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Freseros vs Correcaminos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 93-96 (OT)
33-15 18-30 20-18 13-21 9-12
Position#12
Record10-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#15
Record5-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game89.7
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2024-25
Meetings · Freseros v Correcaminos
11 Aug 2026
FRES83
CORR86
10 Aug 2026
FRES99
CORR96
22 Aug 2025
FRES86
CORR87
21 Aug 2025
FRES85
CORR101
05 Oct 2024
FRES88
CORR89
04 Oct 2024
FRES93
CORR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Correcaminos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A07/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A08/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
H14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H15/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A18/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A19/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H22/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H23/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A28/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
A29/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
22-23
22-19
18-23
17-28
26-27
19-14
11-22
14-23
28-23
12-24
36-20
21-24
26-17
23-15
15-26
24-22
17-21
14-29
26-22
12-14
15-21
16-17
13-15
23-21
34-21
16-19
25-15
24-20
15-14
13-23
16-19
19-22
16-36
19-20
35-16
19-27
17-18
16-32
34-23
170.6Avg total
83.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.189.5175.5-3.438%
Season at home (12)90.889.4180.2+1.350%
Season away (14)82.189.5171.6-7.429%
Last 10 (10)83.287.4170.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)79.482.6162.0-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)86.489.8176.2-3.536%
vs Similar (4)84.586.8171.2-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.888.2178.0+1.575%
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
97-95
97
95
+2
A07/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A07/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H13/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H14/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A18/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A19/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H22/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H23/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A27/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A28/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
28-26
19-24
19-16
13-19
19-25
14-21
27-30
20-19
9-26
22-16
18-29
21-29
22-27
17-20
23-22
14-40
10-19
17-18
19-17
13-25
30-29
20-24
20-18
14-28
16-14
23-22
23-17
17-26
22-22
21-24
19-18
20-22
18-25
15-16
21-18
20-17
16-10
15-19
8-24
164.3Avg total
75.3Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.889.7168.5-10.919%
Season at home (12)77.587.2164.7-9.725%
Season away (14)79.991.9171.8-11.914%
Last 10 (10)75.389.0164.3-13.710%
Last 5 (5)74.283.6157.8-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)79.892.7172.5-12.815%
vs Similar (4)80.287.5167.8-7.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Freseros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
FreserosCorrecaminos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A07/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A08/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A18/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A19/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H22/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A28/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A29/09
LNBP
86.7Avg total
41.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.146.589.6-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.046.091.0-1.031%-
Last 30 away (14)40.947.087.9-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.086.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.881.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)42.546.889.4-4.323%-
vs Similar (4)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.844.089.8+1.875%-
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A07/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A07/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H13/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H14/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
24-59
24
59
-35
A18/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A19/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H22/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H23/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A28/09
LNBP
85.0Avg total
37.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.247.688.7-6.420%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.445.884.2-7.417%-
Last 30 away (18)43.048.791.7-5.722%-
Last 10 (10)37.347.785.0-10.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.680.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)41.048.589.5-7.515%-
vs Similar (4)42.241.583.8+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Freseros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Freseros wins
0
Correcaminos wins
DateGameScore
06/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros92-121
05/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros105-109 OT
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24AAstros86-100
28/09/24AAstros89-94
23/09/24HDorados68-76
22/09/24HDorados98-76
19/09/24AHalcones Rojos56-67
18/09/24AHalcones Rojos81-94
15/09/24HEl Calor de Cancun85-82
14/09/24HEl Calor de Cancun106-101 OT
08/09/24AFuerza Regia73-91
07/09/24AFuerza Regia90-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24ADorados59-70
27/09/24ADorados74-81
23/09/24HEl Calor de Cancun79-90
22/09/24HEl Calor de Cancun76-81
19/09/24ASoles83-96
18/09/24ASoles60-94
14/09/24HHalcones de Xalapa83-98
13/09/24HHalcones de Xalapa69-90
07/09/24ADiablos Rojos73-95
07/09/24ADiablos Rojos97-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game86.190.882.1
Allowed / game89.589.489.5
Point differential-3.4+1.3-7.4
Avg total175.5180.2171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Correcaminos
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %19%25%14%
Points / game78.877.579.9
Allowed / game89.787.291.9
Point differential-10.9-9.7-11.9
Avg total168.5164.7171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia2620677%85.076.2+8.9
2 Astros2619773%84.779.2+5.5
3 Diablos Rojos2618869%90.082.6+7.5
4 Halcones de Xalapa2618869%89.083.7+5.3
5 Panteras27171063%88.785.2+3.5
6 Plateros26151158%83.581.1+2.3
7 Dorados26151158%85.585.6-0.2
8 Soles27141352%83.785.0-1.4
9 Halcones Rojos27131448%84.286.2-2.0
10 Santos26121446%84.585.5-1.0
11 El Calor de Cancun27121544%82.580.9+1.6
12 Freseros26101638%86.189.5-3.4
13 Mineros26101638%80.384.9-4.6
14 Lobos Plateados2772026%85.490.6-5.3
15 Abejas2762122%84.690.1-5.5
16 Correcaminos2652119%78.889.7-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Freseros33182013993
Correcaminos153018211296
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