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Halcones de Obregon vs Frayles de Guasave Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 116-90
21-28 23-16 34-21 38-25
Position#6
Record12-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#10
Record5-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game96.8
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2024
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Frayles de Guasave
29 Mar 2025
HALC74
FRAY80
28 Mar 2025
HALC87
FRAY71
27 Apr 2024
HALC116
FRAY90
26 Apr 2024
HALC103
FRAY97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
101-109
101
109
-8
93avg 82
A04/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
87avg 82
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
119-87
119
87
+32
123avg 82
H07/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 82
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 82
H11/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 82
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
61-70
61
70
-9
48avg 82
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
92-93
92
93
-1
80avg 82
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
103-92
103
92
+11
105avg 82
H18/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
103-97
103
97
+6
99avg 82
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
24-20
32-32
23-33
24-19
21-27
23-22
20-20
23-19
30-13
38-29
28-26
20-25
28-18
16-24
19-25
19-21
26-18
15-23
27-20
23-23
9-26
31-25
26-19
14-18
11-17
20-13
16-22
21-22
14-28
34-27
23-16
23-27
28-18
26-27
26-20
25-25
17-22
31-24
30-26
185.1Avg total
93.9Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.489.2177.6-0.848%
Season at home (13)96.090.5186.5+5.577%
Season away (12)80.287.8168.0-7.717%
Last 10 (10)93.991.2185.1+2.750%
Last 5 (5)89.689.0178.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)88.389.8178.1-1.536%
vs Similar (12)86.388.8175.2-2.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)94.790.7185.4+4.057%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
109-101
109
101
+8
107avg 80
H04/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 80
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
62avg 80
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
102-100
102
100
+2
94avg 80
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 80
A11/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
101-106
101
106
-5
88avg 80
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 80
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
102-105
102
105
-3
92avg 80
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
112-119
112
119
-7
107avg 80
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
83avg 80
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
20-24
32-32
33-23
24-25
21-20
21-24
12-21
20-20
10-22
20-22
22-18
34-18
14-26
24-23
30-33
18-24
25-17
19-28
14-19
23-29
24-20
25-31
29-26
11-26
30-25
18-13
21-27
20-29
18-25
45-27
19-24
30-27
26-27
32-34
24-31
25-25
22-17
24-31
26-30
191.4Avg total
92.9Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)91.096.8187.8-5.820%
Season at home (12)98.7101.3200.0-2.733%
Season away (13)83.992.7176.6-8.88%
Last 10 (10)92.998.5191.4-5.620%
Last 5 (5)98.4104.8203.2-6.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)91.697.1188.8-5.518%
vs Similar (8)89.696.2185.9-6.625%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
Halcones de ObregonFrayles de Guasave
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H07/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H27/04
CIBACOPA
85.2Avg total
42.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.286.0-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.343.588.8+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)40.142.882.9-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.085.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.282.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.144.988.0-1.845%-
vs Similar (12)40.944.485.3-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.938.384.1+7.671%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H04/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A27/04
CIBACOPA
90.7Avg total
43.9Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)43.747.491.1-3.736%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.749.395.0-3.733%-
Last 30 away (13)41.945.687.5-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)43.946.890.7-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.850.095.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)43.247.991.2-4.729%-
vs Similar (8)44.846.291.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.224.5
54.2%
52.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.6
38.2%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
72.4%16.2
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.224.9
52.8%
52.6%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
36.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.318.1
74.5%
72.4%18.1
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
WWLLLWLWWL
Frayles de Guasave
LLLLLLWLLW
#6
League position
#10
+4.8
Net rating
-6.8
117.6
Offensive rating
109.3
112.8
Defensive rating
116.0
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.2%
3-point %
32.0%
54.5%
Assist %
54.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 109.3Defence112.8 · 116.0Shooting55.3% · 51.1%3-point %38.2% · 32.0%Ball care15.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds29.8% · 24.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Frayles de Guasave
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Halcones de Obregon wins
2
Frayles de Guasave wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HFrayles de Guasave103-97
18/04/24HRayos de Hermosillo103-92
17/04/24HRayos de Hermosillo92-93
14/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan61-70
13/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan89-93
11/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana87-82
10/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana83-92
07/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan119-87
06/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan101-97 OT
04/04/24AFrayles de Guasave101-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24AHalcones de Obregon97-103
17/04/24HAngeles CDMX112-119
16/04/24HAngeles CDMX102-105
14/04/24ACaballeros de Culiacan80-91
13/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan101-106
11/04/24APioneros de Los Mochis76-88
10/04/24HPioneros de Los Mochis102-100
07/04/24AAngeles CDMX72-82
06/04/24AAngeles CDMX78-90
04/04/24HHalcones de Obregon109-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeLWLWW77%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%77%17%
Points / game88.496.080.2
Allowed / game89.290.587.8
Point differential-0.8+5.5-7.7
Avg total177.6186.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %20%33%8%
Points / game91.098.783.9
Allowed / game96.8101.392.7
Point differential-5.8-2.7-8.8
Avg total187.8200.0176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)17% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zonkeys de Tijuana2520580%89.482.3+7.1
2 Astros2820871%94.484.4+9.9
3 Angeles CDMX2617965%91.888.8+3.0
4 Rayos de Hermosillo28171161%88.987.6+1.2
5 Venados de Mazatlan27151256%89.490.0-0.6
6 Halcones de Obregon25121348%88.489.2-0.8
7 Pioneros de Los Mochis28121643%87.990.9-3.0
8 Ostioneros de Guaymas26101638%89.793.3-3.6
9 Frayles de Guasave2552020%91.096.8-5.8
10 Caballeros de Culiacan2642215%84.392.4-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon21233438116
Frayles de Guasave2816212590
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