasave v Astros
29 Apr 2025
FRAY72
ASTR112
28 Apr 2025
FRAY93
ASTR95
12 May 2024
FRAY112
ASTR126
11 May 2024
FRAY106
ASTR116
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
74-100
74
100
-26
57avg 78
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
103-121
103
121
-18
94avg 78
H12/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
107-128
107
128
-21
81avg 78
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
86-95
86
95
-9
81avg 78
A16/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
72avg 78
A17/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 78
H23/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
93-110
93
110
-17
89avg 78
H24/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 78
A26/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
85-112
85
112
-27
73avg 78
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 78
H29/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
12-27
13-33
30-19
19-35
24-35
26-25
34-26
33-33
26-32
25-26
23-37
19-18
19-31
22-26
26-20
17-27
17-23
20-16
28-27
26-22
18-33
14-30
29-19
23-30
21-26
25-29
24-25
27-30
20-22
23-22
18-21
25-30
18-27
17-28
25-27
25-26
20-18
18-23
30-28
195.1Avg total
89.8Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.698.4184.9-11.819%
Season at home (15)88.998.3187.3-9.427%
Season away (12)83.698.4182.0-14.88%
Last 10 (10)89.8105.3195.1-15.50%
Last 5 (5)89.2103.2192.4-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)87.799.8187.5-12.120%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
96-118
96
118
-22
84avg 91
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
99-82
99
82
+17
93avg 91
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 91
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
109-90
109
90
+19
106avg 91
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
96avg 91
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 91
A23/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
98-102
98
102
-4
82avg 91
A24/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
112-116 OT
112
116
-4
97avg 91
H26/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
111-108
111
108
+3
104avg 91
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
88avg 91
A29/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
29-42
26-25
18-28
32-21
23-19
28-29
16-13
17-22
27-22
21-18
24-18
19-19
38-16
26-30
26-25
19-30
35-18
23-17
25-14
19-19
22-23
23-22
20-23
19-27
24-18
16-26
39-31
22-31
25-20
25-22
26-25
19-19
32-32
31-24
29-33
26-25
18-20
23-18
28-30
195.0Avg total
99.5Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)99.389.2188.5+10.178%
Season at home (12)105.289.4194.6+15.883%
Season away (15)94.789.0183.7+5.773%
Last 10 (10)99.595.5195.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)100.0101.2201.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)95.4100.0195.4-4.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)97.985.9183.8+12.083%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
Frayles de GuasaveAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
43-70
43
70
-27
H12/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A16/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A17/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H23/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H24/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A26/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H29/04
CIBACOPA
97.4Avg total
42.8Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.248.189.3-6.823%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.649.993.5-6.229%-
Last 30 away (13)38.145.783.8-7.615%-
Last 10 (10)42.854.697.4-11.810%-
Last 5 (5)44.652.897.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)41.248.189.3-6.823%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A23/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H26/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A29/04
CIBACOPA
95.4Avg total
48.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.844.191.9+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.943.893.7+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)45.944.490.2+1.544%-
Last 10 (10)48.846.695.4+2.230%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.892.0-1.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)47.952.4100.3-4.614%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.741.689.3+6.265%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.227.1
56.2%
53.3%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.5
29.0%
35.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.415.8
73.8%
73.3%15.8
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 98.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.2
55.3%
53.3%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.2
33.6%
35.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws26.319.1
72.6%
73.3%19.1
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Frayles de Guasave
LLLLLLLLLL
Astros
WWLLLWWWWL
#10
League position
#1
-17.7
Net rating
+4.1
107.7
Offensive rating
118.6
125.4
Defensive rating
114.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.4%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.0%
3-point %
33.6%
49.4%
Assist %
49.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 118.6Defence125.4 · 114.5Shooting52.2% · 53.2%3-point %29.0% · 33.6%Ball care16.0% · 13.4%Off. rebounds25.5% · 34.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Frayles de Guasave   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Frayles de Guasave wins
7
Astros wins
DateGameScore
29/04/25Frayles de Guasave v Astros93-95
20/03/25Astros v Frayles de Guasave97-68
19/03/25Astros v Frayles de Guasave110-88
13/05/24Frayles de Guasave v Astros112-126
12/05/24Frayles de Guasave v Astros106-116
03/03/24Astros v Frayles de Guasave106-83
02/03/24Astros v Frayles de Guasave77-72
Frayles de Guasavelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25HAstros93-95
27/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis85-112
26/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis88-95
24/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan93-110
23/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan87-104
17/04/25ACaballeros de Culiacan82-93
16/04/25ACaballeros de Culiacan86-95
13/04/25HAngeles CDMX107-128
12/04/25HAngeles CDMX103-121
10/04/25HRayos de Hermosillo74-100
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25AFrayles de Guasave95-93
27/04/25HAngeles CDMX111-108
26/04/25HAngeles CDMX112-116 OT
24/04/25AHalcones de Obregon98-102
23/04/25AHalcones de Obregon84-87
17/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan102-79
16/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan109-90
13/04/25AZonkeys de Tijuana89-80
12/04/25AZonkeys de Tijuana99-82
06/04/25AAngeles CDMX96-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %19%27%8%
Points / game86.688.983.6
Allowed / game98.498.398.4
Point differential-11.8-9.4-14.8
Avg total184.9187.3182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW78%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWLLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %78%83%73%
Points / game99.3105.294.7
Allowed / game89.289.489.0
Point differential+10.1+15.8+5.7
Avg total188.5194.6183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2721678%99.389.2+10.1
2 Angeles CDMX2720774%109.5101.3+8.2
3 Halcones de Obregon26161062%89.386.2+3.1
4 Caballeros de Culiacan27151256%88.787.1+1.5
5 Pioneros de Los Mochis26121446%92.995.2-2.3
6 Ostioneros de Guaymas26111542%92.092.1-0.2
7 Venados de Mazatlan26111542%87.389.3-2.0
8 Rayos de Hermosillo26111542%82.687.0-4.4
9 Zonkeys de Tijuana26101638%86.388.9-2.6
10 Frayles de Guasave2752219%86.698.4-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frayles de Guasave1622211372
Astros32192734112
← all games of the day
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