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Halcones de Obregon vs Frayles de Guasave Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 103-97
25-25 17-22 31-24 30-26
Position#6
Record11-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Position#10
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game96.6
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2024
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Frayles de Guasave
29 Mar 2025
HALC74
FRAY80
28 Mar 2025
HALC87
FRAY71
27 Apr 2024
HALC116
FRAY90
26 Apr 2024
HALC103
FRAY97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
91-100
91
100
-9
85avg 81
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
101-109
101
109
-8
93avg 81
A04/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
87avg 81
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
119-87
119
87
+32
123avg 81
H07/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 81
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 81
H11/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 81
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
61-70
61
70
-9
48avg 81
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
92-93
92
93
-1
80avg 81
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
103-92
103
92
+11
105avg 81
H18/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
23-18
20-27
21-25
22-24
24-20
32-32
23-33
24-19
21-27
23-22
20-20
23-19
30-13
38-29
28-26
20-25
28-18
16-24
19-25
19-21
26-18
15-23
27-20
23-23
9-26
31-25
26-19
14-18
11-17
20-13
16-22
21-22
14-28
34-27
23-16
23-27
28-18
26-27
26-20
184.2Avg total
92.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.888.9176.7-1.146%
Season at home (12)95.489.9185.3+5.575%
Season away (12)80.287.8168.0-7.717%
Last 10 (10)92.791.5184.2+1.240%
Last 5 (5)86.486.0172.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)88.389.8178.1-1.536%
vs Similar (13)89.091.8180.8-2.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)93.389.7183.0+3.750%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
100-91
100
91
+9
94avg 80
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
109-101
109
101
+8
107avg 80
H04/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 80
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
62avg 80
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
102-100
102
100
+2
94avg 80
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 80
A11/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
101-106
101
106
-5
88avg 80
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 80
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
102-105
102
105
-3
92avg 80
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
112-119
112
119
-7
107avg 80
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
18-23
27-20
25-21
24-22
20-24
32-32
33-23
24-25
21-20
21-24
12-21
20-20
10-22
20-22
22-18
34-18
14-26
24-23
30-33
18-24
25-17
19-28
14-19
23-29
24-20
25-31
29-26
11-26
30-25
18-13
21-27
20-29
18-25
45-27
19-24
30-27
26-27
32-34
24-31
190.5Avg total
93.2Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)90.896.6187.3-5.821%
Season at home (12)98.7101.3200.0-2.733%
Season away (12)82.891.8174.7-9.08%
Last 10 (10)93.297.3190.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)94.2101.8196.0-7.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)91.396.8188.1-5.419%
vs Similar (8)89.696.2185.9-6.625%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
Halcones de ObregonFrayles de Guasave
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H07/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/04
CIBACOPA
86.1Avg total
43.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.286.5+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.043.689.6+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)40.142.882.9-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.186.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.681.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.144.988.0-1.845%-
vs Similar (13)41.844.886.6-2.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.536.883.3+9.783%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H04/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/04
CIBACOPA
91.6Avg total
44.0Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)43.647.691.2-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.749.395.0-3.733%-
Last 30 away (12)41.545.987.4-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)44.047.691.6-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.049.894.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)43.048.391.3-5.325%-
vs Similar (8)44.846.291.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.2
54.1%
52.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.5
38.0%
36.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.9
77.2%
72.4%15.9
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.825.3
52.9%
52.6%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.4
33.6%
36.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
72.4%16.9
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
WLLLWLWWLL
Frayles de Guasave
LLLLLWLLWW
#6
League position
#10
+2.6
Net rating
-4.8
116.9
Offensive rating
110.6
114.2
Defensive rating
115.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.5%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.0%
3-point %
33.6%
55.8%
Assist %
55.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 110.6Defence114.2 · 115.4Shooting55.2% · 52.1%3-point %38.0% · 33.6%Ball care15.1% · 13.5%Off. rebounds29.4% · 24.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Frayles de Guasave
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Halcones de Obregon wins
2
Frayles de Guasave wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/24HRayos de Hermosillo103-92
17/04/24HRayos de Hermosillo92-93
14/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan61-70
13/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan89-93
11/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana87-82
10/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana83-92
07/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan119-87
06/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan101-97 OT
04/04/24AFrayles de Guasave101-109
03/04/24AFrayles de Guasave91-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24HAngeles CDMX112-119
16/04/24HAngeles CDMX102-105
14/04/24ACaballeros de Culiacan80-91
13/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan101-106
11/04/24APioneros de Los Mochis76-88
10/04/24HPioneros de Los Mochis102-100
07/04/24AAngeles CDMX72-82
06/04/24AAngeles CDMX78-90
04/04/24HHalcones de Obregon109-101
03/04/24HHalcones de Obregon100-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%75%17%
Points / game87.895.480.2
Allowed / game88.989.987.8
Point differential-1.1+5.5-7.7
Avg total176.7185.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%33%8%
Points / game90.898.782.8
Allowed / game96.6101.391.8
Point differential-5.8-2.7-9.0
Avg total187.3200.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)17% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zonkeys de Tijuana2419579%89.582.5+7.0
2 Astros2719870%93.784.3+9.3
3 Angeles CDMX2517868%92.488.7+3.7
4 Rayos de Hermosillo27161159%88.888.1+0.7
5 Venados de Mazatlan26151158%89.990.2-0.3
6 Halcones de Obregon24111346%87.888.9-1.1
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas24101442%89.693.1-3.5
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis26101638%87.390.8-3.5
9 Frayles de Guasave2451921%90.896.6-5.8
10 Caballeros de Culiacan2542116%84.291.6-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon25173130103
Frayles de Guasave2522242697
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